Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 China Super League 📅 Saturday, 11th July 2026 ⏰ 1:00 pm 📍 Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park (Chengdu) ⏳ —
CHE
Chengdu Rongcheng
D W W W L
VS
CHO
Chongqing Tonglianglong
L W W L W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003979
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Chengdu Rongcheng to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.38
~50% implied
Confidence
46%
Solid Pick
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💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-22.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 72.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -22.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Chengdu Rongcheng
D W W W L L W W W W
🔥 Hot 4 in a row
Momentum 80%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
L W W L W D L D D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Chengdu Rongcheng0W
Draw2
Chongqing Tonglianglong0W
Against Chengdu Rongcheng won 0 of the last 2 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Chengdu Rongcheng wins7/10
Chongqing Tonglianglong wins3/10
Goals per game2.6
H2H avg goals3
Supports Tip Chengdu Rongcheng: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games.
7-1-2
Chengdu Rongcheng form
3-3-4
Chongqing Tonglianglong form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Chengdu Rongcheng
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Overall
3.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.7
📐 Key Analytics
Chengdu Rongcheng
1.8
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1.1
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
21.03.26
SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Chengdu Rongcheng
3
3
23.06.23
FAC
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Chengdu Rongcheng (Pen 4 - 2)
0
0
Recent Results
Chengdu Rongcheng
05.07.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu
Chengdu Rongcheng
1
1
D
27.06.26
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Chengdu Rongcheng
2
3
W
20.06.26
FAC
Shanghai Zetian
Chengdu Rongcheng
0
4
W
30.05.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Shandong Taishan
1
0
W
23.05.26
SL
Dalian Yingbo
Chengdu Rongcheng
2
0
L
19.05.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Shanghai Port
0
1
L
15.05.26
SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chengdu Rongcheng
1
2
W
09.05.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Henan Songshan Longmen
3
0
W
05.05.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Chengdu Rongcheng
0
1
W
01.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Chengdu Rongcheng
2
3
W
Chongqing Tonglianglong
04.07.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Chongqing Tonglianglong
3
1
L
27.06.26
SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1
0
W
20.06.26
FAC
Ningbo Professional
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0
2
W
30.05.26
SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Beijing Guoan
2
3
L
24.05.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0
1
W
20.05.26
SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Yunnan Yukun
0
0
D
16.05.26
SL
Shandong Taishan
Chongqing Tonglianglong
3
1
L
09.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2
2
D
05.05.26
SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Henan Songshan Longmen
1
1
D
01.05.26
SL
Dalian Yingbo
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1
0
L
Venue Records
Chengdu Rongcheng at Home
30.05.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Shandong Taishan
1
0
W
19.05.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Shanghai Port
0
1
L
09.05.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Henan Songshan Longmen
3
0
W
25.04.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Zhejiang Professional
4
0
W
21.04.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Yunnan Yukun
2
1
W
03.04.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Qingdao West Coast
5
1
W
15.03.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Qingdao Hainiu
1
0
W
06.03.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
5
1
W
10.02.26
CL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Buriram
0
1
L
25.11.25
CL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
Chongqing Tonglianglong Away
04.07.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Chongqing Tonglianglong
3
1
L
20.06.26
FAC
Ningbo Professional
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0
2
W
24.05.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0
1
W
16.05.26
SL
Shandong Taishan
Chongqing Tonglianglong
3
1
L
09.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2
2
D
01.05.26
SL
Dalian Yingbo
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1
0
L
21.04.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1
2
W
05.04.26
SL
Zhejiang Professional
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0
1
W
07.03.26
SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0
0
D
08.11.25
L1
Shanghai Jiading Huilong
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0
2
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 11th July 2026, Chengdu Rongcheng host Chongqing Tonglianglong at Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park (Chengdu) in China Super League. Our analysis points to Chengdu Rongcheng to win as the standout bet.

Chengdu Rongcheng come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Chongqing Tonglianglong are struggling away from home — 3W 3D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 per match.

Historically, Chengdu Rongcheng have won 0 of the last 2 meetings against Chongqing Tonglianglong, who have taken 0 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, chengdu rongcheng to win at 1.38 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this China Super League preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park (Chengdu) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.38, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 1:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Chengdu Rongcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong?
Our top pick is 1 — Chengdu Rongcheng to win at around 1.38. Confidence: 46%.
What is Chengdu Rongcheng's recent form?
Chengdu Rongcheng have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Chongqing Tonglianglong been performing?
Chongqing Tonglianglong: 3W 3D 4L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Chengdu Rongcheng 0 wins vs Chongqing Tonglianglong's 0, with 2 draws in 2 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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