Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Ireland FA Cup 📅 Friday, 17th July 2026 ⏰ 7:45 pm 📍 Richmond Park (Dublin) ⏳ —
ST
St Patricks
L D W L W
VS
WEX
Wexford
D L D D L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004035
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing St Patricks to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.16
~50% implied
Confidence
56%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — St Patricks to win @1.16
H2H Over 2.5 71%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-36.2%
edge
No Value
Market implies 86.2% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -36.2% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
St Patricks
L D W L W W L D L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Wexford
D L D D L L W L L L
🥶 Cold 3 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
St Patricks6W
Draw1
Wexford0W
Supports Tip St Patricks won 6 of the last 7 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
St Patricks wins4/10
Wexford wins1/10
Goals per game2.5
H2H avg goals3.1
Caution St Patricks: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games.
4-2-4
St Patricks form
1-3-6
Wexford form
43%
H2H BTTS rate
3.1
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
St Patricks
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.7
Wexford
Overall
1.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
4.3
📐 Key Analytics
St Patricks
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Wexford
0.8
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
02.02.22
CF
Wexford
St. Patricks
1
1
17.09.21
FAI
St. Patricks
Wexford
3
0
12.01.19
CF
Wexford
St. Patricks
0
3
07.10.16
PD
St. Patricks
Wexford
4
1
01.08.16
PD
Wexford
St. Patricks
0
1
15.04.16
PD
St. Patricks
Wexford
4
0
17.08.08
FAI
Wexford
St. Patricks
1
3
Recent Results
St Patricks
14.07.26
CF
Doncaster
St. Patricks
4
2
L
10.07.26
PD
Waterford
St. Patricks
1
1
D
03.07.26
PD
St. Patricks
Galway
3
0
W
26.06.26
PD
Bohemians
St. Patricks
2
0
L
19.06.26
PD
St. Patricks
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
12.06.26
PD
St. Patricks
Drogheda
2
0
W
29.05.26
PD
Shamrock Rovers
St. Patricks
1
0
L
22.05.26
PD
Derry City
St. Patricks
0
0
D
15.05.26
PD
St. Patricks
Shelbourne
0
1
L
08.05.26
PD
St. Patricks
Waterford
4
1
W
Wexford
10.07.26
DIV
Wexford
Kerry
2
2
D
03.07.26
DIV
Finn Harps
Wexford
1
0
L
26.06.26
DIV
Wexford
Treaty United
0
0
D
19.06.26
DIV
Athlone
Wexford
2
2
D
12.06.26
DIV
Wexford
Cork City
0
2
L
29.05.26
DIV
Bray
Wexford
4
0
L
22.05.26
DIV
Wexford
UC Dublin
2
1
W
15.05.26
DIV
Kerry
Wexford
2
1
L
08.05.26
DIV
Wexford
Longford
1
2
L
04.05.26
DIV
Treaty United
Wexford
1
0
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Friday, 17th July 2026, St Patricks host Wexford at Richmond Park (Dublin) in Ireland FA Cup. Our analysis points to St Patricks to win as the standout bet.

St Patricks come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.

Wexford are struggling away from home — 1W 3D 6L in 10 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 per match.

Historically, St Patricks have won 6 of the last 7 meetings against Wexford, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 43% of those games, averaging 3.1 goals.

With all factors considered, st patricks to win at 1.16 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Ireland FA Cup preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Richmond Park (Dublin) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.16, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 7:45 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for St Patricks vs Wexford?
Our top pick is 1 — St Patricks to win at around 1.16. Confidence: 56%.
What is St Patricks's recent form?
St Patricks have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Wexford been performing?
Wexford: 1W 3D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
St Patricks 6 wins vs Wexford's 0, with 1 draws in 7 meetings. Avg 3.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 43%.
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