Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Slovenia PRVA Liga 📅 Friday, 17th July 2026 ⏰ 7:15 pm 📍 Stadion Z'dezele (Celje) ⏳ —
CEL
Celje
D W D L W
VS
MUR
Mura
L D L D L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004036
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Celje to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.33
~50% implied
Confidence
57%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Celje to win @1.33
Goals Over 1.5 86%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-25.2%
edge
No Value
Market implies 75.2% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -25.2% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Celje
D W D L W W L L W W W
🔥 Hot 3 in a row
Momentum 60%
Mura
L D L D L W W L L L
🥶 Cold 3 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Celje7W
Draw1
Mura2W
Supports Tip Celje won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Celje wins6/11
Mura wins2/10
Goals per game3
H2H avg goals3.4
Mixed Celje: 6W 2D 3L from 11 games.
6-2-3
Celje form
2-2-6
Mura form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3.4
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Celje
Overall
6.0
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.7
Mura
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.3
📐 Key Analytics
Celje
2.1
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
45%
Clean
sheets
Mura
1
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 31%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
19.04.26
PL
Mura
Celje
0
2
14.02.26
PL
Celje
Mura
5
1
26.10.25
PL
Mura
Celje
2
1
10.08.25
PL
Celje
Mura
3
0
13.04.25
PL
Celje
Mura
2
1
16.02.25
PL
Mura
Celje
0
0
19.10.24
PL
Celje
Mura
4
3
03.08.24
PL
Mura
Celje
1
0
06.04.24
PL
Mura
Celje
1
3
11.02.24
PL
Celje
Mura
4
1
Recent Results
Celje
11.07.26
CF
Celje
Istra 1961
1
1
D
08.07.26
CF
Celje
MTK Budapest
4
3
W
04.07.26
CF
Celje
Cukaricki
1
1
D
01.07.26
CF
Celje
Hajduk Split
0
1
L
27.06.26
CF
Celje
Shkendija
1
0
W
22.05.26
PL
Primorje
Celje
0
4
W
16.05.26
PL
Celje
Koper
1
2
L
02.05.26
PL
Celje
Bravo
2
3
L
26.04.26
PL
Celje
Aluminij
5
0
W
19.04.26
PL
Mura
Celje
0
2
W
15.04.26
PL
Celje
O. Ljubljana
2
0
W
Mura
05.07.26
CF
Beltinci
Mura
4
1
L
04.07.26
CF
Mura
Noah
1
1
D
26.06.26
CF
Sturm Graz
Mura
5
0
L
20.06.26
CF
Ararat-Armenia
Mura
1
1
D
22.05.26
PL
Radomlje
Mura
3
2
L
17.05.26
PL
Mura
Maribor
2
1
W
10.05.26
PL
Primorje
Mura
0
2
W
03.05.26
PL
Mura
Koper
0
1
L
19.04.26
PL
Mura
Celje
0
2
L
16.04.26
PL
Aluminij
Mura
2
1
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Friday, 17th July 2026, Celje host Mura at Stadion Z'dezele (Celje) in Slovenia PRVA Liga. Our analysis points to Celje to win as the standout bet.

Celje come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 11 matches. They average 2.1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.

Mura are struggling away from home — 2W 2D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1 and conceding 2 per match.

Historically, Celje have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against Mura, who have taken 2 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3.4 goals.

With all factors considered, celje to win at 1.33 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Slovenia PRVA Liga preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Stadion Z’dezele (Celje) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.33, which the numbers put at around 80%. The match begins at 7:15 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Celje vs Mura?
Our top pick is 1 — Celje to win at around 1.33. Confidence: 57%.
What is Celje's recent form?
Celje have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 11 — decent form.
How has Mura been performing?
Mura: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Celje 7 wins vs Mura's 2, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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