Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Estonia Esiliiga 📅 Monday, 14th September 2026 ⏰ 5:00 pm 📍 Holm Jalgpallipark (Tartu) ⏳ —
TAR
Tartu Welco
D D L W W
VS
NOM
Nomme Kalju U21
L L W L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004667
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Tartu Welco to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.24
~52% implied
Confidence
61%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Tartu Welco to win @1.24
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 90%
H2H Over 2.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-28.6%
edge
No Value
Market implies 80.6% probability. Our estimate is 52%, a -28.6% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Tartu Welco
D D L W W W W L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Nomme Kalju U21
L L W L L L L L L L
🥶 Cold 7 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Tartu Welco9W
Draw0
Nomme Kalju U211W
Supports Tip Tartu Welco won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Tartu Welco wins5/10
Nomme Kalju U21 wins1/10
Goals per game4.1
H2H avg goals5.3
Mixed Tartu Welco: 5W 2D 3L from 10 games.
5-2-3
Tartu Welco form
1-0-9
Nomme Kalju U21 form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
5.3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Tartu Welco
Overall
5.6
Scoring
10.0
Defence
5.7
Nomme Kalju U21
Overall
1.0
Scoring
2.0
Defence
0.3
📐 Key Analytics
Tartu Welco
3.4
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Nomme Kalju U21
0.6
Goals
scored/game
2.9
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 50%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
23.08.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
2
4
28.05.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
4
2
11.04.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
1
5
23.10.25
ESI
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
5
2
19.07.25
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
0
3
19.06.25
ESI
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
0
1
01.05.25
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
0
4
24.09.23
ESB
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
3
4
03.07.23
ESB
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
4
2
29.05.23
ESB
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
5
2
Recent Results
Tartu Welco
10.09.26
ESI
Levadia U21
Tartu Welco
0
0
D
05.09.26
ESI
Tallinna Kalev
Tartu Welco
1
1
D
29.08.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Viimsi JK
1
3
L
23.08.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
2
4
W
20.08.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
4
2
W
15.08.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Flora U21
2
1
W
12.08.26
CUP
Kose
Tartu Welco
0
8
W
08.08.26
ESI
Elva
Tartu Welco
2
1
L
01.08.26
ESI
Nomme Utd U21
Tartu Welco
2
1
L
23.07.26
CUP
Rumori Calcio II
Tartu Welco
0
12
W
Nomme Kalju U21
10.09.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Flora U21
1
5
L
06.09.26
ESI
Elva
Nomme Kalju U21
1
0
L
29.08.26
ESI
FC Tallinn
Nomme Kalju U21
0
2
W
23.08.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
2
4
L
20.08.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tallinna Kalev
0
3
L
17.08.26
ESI
Nomme Utd U21
Nomme Kalju U21
2
0
L
10.08.26
ESI
Flora U21
Nomme Kalju U21
3
0
L
01.08.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Maardu
1
4
L
25.07.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Flora U21
0
5
L
18.07.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Levadia U21
0
2
L
Venue Records
Tartu Welco at Home
29.08.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Viimsi JK
1
3
L
20.08.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
4
2
W
15.08.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Flora U21
2
1
W
18.07.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
FC Tallinn
0
2
L
02.07.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Viimsi JK
2
2
D
21.06.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Nomme Utd U21
5
2
W
13.06.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
FC Tallinn
4
0
W
28.05.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
4
2
W
17.05.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Flora U21
3
3
D
27.04.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Elva
3
3
D
Nomme Kalju U21 Away
06.09.26
ESI
Elva
Nomme Kalju U21
1
0
L
29.08.26
ESI
FC Tallinn
Nomme Kalju U21
0
2
W
17.08.26
ESI
Nomme Utd U21
Nomme Kalju U21
2
0
L
10.08.26
ESI
Flora U21
Nomme Kalju U21
3
0
L
11.07.26
ESI
Viimsi JK
Nomme Kalju U21
2
2
D
21.06.26
ESI
Tallinna Kalev
Nomme Kalju U21
5
1
L
18.06.26
ESI
Maardu
Nomme Kalju U21
2
1
L
28.05.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
4
2
L
02.05.26
ESI
Elva
Nomme Kalju U21
2
4
W
24.04.26
ESI
Nomme Utd U21
Nomme Kalju U21
0
3
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Monday, 14th September 2026, Tartu Welco host Nomme Kalju U21 at Holm Jalgpallipark (Tartu) in Estonia Esiliiga. Our analysis points to Tartu Welco to win as the standout bet.

Tartu Welco come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 3.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Nomme Kalju U21 are struggling away from home — 1W 0D 9L in 10 games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.9 per match.

Historically, Tartu Welco have won 9 of the last 10 meetings against Nomme Kalju U21, who have taken 1 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 70% of those games, averaging 5.3 goals.

With all factors considered, tartu welco to win at 1.24 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Estonia Esiliiga preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Holm Jalgpallipark (Tartu) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.24, which the numbers put at around 52%. The match begins at 5:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Tartu Welco vs Nomme Kalju U21?
Our top pick is 1 — Tartu Welco to win at around 1.24. Confidence: 61%.
What is Tartu Welco's recent form?
Tartu Welco have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Nomme Kalju U21 been performing?
Nomme Kalju U21: 1W 0D 9L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Tartu Welco 9 wins vs Nomme Kalju U21's 1, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 5.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.
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