Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 AFCON Qualifier 📅 Thursday, 24th September 2026 ⏰ 5:00 pm 📍 Stade des Martyrs (Kinshasa) ⏳ —
D.R
D.R. Congo
L W L D L
VS
EQU
Equatorial Guinea
L D W L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004773
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing D.R. Congo to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.31
~48% implied
Confidence
★★★★★
42%
Value Play
⚠ 18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — D.R. Congo to win @1.31
Goals Under 2.5 65%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-28.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 76.3% probability. Our estimate is 48%, a -28.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
D.R. Congo
L W L D L D W W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Equatorial Guinea
L D W L L L L W D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
D.R. Congo1W
Draw1
Equatorial Guinea1W
Against D.R. Congo won 1 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
D.R. Congo wins4/10
Equatorial Guinea wins2/10
Goals per game2
H2H avg goals2.3
Caution D.R. Congo: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games.
4-2-4
D.R. Congo form
2-2-6
Equatorial Guinea form
33%
H2H BTTS rate
2.3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
D.R. Congo
Overall
4.6 ▲
Scoring
4.0 —
Defence
7.3 —
Equatorial Guinea
Overall
2.6 —
Scoring
2.0 —
Defence
5.3 —
📐 Key Analytics
D.R. Congo
1.2
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Equatorial Guinea
0.6
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 33%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
07.02.15
ACN
D.R. Congo
Equatorial Guinea (4-2)
0
0
14.10.12
ACN
Equatorial Guinea
D.R. Congo
2
1
09.09.12
ACN
D.R. Congo
Equatorial Guinea
4
0
Recent Results
D.R. Congo
01.07.26
WC
England
D.R. Congo
2
1
L
28.06.26
WC
D.R. Congo
Uzbekistan
3
1
W
24.06.26
WC
Colombia
D.R. Congo
1
0
L
17.06.26
WC
Portugal
D.R. Congo
1
1
D
09.06.26
FI
D.R. Congo
Chile
1
2
L
03.06.26
FI
D.R. Congo
Denmark
0
0
D
31.03.26
WC
D.R. Congo
Jamaica
1
0
W
25.03.26
FI
D.R. Congo
Bermuda
2
0
W
06.01.26
ACN
Algeria
D.R. Congo
1
0
L
30.12.25
ACN
Botswana
D.R. Congo
0
3
W
Equatorial Guinea
09.06.26
FI
Equatorial Guinea
Comoros
0
1
L
31.03.26
FI
Equatorial Guinea
Madagascar
1
1
D
25.03.26
FI
Kyrgyzstan
Equatorial Guinea
0
1
W
31.12.25
ACN
Equatorial Guinea
Algeria
1
3
L
28.12.25
ACN
Equatorial Guinea
Sudan
0
1
L
24.12.25
ACN
Burkina Faso
Equatorial Guinea
2
1
L
17.11.25
FI
Madagascar
Equatorial Guinea
2
0
L
14.11.25
FI
Kenya
Equatorial Guinea
0
1
W
13.10.25
WC
Equatorial Guinea
Liberia
1
1
D
09.10.25
WC
Malawi
Equatorial Guinea
3
0
L
Venue Records
D.R. Congo at Home
28.06.26
WC
D.R. Congo
Uzbekistan
3
1
W
09.06.26
FI
D.R. Congo
Chile
1
2
L
03.06.26
FI
D.R. Congo
Denmark
0
0
D
31.03.26
WC
D.R. Congo
Jamaica
1
0
W
25.03.26
FI
D.R. Congo
Bermuda
2
0
W
23.12.25
ACN
D.R. Congo
Benin
1
0
W
16.12.25
FI
D.R. Congo
Zambia
2
0
W
14.10.25
WC
D.R. Congo
Sudan
1
0
W
09.09.25
WC
D.R. Congo
Senegal
2
3
L
17.08.25
ANC
D.R. Congo
Morocco
1
3
L
Equatorial Guinea Away
25.03.26
FI
Kyrgyzstan
Equatorial Guinea
0
1
W
24.12.25
ACN
Burkina Faso
Equatorial Guinea
2
1
L
17.11.25
FI
Madagascar
Equatorial Guinea
2
0
L
14.11.25
FI
Kenya
Equatorial Guinea
0
1
W
09.10.25
WC
Malawi
Equatorial Guinea
3
0
L
04.09.25
WC
Sao Tome and Principe
Equatorial Guinea
2
3
W
24.03.25
WC
Namibia
Equatorial Guinea
1
1
D
29.12.24
ANC
Congo
Equatorial Guinea
2
1
L
17.11.24
ACN
Togo
Equatorial Guinea
3
0
L
14.10.24
ACN
Liberia
Equatorial Guinea
1
2
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 24th September 2026, D.R. Congo host Equatorial Guinea at Stade des Martyrs (Kinshasa) in AFCON Qualifier. Our analysis points to D.R. Congo to win as the standout bet.

D.R. Congo come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Equatorial Guinea are struggling away from home — 2W 2D 6L in 10 games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4 per match.

Historically, D.R. Congo have won 1 of the last 3 meetings against Equatorial Guinea, who have taken 1 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 33% of those games, averaging 2.3 goals.

With all factors considered, d.r. congo to win at 1.31 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this AFCON Qualifier preview.

The hosts turn up on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Stade des Martyrs (Kinshasa) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.31, which the numbers put at around around 5 in 10. The match begins at 5:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for D.R. Congo vs Equatorial Guinea?
Our top pick is 1 — D.R. Congo to win at around 1.31. Confidence: 42%.
What is D.R. Congo's recent form?
D.R. Congo have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Equatorial Guinea been performing?
Equatorial Guinea: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
D.R. Congo 1 wins vs Equatorial Guinea's 1, with 1 draws in 3 meetings. Avg 2.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 33%.
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