Tip WON  ·  FK Liepaja 4-1 Ogre United
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Latvia Virsliga 📅 Tuesday, 12th May 2026
FK
FK Liepaja
L L D W D
4-1
VS
OGR
Ogre United
L L L L D
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003317
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing FK Liepaja to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.29
~50% implied
Confidence
45%
Solid Pick
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💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-27.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 77.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -27.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
FK Liepaja
L L D W D D L L W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
Ogre United
L L L L D D L L L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
FK Liepaja1W
Draw0
Ogre United0W
Supports Tip FK Liepaja won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
FK Liepaja wins2/10
Ogre United wins0/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals1
Caution FK Liepaja: 2W 3D 5L from 10 games.
2-3-5
FK Liepaja form
0-3-7
Ogre United form
0%
H2H BTTS rate
1
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
FK Liepaja
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
4.7
Ogre United
Overall
0.9
Scoring
3.0
Defence
2.3
📐 Key Analytics
FK Liepaja
0.8
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Ogre United
0.9
Goals
scored/game
2.3
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 36%
Draw & BTTS No 24%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 27%
Draw & Under 2.5 33%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
20.03.26
VIR
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
1
Recent Results
FK Liepaja
08.05.26
VIR
RFS
FK Liepaja
5
0
L
03.05.26
VIR
Riga FC
FK Liepaja
1
0
L
28.04.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Grobina
1
1
D
23.04.26
VIR
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
W
17.04.26
VIR
Tukums 2000
FK Liepaja
2
2
D
12.04.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Jelgava
1
1
D
08.04.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Auda
1
2
L
03.04.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
2
0
L
20.03.26
VIR
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
1
W
13.03.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
RFS
0
1
L
Ogre United
07.05.26
VIR
Tukums 2000
Ogre United
6
1
L
02.05.26
VIR
Ogre United
RFS
3
4
L
27.04.26
VIR
Ogre United
Jelgava
0
1
L
22.04.26
VIR
Riga FC
Ogre United
4
0
L
17.04.26
VIR
Ogre United
Auda
1
1
D
13.04.26
VIR
Ogre United
Grobina
1
1
D
07.04.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
2
1
L
03.04.26
VIR
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
2
L
20.03.26
VIR
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
1
L
15.03.26
VIR
Ogre United
Tukums 2000
1
1
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 12th May 2026, FK Liepaja host Ogre United in Latvia Virsliga. Our analysis points to FK Liepaja to win as the standout bet.

FK Liepaja come into this going through a difficult run, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.

Ogre United are struggling away from home — 0W 3D 7L in 10 games, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.3 per match.

Historically, FK Liepaja have won 1 of the last 1 meetings against Ogre United, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0% of those games, averaging 1 goals.

With all factors considered, fk liepaja to win at 1.29 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Latvia Virsliga fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.29.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
Our top pick is 1 — FK Liepaja to win at around 1.29. Confidence: 45%.
What is FK Liepaja's recent form?
FK Liepaja have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has Ogre United been performing?
Ogre United: 0W 3D 7L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
FK Liepaja 1 wins vs Ogre United's 0, with 0 draws in 1 meetings. Avg 1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 0%.
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