Tip LOST  ·  BFC Daugavpils 0-1 RFS
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Latvia Virsliga 📅 Wednesday, 13th May 2026
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
L D L D W
0-1
VS
RFS
RFS
W W D W W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003330
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.49
~90% implied
Confidence
78%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.49
H2H Over 2.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+22.9%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 67.1% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +22.9% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 69.6% $696.00
Half Kelly 34.8% $348.00
Quarter Kelly 17.4% $174.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
BFC Daugavpils
L D L D W W W W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
RFS
W W D W W W W L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 80%
⚔ Head to Head
BFC Daugavpils0W
Draw0
RFS10W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 90% of H2H meetings (avg 4.5).
📈 Recent Form
BFC Daugavpils wins4/10
RFS wins8/10
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals4.5
Mixed Over 2.5 goals in 50% of recent games.
4-2-4
BFC Daugavpils form
8-1-1
RFS form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
4.5
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
BFC Daugavpils
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.3
RFS
Overall
8.3
Scoring
7.7
Defence
7.0
📐 Key Analytics
BFC Daugavpils
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
RFS
2.3
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 15%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 30%
Away Win & Under 2.5 30%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
21.03.26
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
28.02.26
CF
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
21.09.25
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
5
1
30.06.25
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
RFS
1
7
09.05.25
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
5
1
15.03.25
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
RFS
1
2
06.10.24
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
RFS
0
3
17.09.24
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
13.07.24
LC
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
2
1
20.05.24
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
5
0
Recent Results
BFC Daugavpils
08.05.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
Riga FC
1
3
L
02.05.26
VIR
Grobina
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
27.04.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
1
L
21.04.26
VIR
Tukums 2000
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
16.04.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
Jelgava
1
0
W
12.04.26
VIR
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
W
07.04.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
2
1
W
03.04.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
21.03.26
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
L
14.03.26
VIR
Riga FC
BFC Daugavpils
4
2
L
RFS
08.05.26
VIR
RFS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
02.05.26
VIR
Ogre United
RFS
3
4
W
28.04.26
VIR
RFS
Riga FC
3
3
D
22.04.26
VIR
Grobina
RFS
0
1
W
18.04.26
VIR
RFS
Super Nova
2
0
W
13.04.26
VIR
Tukums 2000
RFS
1
2
W
08.04.26
VIR
Jelgava
RFS
0
1
W
04.04.26
VIR
RFS
Auda
0
1
L
21.03.26
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
13.03.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
RFS
0
1
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 13th May 2026, BFC Daugavpils host RFS in Latvia Virsliga. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

BFC Daugavpils come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

RFS are travelling well — 8W 1D 1L in 10 games, scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.9 per match.

Historically, BFC Daugavpils have won 0 of the last 10 meetings against RFS, who have taken 10 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 70% of those games, averaging 4.5 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.49 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Latvia Virsliga fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing Over 2.5, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.49.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for BFC Daugavpils vs RFS?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.49. Confidence: 78%.
What is BFC Daugavpils's recent form?
BFC Daugavpils have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has RFS been performing?
RFS: 8W 1D 1L from 10 games — very good form.
What is the H2H record?
BFC Daugavpils 0 wins vs RFS's 10, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 4.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.
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