Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Eredivisie 📅 Sunday, 20th September 2026 ⏰ 1:30 pm 📍 AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar) ⏳ —
AZ
AZ Alkmaar
L D W W W
VS
TEL
Telstar
D L D L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004748
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing AZ Alkmaar to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.20
~61% implied
Confidence
69%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — AZ Alkmaar to win @1.20
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-22.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 83.3% probability. Our estimate is 61%, a -22.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
AZ Alkmaar
L D W W W W W W W W
🔥 Hot 8 in a row
Momentum 100%
Telstar
D L D L L W L W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
AZ Alkmaar7W
Draw0
Telstar3W
Supports Tip AZ Alkmaar won 7 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar wins8/10
Telstar wins2/10
Goals per game3.5
H2H avg goals2.6
Supports Tip AZ Alkmaar: 8W 1D 1L from 10 games.
8-1-1
AZ Alkmaar form
2-2-6
Telstar form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2.6
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
AZ Alkmaar
Overall
8.3
Scoring
9.3
Defence
7.0
Telstar
Overall
2.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
3.3
📐 Key Analytics
AZ Alkmaar
2.8
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Telstar
1.3
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 46%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
04.03.26
KNV
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
2
1
25.01.26
ERE
Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
05.10.25
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
2
1
13.07.19
CF
Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
16.07.16
CF
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
3
0
29.10.15
KNV
Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
18.07.15
CF
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
3
0
03.12.02
KNV
Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
1
0
29.05.94
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
0
2
20.05.94
ERE
Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
1
5
Recent Results
AZ Alkmaar
16.09.26
EL
Sunderland
AZ Alkmaar
1
0
L
11.09.26
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
1
1
D
06.09.26
ERE
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
2
3
W
29.08.26
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
G.A. Eagles
5
2
W
22.08.26
ERE
Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
0
2
W
15.08.26
ERE
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
W
08.08.26
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Den Haag
2
0
W
02.08.26
SC
PSV
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
W
25.07.26
CF
AZ Alkmaar
Olympiacos Piraeus
3
2
W
22.07.26
CF
AZ Alkmaar
Genk
4
0
W
Telstar
13.09.26
ERE
Heerenveen
Telstar
0
0
D
09.09.26
ERE
Twente
Telstar
1
0
L
06.09.26
ERE
Telstar
Cambuur
2
2
D
30.08.26
ERE
Telstar
Ajax
0
4
L
14.08.26
ERE
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
1
3
L
08.08.26
ERE
Nijmegen
Telstar
1
2
W
31.07.26
CF
Wolfsburg
Telstar
3
1
L
17.07.26
CF
De Graafschap
Telstar
3
6
W
11.07.26
CF
Sparta Rotterdam
Telstar
1
0
L
04.07.26
CF
Almere City
Telstar
2
1
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 20th September 2026, AZ Alkmaar host Telstar at AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar) in Eredivisie. Our analysis points to AZ Alkmaar to win as the standout bet.

AZ Alkmaar come into this in strong form, with 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Telstar are struggling away from home — 2W 2D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2 per match.

Historically, AZ Alkmaar have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against Telstar, who have taken 3 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 30% of those games, averaging 2.6 goals.

With all factors considered, az alkmaar to win at 1.20 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Eredivisie preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.20, which the numbers put at around 61%. The match begins at 1:30 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
Our top pick is 1 — AZ Alkmaar to win at around 1.20. Confidence: 69%.
What is AZ Alkmaar's recent form?
AZ Alkmaar have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Telstar been performing?
Telstar: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
AZ Alkmaar 7 wins vs Telstar's 3, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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