Tip WON  ·  KUPS 1-0 Gnistan
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Finland Veikkausliiga 📅 Saturday, 11th April 2026
KUP
KUPS
W D W W L
1-0
VS
GNI
Gnistan
L D W L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #002989
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing KUPS to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.38
~50% implied
Confidence
50%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — KUPS to win @1.38
Goals Under 2.5 79%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 90%
H2H Over 2.5 75%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-22.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 72.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -22.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
KUPS
W D W W L L L L L L
🥶 Cold 6 in a row
Momentum 0%
Gnistan
W D W W L L L L L
🥶 Cold 5 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
KUPS6W
Draw2
Gnistan0W
Supports Tip KUPS won 6 of the last 8 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
KUPS wins3/10
Gnistan wins3/9
Goals per game1.4
H2H avg goals4.3
Caution KUPS: 3W 1D 6L from 10 games.
3-1-6
KUPS form
3-1-5
Gnistan form
63%
H2H BTTS rate
4.3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
KUPS
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.3
Gnistan
Overall
3.7
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
📐 Key Analytics
KUPS
0.9
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Gnistan
0
Goals
scored/game
0
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 39%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 35%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
30.10.25
Veikkausliiga: KuPS
Gnistan
1
1
27.09.25
Veikkausliiga: Gnistan
KuPS
0
4
01.07.25
Veikkausliiga: KuPS
Gnistan
6
2
27.04.25
Veikkausliiga: Gnistan
KuPS
1
2
07.07.24
Veikkausliiga: KuPS
Gnistan
3
1
19.05.24
Veikkausliiga: Gnistan
KuPS
0
0
20.03.21
Finnish Cup: KuPS
Gnistan
5
0
16.04.11
Finnish Cup: Gnistan
KuPS
2
6
Recent Results
KUPS
04.04.26
Veikkausliiga: Ilves
KuPS
1
3
W
27.03.26
Friendly: SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
21.03.26
Friendly: KuPS
Jippo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Friendly: KuPS
IFK Mariehamn
2
0
W
28.02.26
League Cup: AC Oulu
KuPS
5
0
L
26.02.26
Conference League: Lech Poznań
KuPS
1
0
L
22.02.26
League Cup: KuPS
FF Jaro
3
4
L
19.02.26
Conference League: KuPS
Lech Poznań
0
2
L
14.02.26
League Cup: KuPS
Ilves
0
1
L
07.02.26
League Cup: SJK
KuPS
3
0
L
Gnistan
04.04.26
Veikkausliiga: Ilves
KuPS
1
3
W
27.03.26
Friendly: SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
21.03.26
Friendly: KuPS
Jippo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Friendly: KuPS
IFK Mariehamn
2
0
W
28.02.26
League Cup: AC Oulu
KuPS
5
0
L
26.02.26
Conference League: Lech Poznań
KuPS
1
0
L
22.02.26
League Cup: KuPS
FF Jaro
3
4
L
19.02.26
Conference League: KuPS
Lech Poznań
0
2
L
14.02.26
League Cup: KuPS
Ilves
0
1
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 11th April 2026, KUPS host Gnistan in Finland Veikkausliiga. Our analysis points to KUPS to win as the standout bet.

KUPS come into this going through a difficult run, with 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

Gnistan are struggling away from home — 3W 1D 5L in 9 games, scoring 0 and conceding 0 per match.

Historically, KUPS have won 6 of the last 8 meetings against Gnistan, who have taken 0 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 63% of those games, averaging 4.3 goals.

With all factors considered, kups to win at 1.38 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Finland Veikkausliiga fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.38.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for KUPS vs Gnistan?
Our top pick is 1 — KUPS to win at around 1.38. Confidence: 50%.
What is KUPS's recent form?
KUPS have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Gnistan been performing?
Gnistan: 3W 1D 5L from 9 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
KUPS 6 wins vs Gnistan's 0, with 2 draws in 8 meetings. Avg 4.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 63%.
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