Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Estonia Meistriliiga 📅 Sunday, 20th September 2026 ⏰ 5:00 pm 📍 A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) ⏳ —
FLO
Flora
W D W W L
VS
PAR
Parnu JK Vaprus
L L W W L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004742
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Flora to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.38
~49% implied
Confidence
54%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Flora to win @1.38
Goals Over 2.5 80%
Goals Over 1.5 95%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 70%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-23.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 72.5% probability. Our estimate is 49%, a -23.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Flora
W D W W L L W L L L
🥶 Cold 3 in a row
Momentum 20%
Parnu JK Vaprus
L L W W L D L L W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Flora8W
Draw1
Parnu JK Vaprus1W
Supports Tip Flora won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Flora wins4/10
Parnu JK Vaprus wins3/10
Goals per game3.7
H2H avg goals2.6
Caution Flora: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games.
4-1-5
Flora form
3-2-5
Parnu JK Vaprus form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2.6
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Flora
Overall
4.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
2.7
Parnu JK Vaprus
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
3.7
📐 Key Analytics
Flora
1.6
Goals
scored/game
2.2
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Parnu JK Vaprus
1.6
Goals
scored/game
1.9
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
23.08.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Flora
1
2
16.06.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Flora
1
2
12.04.26
ML
Flora
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
0
17.01.26
CF
Parnu JK Vaprus
Flora
2
2
08.11.25
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Flora
0
3
13.09.25
ML
Flora
Parnu JK Vaprus
3
0
02.05.25
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Flora
0
3
08.03.25
ML
Flora
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
1
29.09.24
ML
Flora
Parnu JK Vaprus
3
0
23.08.24
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Flora
0
1
Recent Results
Flora
12.09.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Flora
2
3
W
08.09.26
ML
Narva
Flora
2
2
D
05.09.26
ML
Flora
Kalju
2
1
W
02.09.26
ML
Flora
Tammeka
3
2
W
30.08.26
ML
Flora
Paide
1
2
L
26.08.26
ML
Tammeka
Flora
3
1
L
23.08.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Flora
1
2
W
16.08.26
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
2
3
L
13.08.26
UECL
Flora
Inter Escaldes
0
4
L
06.08.26
UECL
Inter Escaldes
Flora
2
0
L
Parnu JK Vaprus
16.09.26
ML
Paide
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
0
L
12.09.26
ML
Levadia
Parnu JK Vaprus
4
0
L
09.09.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Harju JK Laagri
3
2
W
05.09.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Nomme Utd
1
0
W
02.09.26
CUP
Nomme Utd
Parnu JK Vaprus
3
2
L
29.08.26
ML
Kuressaare
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
2
D
23.08.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Flora
1
2
L
16.08.26
ML
Kalju
Parnu JK Vaprus
3
1
L
12.08.26
CUP
Johvi Phoenix
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
5
W
02.08.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Levadia
1
1
D
Venue Records
Flora at Home
05.09.26
ML
Flora
Kalju
2
1
W
02.09.26
ML
Flora
Tammeka
3
2
W
30.08.26
ML
Flora
Paide
1
2
L
16.08.26
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
2
3
L
13.08.26
UECL
Flora
Inter Escaldes
0
4
L
02.08.26
ML
Flora
Harju JK Laagri
1
0
W
23.07.26
UECL
Flora
TNS
1
0
W
17.07.26
ML
Flora
Nomme Utd
1
2
L
08.07.26
CL
Flora
Iberia 1999
2
3
L
21.06.26
ML
Flora
Paide
1
2
Parnu JK Vaprus Away
16.09.26
ML
Paide
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
0
L
12.09.26
ML
Levadia
Parnu JK Vaprus
4
0
L
02.09.26
CUP
Nomme Utd
Parnu JK Vaprus
3
2
L
29.08.26
ML
Kuressaare
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
2
D
16.08.26
ML
Kalju
Parnu JK Vaprus
3
1
L
12.08.26
CUP
Johvi Phoenix
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
5
W
21.07.26
CUP
Tabasalu Ulasabat
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
4
W
18.07.26
ML
Narva
Parnu JK Vaprus
3
1
L
04.07.26
ML
Paide
Parnu JK Vaprus
3
1
L
13.06.26
ML
Tammeka
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
0
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 20th September 2026, Flora host Parnu JK Vaprus at A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) in Estonia Meistriliiga. Our analysis points to Flora to win as the standout bet.

Flora come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game.

Parnu JK Vaprus are struggling away from home — 3W 2D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.9 per match.

Historically, Flora have won 8 of the last 10 meetings against Parnu JK Vaprus, who have taken 1 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 30% of those games, averaging 2.6 goals.

With all factors considered, flora to win at 1.38 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Estonia Meistriliiga preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.38, which the numbers put at around roughly 49. The match begins at 5:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Flora vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
Our top pick is 1 — Flora to win at around 1.38. Confidence: 54%.
What is Flora's recent form?
Flora have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Parnu JK Vaprus been performing?
Parnu JK Vaprus: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Flora 8 wins vs Parnu JK Vaprus's 1, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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