Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 FIFA ASEAN Cup 📅 Thursday, 24th September 2026 ⏰ 1:00 pm 📍 Mong Kok Stadium (Hongkong) ⏳ —
MYA
Myanmar
L W W L L
VS
TIM
Timor-Leste
L L L L W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004777
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Myanmar to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.25
~49% implied
Confidence
★★★★★
53%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Myanmar to win @1.25
Goals Over 2.5 90%
Goals Over 1.5 100%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-31%
edge
No Value
Market implies 80% probability. Our estimate is 49%, a -31% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Myanmar
L W W L L L W W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Timor-Leste
L L L L W W L L L L
🥶 Cold 4 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Myanmar2W
Draw1
Timor-Leste0W
Supports Tip Myanmar won 2 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Myanmar wins5/10
Timor-Leste wins2/10
Goals per game4.2
H2H avg goals1.7
Mixed Myanmar: 5W 0D 5L from 10 games.
5-0-5
Myanmar form
2-0-8
Timor-Leste form
33%
H2H BTTS rate
1.7
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Myanmar
Overall
5.0 ▲
Scoring
7.7 —
Defence
2.7 —
Timor-Leste
Overall
2.0 —
Scoring
3.0 —
Defence
0.0 —
📐 Key Analytics
Myanmar
2.3
Goals
scored/game
2.2
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Timor-Leste
0.9
Goals
scored/game
3
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 64%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
08.12.21
ACH
Myanmar
Timor-Leste
2
0
14.10.14
ACH
Myanmar
Timor-Leste
0
0
07.10.12
ACH
Timor-Leste
Myanmar
1
2
Recent Results
Myanmar
08.08.26
ACH
Thailand
Myanmar
2
0
L
04.08.26
ACH
Myanmar
Laos
7
2
W
28.07.26
ACH
Philippines
Myanmar
1
4
W
25.07.26
ACH
Myanmar
Malaysia
1
2
L
18.07.26
FI
Vietnam
Myanmar
4
0
L
09.06.26
FI
Philippines
Myanmar
5
1
L
06.06.26
FI
Myanmar
Guam
6
1
W
31.03.26
AC
Pakistan
Myanmar
1
2
W
26.03.26
AC
Afghanistan
Myanmar
1
2
W
14.10.25
AC
Myanmar
Syria
0
3
L
Timor-Leste
03.08.26
ACH
Cambodia
Timor-Leste
3
0
L
31.07.26
ACH
Timor-Leste
Indonesia
0
3
L
27.07.26
ACH
Singapore
Timor-Leste
2
0
L
24.07.26
ACH
Timor-Leste
Vietnam
0
7
L
09.06.26
ACH
Timor-Leste
Brunei
3
1
W
02.06.26
ACH
Brunei
Timor-Leste
0
3
W
31.03.26
AC
Maldives
Timor-Leste
2
1
L
18.11.25
AC
Timor-Leste
Tajikistan
0
5
L
14.10.25
AC
Philippines
Timor-Leste
3
1
L
09.10.25
AC
Timor-Leste
Philippines
1
4
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 24th September 2026, Myanmar host Timor-Leste at Mong Kok Stadium (Hongkong) in FIFA ASEAN Cup. Our analysis points to Myanmar to win as the standout bet.

Myanmar come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.3 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game.

Timor-Leste are struggling away from home — 2W 0D 8L in 10 games, scoring 0.9 and conceding 3 per match.

Historically, Myanmar have won 2 of the last 3 meetings against Timor-Leste, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 33% of those games, averaging 1.7 goals.

With all factors considered, myanmar to win at 1.25 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this FIFA ASEAN Cup preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Mong Kok Stadium (Hongkong) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.25, which the numbers put at around roughly 49. The match begins at 1:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Myanmar vs Timor-Leste?
Our top pick is 1 — Myanmar to win at around 1.25. Confidence: 53%.
What is Myanmar's recent form?
Myanmar have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Timor-Leste been performing?
Timor-Leste: 2W 0D 8L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Myanmar 2 wins vs Timor-Leste's 0, with 1 draws in 3 meetings. Avg 1.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 33%.
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