Official Match Programme Β· SurePredictionToday
πŸ† Lithuania Toplyga πŸ“… Saturday, 11th July 2026 ⏰ 5:00 pm πŸ“ Darius and GirΔ—nas Stadium (Kaunas) ⏳ β€”
KAU
Kauno Zalgiris
D D W W L
VS
FK
FK Panevezys
D L L W L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003981
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Kauno Zalgiris to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.34
~50% implied
Confidence
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
52%
Solid Pick
⚠ 18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
πŸ’Έ Bettor Intelligence PRO
πŸ“Š Value Assessment
-24.6%
edge
No Value
Market implies 74.6% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -24.6% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
πŸ’° Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake β€” the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
πŸ”₯ Form Streak Tracker
Kauno Zalgiris
D D W W L D W L W D
γ€° Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
FK Panevezys
D L L W L L L W W W
πŸ”₯ Hot 3 in a row
Momentum 60%
βš” Head to Head
Kauno Zalgiris7W
Draw2
FK Panevezys1W
Supports Tip Kauno Zalgiris won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
πŸ“ˆ Recent Form
Kauno Zalgiris wins4/10
FK Panevezys wins4/10
Goals per game2.5
H2H avg goals2.3
Caution Kauno Zalgiris: 4W 4D 2L from 10 games.
4-4-2
Kauno Zalgiris form
4-1-5
FK Panevezys form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2.3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Kauno Zalgiris
Overall
5.2 β–Ό
Scoring
4.3 β€”
Defence
8.0 β€”
FK Panevezys
Overall
4.3 β–²
Scoring
4.7 β€”
Defence
4.7 β€”
πŸ“ Key Analytics
Kauno Zalgiris
1.3
Goals
scored/game
0.6
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
FK Panevezys
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
πŸ“‹ Match History
Head to Head
10.05.26
TL
FK Panevezys
Kauno Zalgiris
1
1
10.03.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
FK Panevezys
4
0
16.02.26
SC
Kauno Zalgiris
FK Panevezys
1
0
02.11.25
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
FK Panevezys
3
2
24.08.25
TL
FK Panevezys
Kauno Zalgiris
1
0
24.06.25
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
FK Panevezys
3
0
19.04.25
TL
FK Panevezys
Kauno Zalgiris
0
2
18.01.25
CF
Kauno Zalgiris
FK Panevezys
2
0
05.10.24
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
FK Panevezys
0
0
20.07.24
TL
FK Panevezys
Kauno Zalgiris
1
2
Recent Results
Kauno Zalgiris
07.07.26
CL
Kauno Zalgiris
Drita
1
1
D
03.07.26
TL
Dziugas Telsiai
Kauno Zalgiris
0
0
D
23.06.26
CUP
BFA Vilnius
Kauno Zalgiris
0
3
W
20.06.26
TL
Transinvest
Kauno Zalgiris
1
2
W
17.06.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Banga
0
1
L
14.06.26
TL
Hegelmann
Kauno Zalgiris
1
1
D
31.05.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Zalgiris
0
1
L
23.05.26
TL
Suduva
Kauno Zalgiris
2
1
L
19.05.26
CUP
Riteriai
Kauno Zalgiris
0
4
W
16.05.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
FA Siauliai
0
0
D
FK Panevezys
04.07.26
TL
FK Panevezys
Hegelmann
1
1
D
29.06.26
TL
FK Panevezys
Suduva
1
2
L
23.06.26
CUP
FK Minija
FK Panevezys
2
1
L
20.06.26
TL
FK Panevezys
FA Siauliai
3
2
W
16.06.26
TL
Zalgiris
FK Panevezys
3
0
L
12.06.26
TL
FK Panevezys
Transinvest
1
2
L
30.05.26
TL
Dziugas Telsiai
FK Panevezys
4
0
L
24.05.26
TL
FK Panevezys
Banga
1
0
W
20.05.26
CUP
Atmosfera
FK Panevezys
0
3
W
15.05.26
TL
Riteriai
FK Panevezys
0
3
W
Venue Records
Kauno Zalgiris at Home
07.07.26
CL
Kauno Zalgiris
Drita
1
1
D
17.06.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Banga
0
1
L
31.05.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Zalgiris
0
1
L
16.05.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
FA Siauliai
0
0
D
05.05.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Dziugas Telsiai
2
2
D
25.04.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Riteriai
4
0
W
18.04.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Transinvest
1
2
L
11.04.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Hegelmann
5
0
W
21.03.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Suduva
1
1
D
10.03.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
FK Panevezys
4
0
W
FK Panevezys Away
23.06.26
CUP
FK Minija
FK Panevezys
2
1
L
16.06.26
TL
Zalgiris
FK Panevezys
3
0
L
30.05.26
TL
Dziugas Telsiai
FK Panevezys
4
0
L
20.05.26
CUP
Atmosfera
FK Panevezys
0
3
W
15.05.26
TL
Riteriai
FK Panevezys
0
3
W
06.05.26
TL
Hegelmann
FK Panevezys
3
2
L
29.04.26
CUP
FSK Radviliskis
FK Panevezys
0
2
W
25.04.26
TL
Suduva
FK Panevezys
1
0
L
18.04.26
TL
FA Siauliai
FK Panevezys
3
1
L
12.04.26
TL
Transinvest
FK Panevezys
1
2
W
πŸŽ™ Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 11th July 2026, Kauno Zalgiris host FK Panevezys at Darius and GirΔ—nas Stadium (Kaunas) in Lithuania Toplyga. Our analysis points to Kauno Zalgiris to win as the standout bet.

Kauno Zalgiris come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.3 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

FK Panevezys are inconsistent on the road β€” 4W 1D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 per match.

Historically, Kauno Zalgiris have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against FK Panevezys, who have taken 1 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 30% of those games, averaging 2.3 goals.

With all factors considered, kauno zalgiris to win at 1.34 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Lithuania Toplyga preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us β€” whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Darius and GirΔ—nas Stadium (Kaunas) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.34, which the numbers put at around 50,20,30%. The match begins at 5:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment β€” worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys?
Our top pick is 1 β€” Kauno Zalgiris to win at around 1.34. Confidence: 52%.
What is Kauno Zalgiris's recent form?
Kauno Zalgiris have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 β€” inconsistent.
How has FK Panevezys been performing?
FK Panevezys: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games β€” inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Kauno Zalgiris 7 wins vs FK Panevezys's 1, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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