Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Ecuador Liga Pro 📅 Monday, 6th July 2026 ⏰ 10:30 am 📍 Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito) ⏳ —
U C
U Catolica
L W W D L
VS
MUS
Mushuc Runa
L D D L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003921
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1X
We're backing U Catolica to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.15
~80% implied
Confidence
71%
Strong Pick
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💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-7%
edge
No Value
Market implies 87% probability. Our estimate is 80%, a -7% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
U Catolica
L W W D L L L L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
Mushuc Runa
L D D L L L W L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
U Catolica5W
Draw3
Mushuc Runa2W
Supports Tip U Catolica unbeaten in 8 of 10 H2H meetings.
📈 Recent Form
U Catolica wins4/10
Mushuc Runa wins3/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals2.7
Mixed U Catolica unbeaten in 5 of 10 recent games.
4-1-5
U Catolica form
3-2-5
Mushuc Runa form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
2.7
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
U Catolica
Overall
4.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.3
Mushuc Runa
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.7
📐 Key Analytics
U Catolica
1.7
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Mushuc Runa
1.1
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
01.03.26
LP
Mushuc Runa
U. Catolica
0
0
05.07.25
LP
Mushuc Runa
U. Catolica
1
1
09.03.25
LP
U. Catolica
Mushuc Runa
1
1
31.08.24
LP
U. Catolica
Mushuc Runa
5
1
22.05.24
LP
Mushuc Runa
U. Catolica
2
1
26.11.23
LP
Mushuc Runa
U. Catolica
0
2
10.06.23
LP
U. Catolica
Mushuc Runa
3
2
09.07.22
LP
U. Catolica
Mushuc Runa
2
1
19.02.22
LP
Mushuc Runa
U. Catolica
1
2
23.10.21
LP
U. Catolica
Mushuc Runa
0
1
Recent Results
U Catolica
01.06.26
LP
Emelec
U. Catolica
1
0
L
29.05.26
COE
EL Nacional
U. Catolica
1
4
W
23.05.26
LP
Orense
U. Catolica
1
2
W
16.05.26
LP
U. Catolica
Delfin
2
2
D
13.05.26
SC
U. Catolica
Ind. del Valle
0
3
L
09.05.26
LP
Aucas
U. Catolica
2
1
L
01.05.26
LP
U. Catolica
Ind. del Valle
2
3
L
27.04.26
LP
Manta
U. Catolica
1
0
L
24.04.26
LP
U. Catolica
Macara
4
0
W
18.04.26
LP
U. Catolica
Libertad
2
0
W
Mushuc Runa
03.06.26
COE
Gualaceo
Mushuc Runa
1
0
L
31.05.26
LP
Mushuc Runa
Aucas
0
0
D
23.05.26
LP
Mushuc Runa
Guayaquil City
2
2
D
17.05.26
LP
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa
3
1
L
12.05.26
LP
Mushuc Runa
LDU Quito
1
3
L
03.05.26
LP
Delfin
Mushuc Runa
1
0
L
25.04.26
LP
Mushuc Runa
Dep. Cuenca
4
1
W
23.04.26
LP
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa
2
1
L
18.04.26
LP
Mushuc Runa
Tecnico U.
1
0
W
11.04.26
LP
Mushuc Runa
Manta
1
0
W
Venue Records
U Catolica at Home
16.05.26
LP
U. Catolica
Delfin
2
2
D
13.05.26
SC
U. Catolica
Ind. del Valle
0
3
L
01.05.26
LP
U. Catolica
Ind. del Valle
2
3
L
24.04.26
LP
U. Catolica
Macara
4
0
W
18.04.26
LP
U. Catolica
Libertad
2
0
W
09.04.26
LP
U. Catolica
Emelec
1
1
D
04.04.26
LP
U. Catolica
Guayaquil City
4
1
W
17.03.26
LP
U. Catolica
Dep. Cuenca
1
0
W
08.03.26
LP
U. Catolica
Leones del Norte
3
0
W
Mushuc Runa Away
16.05.26
LP
U. Catolica
Delfin
2
2
D
13.05.26
SC
U. Catolica
Ind. del Valle
0
3
L
01.05.26
LP
U. Catolica
Ind. del Valle
2
3
L
24.04.26
LP
U. Catolica
Macara
4
0
W
18.04.26
LP
U. Catolica
Libertad
2
0
W
09.04.26
LP
U. Catolica
Emelec
1
1
D
04.04.26
LP
U. Catolica
Guayaquil City
4
1
W
17.03.26
LP
U. Catolica
Dep. Cuenca
1
0
W
08.03.26
LP
U. Catolica
Leones del Norte
3
0
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Monday, 6th July 2026, U Catolica host Mushuc Runa at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito) in Ecuador Liga Pro. Our analysis points to U Catolica to win or draw as the standout bet.

U Catolica come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Mushuc Runa are struggling away from home — 3W 2D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 per match.

Historically, U Catolica have won 5 of the last 10 meetings against Mushuc Runa, who have taken 2 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 70% of those games, averaging 2.7 goals.

With all factors considered, u catolica to win or draw at 1.15 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Ecuador Liga Pro preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1X at @1.15, which the numbers put at around 80%. The match begins at 10:30 am.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for U Catolica vs Mushuc Runa?
Our top pick is 1X — U Catolica to win or draw at around 1.15. Confidence: 71%.
What is U Catolica's recent form?
U Catolica have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Mushuc Runa been performing?
Mushuc Runa: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
U Catolica 5 wins vs Mushuc Runa's 2, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.
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