Tip WON  ·  Bayern Munich 4-0 Union Berlin
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Bundesliga 📅 Saturday, 21st March 2026
BAY
Bayern Munich
W D W W W
4-0
VS
UNI
Union Berlin
W L L W L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #002762
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Bayern Munich to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.21
~60% implied
Confidence
69%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Bayern Munich to win @1.21
Goals Over 1.5 85%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 70%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-22.6%
edge
No Value
Market implies 82.6% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -22.6% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Bayern Munich
W D W W W W W W W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
Union Berlin
W L L W L D L L D D
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Bayern Munich7W
Draw3
Union Berlin0W
Supports Tip Bayern Munich won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Bayern Munich wins8/10
Union Berlin wins2/10
Goals per game3.5
H2H avg goals3.7
Supports Tip Bayern Munich: 8W 2D 0L from 10 games.
8-2-0
Bayern Munich form
2-3-5
Union Berlin form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3.7
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Bayern Munich
Overall
8.6
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.3
Union Berlin
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.3
📐 Key Analytics
Bayern Munich
3.3
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Union Berlin
0.9
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 45%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
03.12.25
POK: Union Berlin
Bayern Munich
2
3
08.11.25
BUN: Union Berlin
Bayern Munich
2
2
15.03.25
BUN: Union Berlin
Bayern Munich
1
1
02.11.24
BUN: Bayern Munich
Union Berlin
3
0
20.04.24
BUN: Union Berlin
Bayern Munich
1
5
24.01.24
BUN: Bayern Munich
Union Berlin
1
0
26.02.23
BUN: Bayern Munich
Union Berlin
3
0
03.09.22
BUN: Union Berlin
Bayern Munich
1
1
19.03.22
BUN: Bayern Munich
Union Berlin
4
0
30.10.21
BUN: Union Berlin
Bayern Munich
2
5
Recent Results
Bayern Munich
18.03.26
UCL: Bayern Munich
Atalanta
4
1
W
14.03.26
BUN: Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern Munich
1
1
D
10.03.26
UCL: Atalanta
Bayern Munich
1
6
W
06.03.26
BUN: Bayern Munich
M’gladbach
4
1
W
28.02.26
BUN: Dortmund
Bayern Munich
2
3
W
21.02.26
BUN: Bayern Munich
Frankfurt
3
2
W
14.02.26
BUN: Werder Bremen
Bayern Munich
0
3
W
11.02.26
POK: Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
2
0
W
08.02.26
BUN: Bayern Munich
Hoffenheim
5
1
W
31.01.26
BUN: Hamburger SV
Bayern Munich
2
2
D
Union Berlin
15.03.26
BUN: Freiburg
Union Berlin
0
1
W
08.03.26
BUN: Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
1
4
L
28.02.26
BUN: B. M’gladbach
Union Berlin
1
0
L
21.02.26
BUN: Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
1
0
W
14.02.26
BUN: Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
3
2
L
06.02.26
BUN: Union Berlin
Frankfurt
1
1
D
31.01.26
BUN: Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
3
1
L
24.01.26
BUN: Union Berlin
Dortmund
0
3
L
18.01.26
BUN: Stuttgart
Union Berlin
1
1
D
15.01.26
BUN: Augsburg
Union Berlin
1
1
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 21st March 2026, Bayern Munich host Union Berlin in Bundesliga. Our analysis points to Bayern Munich to win as the standout bet.

Bayern Munich come into this in strong form, with 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 3.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Union Berlin are struggling away from home — 2W 3D 5L in 10 games, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.7 per match.

Historically, Bayern Munich have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against Union Berlin, who have taken 0 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3.7 goals.

With all factors considered, bayern munich to win at 1.21 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Bundesliga fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.21.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin?
Our top pick is 1 — Bayern Munich to win at around 1.21. Confidence: 69%.
What is Bayern Munich's recent form?
Bayern Munich have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Union Berlin been performing?
Union Berlin: 2W 3D 5L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Bayern Munich 7 wins vs Union Berlin's 0, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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