Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Saudi Professional League 📅 Friday, 21st August 2026 ⏰ 5:00 pm 📍 Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh) ⏳ —
AL
Al Riyadh
W L D W D
VS
AL
Al Nassr
W W L L W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004432
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
2
We're backing Al Nassr to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.02
~50% implied
Confidence
55%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 2 — Al Nassr to win @1.02
Goals Over 1.5 85%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-48%
edge
No Value
Market implies 98% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -48% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Al Riyadh
W L D W D W L L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Al Nassr
W W L L W L W L D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Al Riyadh2W
Draw1
Al Nassr7W
Supports Tip Al Nassr won 7 of 10 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Al Riyadh wins4/10
Al Nassr wins5/10
Goals per game3.5
H2H avg goals3.2
Mixed Al Nassr: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games.
4-2-4
Al Riyadh form
5-1-4
Al Nassr form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3.2
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Al Riyadh
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.7
Al Nassr
Overall
5.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.3
📐 Key Analytics
Al Riyadh
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1.9
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Al Nassr
2.1
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
02.02.26
SPL
Al Riyadh
Al Nassr
0
1
20.09.25
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Riyadh
5
1
12.04.25
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Riyadh
2
1
08.11.24
SPL
Al Riyadh
Al Nassr
0
1
23.05.24
SPL
Al Riyadh
Al Nassr
2
2
08.12.23
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Riyadh
4
1
24.02.05
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Riyadh
3
1
23.09.04
SPL
Al Riyadh
Al Nassr
3
1
07.02.04
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Riyadh
0
1
26.09.03
SPL
Al Riyadh
Al Nassr
0
3
Recent Results
Al Riyadh
17.08.26
KC
Al Zulfi
Al Riyadh
0
2
W
14.08.26
SPL
Al Ettifaq
Al Riyadh
4
2
L
27.07.26
CF
Al Riyadh
Al-Gharafa
2
2
D
21.05.26
SPL
Al Riyadh
Al Okhdood
1
0
W
15.05.26
SPL
Al Taawon
Al Riyadh
1
1
D
10.05.26
SPL
Al Riyadh
Al Fateh
1
0
W
04.05.26
SPL
Al Fayha
Al Riyadh
4
2
L
29.04.26
SPL
Al Riyadh
Al Qadsiah
0
4
L
24.04.26
SPL
Al Hazem
Al Riyadh
2
1
L
09.04.26
SPL
Al Ettifaq
Al Riyadh
2
3
W
Al Nassr
18.08.26
KC
Al Diriyah
Al Nassr
1
4
W
15.08.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Fateh
3
0
W
04.08.26
CF
Al Nassr
Almeria
0
2
L
01.08.26
CF
Estrela
Al Nassr
4
2
L
28.07.26
CF
AD Merida
Al Nassr
0
2
W
22.07.26
CF
Benfica B
Al Nassr
2
1
L
21.05.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Damac
4
1
W
16.05.26
CL2
Al Nassr
Gamba Osaka
0
1
L
12.05.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Hilal
1
1
D
07.05.26
SPL
Al Shabab
Al Nassr
2
4
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Friday, 21st August 2026, Al Riyadh host Al Nassr at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh) in Saudi Professional League. Our analysis points to Al Nassr to win as the standout bet.

Al Riyadh come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game.

Al Nassr are inconsistent on the road — 5W 1D 4L in 10 games, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.4 per match.

Historically, Al Riyadh have won 2 of the last 10 meetings against Al Nassr, who have taken 7 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3.2 goals.

With all factors considered, al nassr to win at 1.02 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Saudi Professional League preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 2 at @1.02, which the numbers put at around 20,30,50%. The match begins at 5:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr?
Our top pick is 2 — Al Nassr to win at around 1.02. Confidence: 55%.
What is Al Riyadh's recent form?
Al Riyadh have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Al Nassr been performing?
Al Nassr: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Al Riyadh 2 wins vs Al Nassr's 7, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.