Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Brazil Copa Rio 📅 Tuesday, 23rd June 2026 ⏰ 6:45 pm ⏳ —
PER
Perolas Negras
L W W W L
VS
SAN
Santa Cruz RJ
L D L W W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003748
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Perolas Negras to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.22
~50% implied
Confidence
56%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Perolas Negras to win @1.22
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 65%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-32%
edge
No Value
Market implies 82% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -32% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Perolas Negras
L W W W L W L L D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Santa Cruz RJ
L D L W W W D W W W
🔥 Hot 3 in a row
Momentum 80%
⚔ Head to Head
Perolas Negras1W
Draw0
Santa Cruz RJ0W
Supports Tip Perolas Negras won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Perolas Negras wins5/10
Santa Cruz RJ wins6/10
Goals per game2.6
H2H avg goals5
Mixed Perolas Negras: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games.
5-1-4
Perolas Negras form
6-2-2
Santa Cruz RJ form
0%
H2H BTTS rate
5
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Perolas Negras
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.0
Santa Cruz RJ
Overall
6.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.0
📐 Key Analytics
Perolas Negras
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Santa Cruz RJ
1.3
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 31%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
17.06.26
CR
Santa Cruz RJ
Perolas Negras
0
5
Recent Results
Perolas Negras
20.06.26
CAR2
Perolas Negras
Americano
0
1
L
17.06.26
CR
Santa Cruz RJ
Perolas Negras
0
5
W
14.06.26
CAR2
Audax RJ
Perolas Negras
0
1
W
06.06.26
CAR2
Perolas Negras
Serrano FC
2
1
W
30.05.26
CAR2
Bonsucesso
Perolas Negras
4
1
L
23.05.26
CAR2
Perolas Negras
CEAC/Araruama
3
1
W
16.05.26
CAR2
Olaria
Perolas Negras
2
0
L
13.05.26
CAR2
Perolas Negras
America RJ
0
2
L
02.05.26
CAR2
Perolas Negras
Resende
1
1
D
29.04.26
CAR2
Sao Goncalo
Perolas Negras
0
1
W
Santa Cruz RJ
17.06.26
CR
Santa Cruz RJ
Perolas Negras
0
5
L
23.11.25
CAR2
Santa Cruz RJ
Macae
2
2
D
16.11.25
CAR2
Macae
Santa Cruz RJ
2
0
L
06.11.25
CAR2
Paraty
Santa Cruz RJ
0
1
W
02.11.25
CAR2
Santa Cruz RJ
Barra Mansa
3
0
W
27.10.25
CAR2
7 de Abril
Santa Cruz RJ
0
1
W
19.10.25
CAR2
Santa Cruz RJ
Serra Macaense
0
0
D
12.10.25
CAR2
Belford Roxo
Santa Cruz RJ
2
3
W
05.10.25
CAR2
Santa Cruz RJ
Macae
1
0
W
28.09.25
CAR2
FC Rio de Janeiro
Santa Cruz RJ
1
2
W
Venue Records
Perolas Negras at Home
20.06.26
CAR2
Perolas Negras
Americano
0
1
L
06.06.26
CAR2
Perolas Negras
Serrano FC
2
1
W
23.05.26
CAR2
Perolas Negras
CEAC/Araruama
3
1
W
13.05.26
CAR2
Perolas Negras
America RJ
0
2
L
02.05.26
CAR2
Perolas Negras
Resende
1
1
D
07.07.25
CAR2
Perolas Negras
Duque de Caxias
1
0
W
21.06.25
CAR2
Perolas Negras
Bangu
1
1
D
08.06.25
CAR2
Perolas Negras
Resende
0
1
L
26.05.25
CAR2
Perolas Negras
Americano
1
1
D
20.05.25
CAR2
Perolas Negras
America RJ
0
1
L
Santa Cruz RJ Away
16.11.25
CAR2
Macae
Santa Cruz RJ
2
0
L
06.11.25
CAR2
Paraty
Santa Cruz RJ
0
1
W
27.10.25
CAR2
7 de Abril
Santa Cruz RJ
0
1
W
12.10.25
CAR2
Belford Roxo
Santa Cruz RJ
2
3
W
28.09.25
CAR2
FC Rio de Janeiro
Santa Cruz RJ
1
2
W
04.09.25
CARC
Paraty
Santa Cruz RJ (Pen 5 - 4)
0
0
L
24.08.25
CARC
Riostrense
Santa Cruz RJ
1
3
W
10.08.25
CARC
EC Vera Cruz
Santa Cruz RJ
1
1
D
27.07.25
CARC
Angra dos Reis
Santa Cruz RJ
3
2
L
14.07.25
CARC
Barcelona EC
Santa Cruz RJ
0
10
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 23rd June 2026, Perolas Negras host Santa Cruz RJ in Brazil Copa Rio. Our analysis points to Perolas Negras to win as the standout bet.

Perolas Negras come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Santa Cruz RJ are inconsistent on the road — 6W 2D 2L in 10 games, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 per match.

Historically, Perolas Negras have won 1 of the last 1 meetings against Santa Cruz RJ, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0% of those games, averaging 5 goals.

With all factors considered, perolas negras to win at 1.22 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Brazil Copa Rio preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. the host venue tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.22, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 6:45 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Perolas Negras vs Santa Cruz RJ?
Our top pick is 1 — Perolas Negras to win at around 1.22. Confidence: 56%.
What is Perolas Negras's recent form?
Perolas Negras have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Santa Cruz RJ been performing?
Santa Cruz RJ: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Perolas Negras 1 wins vs Santa Cruz RJ's 0, with 0 draws in 1 meetings. Avg 5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 0%.
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