Tip WON  ·  Al Talaba 2-1 Baghdad
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Iraq Stars League 📅 Wednesday, 25th March 2026
AL
Al Talaba
D W W W L
2-1
VS
BAG
Baghdad
L L L L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #002792
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Al Talaba to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.42
~50% implied
Confidence
56%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Al Talaba to win @1.42
Goals Over 1.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-20.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 70.4% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -20.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Al Talaba
D W W W L W D W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Baghdad
L L L L L L D D L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Al Talaba6W
Draw2
Baghdad2W
Supports Tip Al Talaba won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Al Talaba wins6/10
Baghdad wins0/10
Goals per game3
H2H avg goals2.4
Supports Tip Al Talaba: 6W 3D 1L from 10 games.
6-3-1
Al Talaba form
0-2-8
Baghdad form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.4
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Al Talaba
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.0
Baghdad
Overall
0.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
2.3
📐 Key Analytics
Al Talaba
1.8
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Baghdad
0.9
Goals
scored/game
2.3
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 46%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 19%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
23.11.25
SL: Baghdad
Al Talaba
2
1
27.02.25
CUP: Al Talaba
Baghdad
2
0
05.05.24
SL: Al Talaba
Baghdad
3
2
22.02.24
SL: Baghdad
Al Talaba
0
2
29.06.22
SL: Al Talaba
Baghdad
2
2
16.01.22
SL: Baghdad
Al Talaba
0
1
09.03.21
SL: Al Talaba
Baghdad
1
2
23.11.20
SL: Baghdad
Al Talaba
0
1
26.04.19
SL: Al Talaba
Baghdad
0
0
20.10.18
SL: Baghdad
Al Talaba
0
3
Recent Results
Al Talaba
17.03.26
SL: Al Shorta
Al Talaba
3
3
D
12.03.26
SL: Al Kahraba
Al Talaba
1
2
W
06.03.26
SL: Al Talaba
Al-Qassim
2
0
W
28.02.26
SL: Naft Missan
Al Talaba
0
1
W
20.02.26
SL: Al Talaba
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1
2
L
13.02.26
SL: Al Karkh
Al Talaba
0
2
W
05.02.26
SL: Al-Karma
Al Talaba
1
1
D
31.01.26
SL: Al Talaba
Al Gharraf
3
1
W
27.01.26
SL: Al Talaba
Diyala
1
1
D
23.01.26
SL: Erbil
Al Talaba
0
2
W
Baghdad
21.03.26
SL: Al Zawraa
Amanat Baghdad
3
2
L
17.03.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Amanat Baghdad
3
1
L
12.03.26
SL: Amanat Baghdad
Newroz
0
2
L
06.03.26
SL: Naft Missan
Amanat Baghdad
2
1
L
01.03.26
SL: Amanat Baghdad
Al Naft
1
2
L
22.02.26
SL: Al Kahraba
Amanat Baghdad
5
0
L
06.02.26
SL: Amanat Baghdad
Al Minaa
0
0
D
31.01.26
SL: Amanat Baghdad
Erbil
1
1
D
26.01.26
SL: Al Gharraf
Amanat Baghdad
3
2
L
22.01.26
SL: Al-Karma
Amanat Baghdad
2
1
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 25th March 2026, Al Talaba host Baghdad in Iraq Stars League. Our analysis points to Al Talaba to win as the standout bet.

Al Talaba come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Baghdad are struggling away from home — 0W 2D 8L in 10 games, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.3 per match.

Historically, Al Talaba have won 6 of the last 10 meetings against Baghdad, who have taken 2 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 2.4 goals.

With all factors considered, al talaba to win at 1.42 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Iraq Stars League fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.42.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Talaba vs Baghdad?
Our top pick is 1 — Al Talaba to win at around 1.42. Confidence: 56%.
What is Al Talaba's recent form?
Al Talaba have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Baghdad been performing?
Baghdad: 0W 2D 8L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Al Talaba 6 wins vs Baghdad's 2, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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