Tip WON  ·  Shanghai Shenhua 4-1 Qingdao Hainiu
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 China FA Cup 📅 Tuesday, 21st July 2026 ⏰ 12:35 pm 📍 Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai)
SHA
Shanghai Shenhua
L W W W D
4-1
VS
QIN
Qingdao Hainiu
L L D W W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004067
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Shanghai Shenhua to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.13
~50% implied
Confidence
57%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Shanghai Shenhua to win @1.13
Goals Over 2.5 74%
Goals Over 1.5 89%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-38.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 88.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -38.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Shanghai Shenhua
L W W W D L D L D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
Qingdao Hainiu
L L D W L L L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Shanghai Shenhua10W
Draw0
Qingdao Hainiu0W
Supports Tip Shanghai Shenhua won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Shanghai Shenhua wins3/10
Qingdao Hainiu wins2/9
Goals per game3.8
H2H avg goals2.3
Caution Shanghai Shenhua: 3W 3D 4L from 10 games.
3-3-4
Shanghai Shenhua form
2-1-6
Qingdao Hainiu form
10%
H2H BTTS rate
2.3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Shanghai Shenhua
Overall
3.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.0
Qingdao Hainiu
Overall
2.6
Scoring
5.9
Defence
1.9
📐 Key Analytics
Shanghai Shenhua
1.7
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Qingdao Hainiu
1.8
Goals
scored/game
2.4
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 21%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
22.04.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Hainiu
2
0
23.08.25
SL
Qingdao Hainiu
Shanghai Shenhua
0
2
16.04.25
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Hainiu
3
2
28.09.24
SL
Qingdao Hainiu
Shanghai Shenhua
0
1
15.05.24
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Hainiu
2
0
07.11.23
FAC
Qingdao Hainiu
Shanghai Shenhua
0
1
30.09.23
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Hainiu
1
0
08.06.23
SL
Qingdao Hainiu
Shanghai Shenhua
0
1
11.05.16
FAC
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Hainiu
5
0
08.07.15
FAC
Qingdao Hainiu
Shanghai Shenhua
0
3
Recent Results
Shanghai Shenhua
18.07.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0
2
L
05.07.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Zhejiang Professional
3
2
W
28.06.26
SL
Dalian Yingbo
Shanghai Shenhua
1
4
W
20.06.26
FAC
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Shanghai Shenhua
0
2
W
30.05.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Shanghai Shenhua
2
2
D
24.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
2
L
20.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Wuhan Three Towns
2
2
D
16.05.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
1
0
L
09.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2
2
D
05.05.26
SL
Shandong Taishan
Shanghai Shenhua
4
1
L
Qingdao Hainiu
17.07.26
SL
Henan Songshan Longmen
Qingdao Hainiu
5
1
L
14.07.26
SL
Zhejiang Professional
Qingdao Hainiu
3
2
L
05.07.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu
Chengdu Rongcheng
1
1
D
26.06.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu
Yunnan Yukun
4
2
W
30.05.26
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Qingdao Hainiu
3
2
L
24.05.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0
1
L
20.05.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Qingdao Hainiu
2
1
L
15.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Hainiu
4
2
L
10.05.26
SL
Qingdao Hainiu
Dalian Yingbo
3
1
W
Venue Records
Shanghai Shenhua at Home
18.07.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0
2
L
05.07.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Zhejiang Professional
3
2
W
24.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
2
L
20.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Wuhan Three Towns
2
2
D
09.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2
2
D
01.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Chengdu Rongcheng
2
3
L
22.04.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Hainiu
2
0
W
18.04.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Liaoning Tieren
3
1
W
11.04.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Shanghai Port
1
0
W
07.03.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Dalian Yingbo
5
3
W
Qingdao Hainiu Away
17.07.26
SL
Henan Songshan Longmen
Qingdao Hainiu
5
1
L
14.07.26
SL
Zhejiang Professional
Qingdao Hainiu
3
2
L
30.05.26
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Qingdao Hainiu
3
2
L
20.05.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Qingdao Hainiu
2
1
L
15.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Hainiu
4
2
L
06.05.26
SL
Wuhan Three Towns
Qingdao Hainiu
1
3
W
22.04.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Hainiu
2
0
L
12.04.26
SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Qingdao Hainiu
1
1
D
15.03.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Qingdao Hainiu
1
0
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 21st July 2026, Shanghai Shenhua host Qingdao Hainiu at Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai) in China FA Cup. Our analysis points to Shanghai Shenhua to win as the standout bet.

Shanghai Shenhua come into this going through a difficult run, with 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.

Qingdao Hainiu are struggling away from home — 2W 1D 6L in 9 games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.4 per match.

Historically, Shanghai Shenhua have won 10 of the last 10 meetings against Qingdao Hainiu, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 10% of those games, averaging 2.3 goals.

With all factors considered, shanghai shenhua to win at 1.13 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this China FA Cup preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.13, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 12:35 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

 

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu?
Our top pick is 1 — Shanghai Shenhua to win at around 1.13. Confidence: 57%.
What is Shanghai Shenhua's recent form?
Shanghai Shenhua have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Qingdao Hainiu been performing?
Qingdao Hainiu: 2W 1D 6L from 9 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Shanghai Shenhua 10 wins vs Qingdao Hainiu's 0, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 10%.
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