โœ“ Tip WON  ยท  Ammanford 1-0 Baglan Dragons
Official Match Programme ยท SurePredictionToday
๐Ÿ† Wales Cymru South ๐Ÿ“… Friday, 20th March 2026
AMM
Ammanford
W W L W D
1-0
VS
BAG
Baglan Dragons
L L W L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #002746
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Ammanford to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.34
~50% implied
Confidence
โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…
56%
Solid Pick
โš  18+ ยท Gamble responsibly ยท Tips are not guarantees ยท GambleAware ยท GamCare
๐ŸŽŸ Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
โ˜… Main 1 โ€” Ammanford to win @1.34
Goals Over 2.5 65%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

๐Ÿ’ธ Bettor Intelligence PRO
๐Ÿ“Š Value Assessment
-24.6%
edge
No Value
Market implies 74.6% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -24.6% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
๐Ÿ’ฐ Kelly Criterion
โš  Kelly returns a negative stake โ€” the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Form Streak Tracker
Ammanford
W W L W D L L W W W
๐Ÿ”ฅ Hot 3 in a row
Momentum 60%
Baglan Dragons
L L W L L L L D D W
ใ€ฐ Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
โš” Head to Head
Ammanford3W
Draw2
Baglan Dragons0W
Supports Tip Ammanford won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
๐Ÿ“ˆ Recent Form
Ammanford wins6/10
Baglan Dragons wins2/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals3
Supports Tip Ammanford: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games.
6-1-3
Ammanford form
2-2-6
Baglan Dragons form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
โญ Team Form Ratings
Ammanford
Overall
6.3 โ€”
Scoring
5.0 โ€”
Defence
5.3 โ€”
Baglan Dragons
Overall
2.6 โ€”
Scoring
2.3 โ€”
Defence
3.3 โ€”
๐Ÿ“ Key Analytics
Ammanford
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Baglan Dragons
0.7
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
๐ŸŽฏ Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
๐Ÿ“‹ Match History
Head to Head
28.11.25
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Ammanford
0
3
12.04.25
FAW: Ammanford
Baglan Dragons
1
1
18.08.24
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Ammanford
0
2
17.02.24
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Ammanford
1
3
08.12.23
FAW: Ammanford
Baglan Dragons
2
2
Recent Results
Ammanford
14.03.26
FAW: Llantwit Major
Ammanford
2
3
W
06.03.26
FAW: Ammanford
Cardiff Draconians
2
1
W
01.03.26
FAW: Afan Lido
Ammanford
3
1
L
24.02.26
FAW: Ammanford
Aberystwyth
2
1
W
13.02.26
FAW: Ammanford
Trethomas Bluebirds
0
0
D
07.02.26
FAW: Caerau Ely
Ammanford
3
1
L
23.01.26
FAW: Ammanford
Trefelin
0
4
L
09.01.26
FAW: Pontypridd
Ammanford
0
3
W
03.01.26
FAW: Ammanford
Ynyshir Albions
2
0
W
26.12.25
FAW: Carmarthen Town
Ammanford
0
1
W
Baglan Dragons
17.03.26
FAW: Treowen
Baglan Dragons
4
1
L
14.03.26
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Caerau Ely
0
5
L
06.03.26
FAW: Newport City
Baglan Dragons
1
2
W
21.02.26
FAW: Pontypridd
Baglan Dragons
2
0
L
17.02.26
FAW: Trefelin
Baglan Dragons
3
0
L
14.02.26
FAW: Cardiff Draconians
Baglan Dragons
3
1
L
07.02.26
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Aberystwyth
0
1
L
24.01.26
FAW: Ynyshir Albions
Baglan Dragons
0
0
D
03.01.26
FAW: Llantwit Major
Baglan Dragons
0
0
D
26.12.25
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Afan Lido
3
1
W
๐ŸŽ™ Expert Analysis

On Friday, 20th March 2026, Ammanford host Baglan Dragons in Wales Cymru South. Our analysis points to Ammanford to win as the standout bet.

Ammanford come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Baglan Dragons are struggling away from home โ€” 2W 2D 6L in 10 games, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2 per match.

Historically, Ammanford have won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Baglan Dragons, who have taken 0 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, ammanford to win at 1.34 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Wales Cymru South fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.34.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

โ“ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Ammanford vs Baglan Dragons?
Our top pick is 1 โ€” Ammanford to win at around 1.34. Confidence: 56%.
What is Ammanford's recent form?
Ammanford have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 โ€” decent form.
How has Baglan Dragons been performing?
Baglan Dragons: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games โ€” poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Ammanford 3 wins vs Baglan Dragons's 0, with 2 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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