Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Uzbekistan Super League 📅 Friday, 21st August 2026 ⏰ 4:00 pm 📍 Pakhtakor Central Stadium (Tashkent) ⏳ —
PAK
Pakhtakor
W W D D W
VS
TER
Termez Surkhon
L L W L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004428
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Pakhtakor to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.28
~50% implied
Confidence
50%
Solid Pick
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💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-28.1%
edge
No Value
Market implies 78.1% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -28.1% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Pakhtakor
W W D D W W D D D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Termez Surkhon
L L W L L W D L W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Pakhtakor5W
Draw3
Termez Surkhon2W
Mixed Pakhtakor won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Pakhtakor wins5/10
Termez Surkhon wins3/10
Goals per game2.5
H2H avg goals2.5
Mixed Pakhtakor: 5W 5D 0L from 10 games.
5-5-0
Pakhtakor form
3-1-6
Termez Surkhon form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.5
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Pakhtakor
Overall
6.5
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.3
Termez Surkhon
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.7
📐 Key Analytics
Pakhtakor
1.5
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Termez Surkhon
1
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
03.05.26
SL
Termez Surkhon
Pakhtakor
1
1
29.09.25
SL
Pakhtakor
Termez Surkhon
1
0
03.05.25
SL
Termez Surkhon
Pakhtakor
2
1
22.08.24
SL
Pakhtakor
Termez Surkhon
0
1
04.03.24
SL
Termez Surkhon
Pakhtakor
0
3
24.11.23
SL
Termez Surkhon
Pakhtakor
1
2
29.05.23
SL
Pakhtakor
Termez Surkhon
1
0
09.10.22
SL
Termez Surkhon
Pakhtakor
1
1
12.05.22
SL
Pakhtakor
Termez Surkhon
2
2
06.11.21
SL
Pakhtakor
Termez Surkhon
5
0
Recent Results
Pakhtakor
16.08.26
SL
Nasaf Qarshi
Pakhtakor
1
2
W
11.08.26
CL
Pakhtakor
Al Hussein
3
0
W
06.08.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Buxoro
2
2
D
01.08.26
SL
Andijan
Pakhtakor
0
0
D
26.07.26
SL
Bunyodkor
Pakhtakor
0
1
W
21.07.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Xorazm Urganch
2
1
W
17.07.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Lok. Tashkent
1
1
D
03.05.26
SL
Termez Surkhon
Pakhtakor
1
1
D
28.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Nasaf Qarshi
2
2
D
22.04.26
SL
Buxoro
Pakhtakor
0
1
W
Termez Surkhon
13.08.26
SL
Termez Surkhon
Sogdiana
1
3
L
07.08.26
SL
Termez Surkhon
Navbahor Namangan
0
1
L
03.08.26
SL
Kokand 1912
Termez Surkhon
0
1
W
28.07.26
SL
Xorazm Urganch
Termez Surkhon
1
0
L
23.07.26
SL
Termez Surkhon
Din. Samarkand
1
2
L
18.07.26
SL
Andijan
Termez Surkhon
1
2
W
03.05.26
SL
Termez Surkhon
Pakhtakor
1
1
D
28.04.26
SL
Sogdiana
Termez Surkhon
5
2
L
22.04.26
SL
Termez Surkhon
Mashal Muborak
2
1
W
17.04.26
SL
Termez Surkhon
Qizilqum
0
1
L
Venue Records
Pakhtakor at Home
11.08.26
CL
Pakhtakor
Al Hussein
3
0
W
06.08.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Buxoro
2
2
D
21.07.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Xorazm Urganch
2
1
W
17.07.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Lok. Tashkent
1
1
D
28.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Nasaf Qarshi
2
2
D
18.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Din. Samarkand
4
2
W
13.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Mashal Muborak
2
1
W
04.04.26
SL
Pakhtakor
OKMK
3
1
W
10.03.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Navbahor Namangan
0
2
L
27.02.26
SL
Pakhtakor
Qizilqum
2
0
W
Termez Surkhon Away
03.08.26
SL
Kokand 1912
Termez Surkhon
0
1
W
28.07.26
SL
Xorazm Urganch
Termez Surkhon
1
0
L
18.07.26
SL
Andijan
Termez Surkhon
1
2
W
28.04.26
SL
Sogdiana
Termez Surkhon
5
2
L
12.04.26
SL
Navbahor Namangan
Termez Surkhon
2
0
L
08.04.26
SL
OKMK
Termez Surkhon
1
1
D
20.03.26
SL
Nasaf Qarshi
Termez Surkhon
0
1
W
28.02.26
SL
Lok. Tashkent
Termez Surkhon
3
1
L
17.02.26
CF
R. Volgograd
Termez Surkhon
0
1
W
15.02.26
CF
Samgurali
Termez Surkhon
1
2
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Friday, 21st August 2026, Pakhtakor host Termez Surkhon at Pakhtakor Central Stadium (Tashkent) in Uzbekistan Super League. Our analysis points to Pakhtakor to win as the standout bet.

Pakhtakor come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Termez Surkhon are struggling away from home — 3W 1D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1.6 per match.

Historically, Pakhtakor have won 5 of the last 10 meetings against Termez Surkhon, who have taken 2 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2.5 goals.

With all factors considered, pakhtakor to win at 1.28 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Uzbekistan Super League preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Pakhtakor Central Stadium (Tashkent) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.28, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 4:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Pakhtakor vs Termez Surkhon?
Our top pick is 1 — Pakhtakor to win at around 1.28. Confidence: 50%.
What is Pakhtakor's recent form?
Pakhtakor have won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Termez Surkhon been performing?
Termez Surkhon: 3W 1D 6L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Pakhtakor 5 wins vs Termez Surkhon's 2, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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