Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Europa League Qualifier 📅 Thursday, 9th July 2026 ⏰ 6:00 pm 📍 Sheriff Arena (Tiraspol) ⏳ —
SHE
Sheriff Tiraspol
D W W D W
VS
ALU
Aluminij
L L D D L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003956
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Sheriff Tiraspol to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.32
~50% implied
Confidence
54%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Sheriff Tiraspol to win @1.32
Goals Under 2.5 65%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 75%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet Home CS 60%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-25.8%
edge
No Value
Market implies 75.8% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -25.8% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Sheriff Tiraspol
D W W D W W L W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Aluminij
L L D D L D W L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Mixed No H2H data on record.
📈 Recent Form
Sheriff Tiraspol wins6/10
Aluminij wins2/10
Goals per game1.9
H2H avg goals
Supports Tip Sheriff Tiraspol: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Sheriff Tiraspol form
2-3-5
Aluminij form
H2H BTTS rate
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Sheriff Tiraspol
Overall
6.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
8.7
Aluminij
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
4.7
📐 Key Analytics
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.2
Goals
scored/game
0.4
Goals
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
Aluminij
0.6
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 43%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
📋 Match History
Head to Head

Awaiting data.

Recent Results
Sheriff Tiraspol
04.07.26
SL
Politehnica UTM
Sheriff Tiraspol
0
0
D
28.06.26
SL
Sheriff Tiraspol
Real Sireti
3
0
W
23.05.26
CUP
Sheriff Tiraspol
Zimbru Chisinau
2
0
W
17.05.26
SL
Milsami
Sheriff Tiraspol
0
0
D
13.05.26
CUP
Sheriff Tiraspol
Petrocub
2
0
W
10.05.26
SL
Sheriff Tiraspol
Zimbru Chisinau
1
0
W
06.05.26
CUP
Petrocub
Sheriff Tiraspol
1
0
L
03.05.26
SL
Dacia Buiucani
Sheriff Tiraspol
1
2
W
26.04.26
SL
Petrocub
Sheriff Tiraspol
1
0
L
21.04.26
CUP
Dacia Buiucani
Sheriff Tiraspol
1
2
W
Aluminij
02.07.26
CF
Aluminij
Partizan
1
2
L
28.06.26
CF
Aluminij
Noah
0
2
L
23.06.26
CF
Aluminij
Pyunik Yerevan
2
2
D
19.06.26
CF
Race
Aluminij
1
1
D
23.05.26
PL
Maribor
Aluminij
3
0
L
16.05.26
PL
Aluminij
Primorje
0
0
D
13.05.26
CUP
Grosuplje
Aluminij
0
1
W
09.05.26
PL
Koper
Aluminij
1
0
L
26.04.26
PL
Celje
Aluminij
5
0
L
23.04.26
CUP
Bravo
Aluminij
0
1
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 9th July 2026, Sheriff Tiraspol host Aluminij at Sheriff Arena (Tiraspol) in Europa League Qualifier. Our analysis points to Sheriff Tiraspol to win as the standout bet.

Sheriff Tiraspol come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game.

Aluminij are struggling away from home — 2W 3D 5L in 10 games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6 per match.

With all factors considered, sheriff tiraspol to win at 1.32 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Europa League Qualifier preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Sheriff Arena (Tiraspol) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.32, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 6:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij?
Our top pick is 1 — Sheriff Tiraspol to win at around 1.32. Confidence: 54%.
What is Sheriff Tiraspol's recent form?
Sheriff Tiraspol have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Aluminij been performing?
Aluminij: 2W 3D 5L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
No recent H2H data available.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1.9 goals.
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