Tip WON  ·  Al Ahly 2-1 Smouha
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Egypt Premier League 📅 Saturday, 11th April 2026
AL
Al Ahly
D L L L W
2-1
VS
SMO
Smouha
L W W L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #002991
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Al Ahly to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.31
~50% implied
Confidence
50%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Al Ahly to win @1.31
Goals Under 2.5 65%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-26.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 76.3% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -26.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Al Ahly
D L L L W D W W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Smouha
L W W L L L W W W W
🔥 Hot 4 in a row
Momentum 80%
⚔ Head to Head
Al Ahly6W
Draw2
Smouha2W
Supports Tip Al Ahly won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Al Ahly wins4/10
Smouha wins6/10
Goals per game2.1
H2H avg goals2.3
Caution Al Ahly: 4W 3D 3L from 10 games.
4-3-3
Al Ahly form
6-0-4
Smouha form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2.3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Al Ahly
Overall
4.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
7.0
Smouha
Overall
6.0
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.3
📐 Key Analytics
Al Ahly
1.2
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Smouha
1.3
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 31%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 34%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
23.02.26
Premier League: Smouha SC
Al Ahly
0
1
07.01.25
Premier League: Al Ahly
Smouha SC
2
0
08.08.24
Premier League: Smouha SC
Al Ahly
0
1
28.11.23
Premier League: Al Ahly
Smouha SC
0
0
17.04.23
Premier League: Smouha SC
Al Ahly
0
2
17.01.23
Egypt Cup: Al Ahly
Smouha SC
3
1
25.12.22
Premier League: Al Ahly
Smouha SC
0
0
29.06.22
Premier League: Smouha SC
Al Ahly
3
2
27.01.22
League Cup: Smouha SC
Al Ahly
3
0
25.11.21
Premier League: Al Ahly
Smouha SC
4
1
Recent Results
Al Ahly
07.04.26
Premier League: Ceramica Cleopatra
Al Ahly
1
1
D
21.03.26
Champions League (QF): Al Ahly
Espérance Tunis
2
3
L
15.03.26
Champions League (QF): Espérance Tunis
Al Ahly
1
0
L
09.03.26
Premier League: Tala’ea El Gaish
Al Ahly
2
1
L
05.03.26
Premier League: Arab Contractors
Al Ahly
1
3
W
28.02.26
Premier League: Al Ahly
ZED FC
1
1
D
23.02.26
Premier League: Smouha SC
Al Ahly
0
1
W
19.02.26
Premier League: Al Ahly
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
15.02.26
Champions League (GS): Al Ahly
FAR Rabat
0
0
D
11.02.26
Premier League: Al Ahly
Ismaily SC
2
0
W
Smouha
07.04.26
Premier League: Smouha SC
ENPPI SC
0
2
L
07.03.26
Premier League: Smouha SC
Modern Sport
3
0
W
01.03.26
Premier League: National Bank of Egypt
Smouha SC
1
3
W
23.02.26
Premier League: Smouha SC
Al Ahly
0
1
L
16.02.26
Premier League: Al Ittihad
Smouha SC
1
0
L
11.02.26
Premier League: Zamalek SC
Smouha SC
1
0
L
04.02.26
Premier League: Smouha SC
Pyramids FC
2
1
W
29.01.26
Premier League: ENPPI SC
Smouha SC
1
2
W
21.01.26
Premier League: Smouha SC
Pharco FC
2
0
W
11.01.26
Egypt Cup: Smouha SC
Haras El Hodood
1
0
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 11th April 2026, Al Ahly host Smouha in Egypt Premier League. Our analysis points to Al Ahly to win as the standout bet.

Al Ahly come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Smouha are inconsistent on the road — 6W 0D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per match.

Historically, Al Ahly have won 6 of the last 10 meetings against Smouha, who have taken 2 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 30% of those games, averaging 2.3 goals.

With all factors considered, al ahly to win at 1.31 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Egypt Premier League fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.31.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Ahly vs Smouha?
Our top pick is 1 — Al Ahly to win at around 1.31. Confidence: 50%.
What is Al Ahly's recent form?
Al Ahly have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Smouha been performing?
Smouha: 6W 0D 4L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Al Ahly 6 wins vs Smouha's 2, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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