Tip WON  ·  Al Nassr 1-1 Al Hilal
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Saudi Professional League 📅 Tuesday, 12th May 2026
AL
Al Nassr
W L W W W
1-1
VS
AL
Al Hilal
W W W W L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003316
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
BTTS
We're backing both teams to score in this fixture.
Odds
1.41
~90% implied
Confidence
74%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main BTTS — both teams to score @1.41
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 80%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet Home CS 60%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+19.1%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 70.9% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +19.1% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 65.6% $656.00
Half Kelly 32.8% $328.00
Quarter Kelly 16.4% $164.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Al Nassr
W L W W W W W W W W
🔥 Hot 8 in a row
Momentum 100%
Al Hilal
W W W W L W D W W W
🔥 Hot 3 in a row
Momentum 80%
⚔ Head to Head
Al Nassr2W
Draw2
Al Hilal6W
Supports Tip BTTS in 8 of 10 H2H games (80%).
📈 Recent Form
Al Nassr wins9/10
Al Hilal wins8/10
Goals per game3.7
H2H avg goals3.1
Mixed BTTS in 45% of both teams' recent matches.
9-0-1
Al Nassr form
8-1-1
Al Hilal form
80%
H2H BTTS rate
3.1
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Al Nassr
Overall
9.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.3
Al Hilal
Overall
8.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
7.0
📐 Key Analytics
Al Nassr
3
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
Al Hilal
2.6
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
12.01.26
SPL
Al Hilal
Al Nassr
3
1
04.04.25
SPL
Al Hilal
Al Nassr
1
3
01.11.24
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Hilal
1
1
17.08.24
SC
Al Nassr
Al Hilal
1
4
31.05.24
KC
Al Hilal
Al Nassr
2
1
17.05.24
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Hilal
1
1
08.04.24
SC
Al Hilal
Al Nassr
2
1
08.02.24
CF
Al Hilal
Al Nassr
2
0
01.12.23
SPL
Al Hilal
Al Nassr
3
0
12.08.23
ACCC
Al Hilal
Al Nassr
1
2
Recent Results
Al Nassr
07.05.26
SPL
Al Shabab
Al Nassr
2
4
W
03.05.26
SPL
Al Qadsiah
Al Nassr
3
1
L
29.04.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Ahli SC
2
0
W
22.04.26
CL2
Al Nassr
Al Ahli Doha
5
1
W
19.04.26
CL2
Al Wasl
Al Nassr
0
4
W
15.04.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Ettifaq
1
0
W
11.04.26
SPL
Al Okhdood
Al Nassr
0
2
W
03.04.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Najma
5
2
W
14.03.26
SPL
Al Khaleej
Al Nassr
0
5
W
07.03.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Neom SC
1
0
W
Al Hilal
08.05.26
KC
Al Kholood
Al Hilal
1
2
W
05.05.26
SPL
Al Khaleej
Al Hilal
1
2
W
02.05.26
SPL
Al Hazem
Al Hilal
0
3
W
28.04.26
SPL
Al Hilal
Damac
1
0
W
13.04.26
CL
Al Hilal
Al-Sadd
3
4
L
08.04.26
SPL
Al Hilal
Al Kholood
6
0
W
04.04.26
SPL
Al Hilal
Al Taawon
2
2
D
18.03.26
KC
Al Ahli SC
Al Hilal
1
2
W
14.03.26
SPL
Al Fateh
Al Hilal
0
1
W
06.03.26
SPL
Al Hilal
Al Najma
4
0
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 12th May 2026, Al Nassr host Al Hilal in Saudi Professional League. Our analysis points to both teams to score as the standout bet.

Al Nassr come into this in strong form, with 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Al Hilal are travelling well — 8W 1D 1L in 10 games, scoring 2.6 and conceding 0.9 per match.

Historically, Al Nassr have won 2 of the last 10 meetings against Al Hilal, who have taken 6 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 80% of those games, averaging 3.1 goals.

With all factors considered, both teams to score at 1.41 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Saudi Professional League fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing BTTS, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.41.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Nassr vs Al Hilal?
Our top pick is BTTS — both teams to score at around 1.41. Confidence: 74%.
What is Al Nassr's recent form?
Al Nassr have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Al Hilal been performing?
Al Hilal: 8W 1D 1L from 10 games — very good form.
What is the H2H record?
Al Nassr 2 wins vs Al Hilal's 6, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.
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