Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 China FA Cup 📅 Tuesday, 21st July 2026 ⏰ 12:00 pm 📍 Pudong Football Stadium (Shanghai) ⏳ —
SHA
Shanghai Port
D L W W L
VS
SHE
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
L W L L W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004069
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1X
We're backing Shanghai Port to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.14
~90% implied
Confidence
90%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1X — Shanghai Port to win or draw @1.14
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 90%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 75%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+2.3%
edge
Fair Price
Market implies 87.7%, we estimate 90%. The price is roughly in line — bet on conviction, not on edge alone.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 18.6% $186.00
Half Kelly 9.3% $93.00
Quarter Kelly 4.7% $47.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Shanghai Port
D L W W L D W D D D
〰 Mixed 3 in a row
Momentum 20%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
L W L L W W W D L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Shanghai Port4W
Draw1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0W
Supports Tip Shanghai Port unbeaten in 5 of 5 H2H meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Shanghai Port wins3/10
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng wins4/10
Goals per game3.1
H2H avg goals3.4
Supports Tip Shanghai Port unbeaten in 8 of 10 recent games.
3-5-2
Shanghai Port form
4-1-5
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3.4
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Shanghai Port
Overall
4.5
Scoring
5.3
Defence
5.0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Overall
4.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.7
📐 Key Analytics
Shanghai Port
1.6
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 21%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
06.05.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
1
30.06.25
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Shanghai Port
1
2
23.02.25
SL
Shanghai Port
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3
1
13.09.24
SL
Shanghai Port
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2
0
05.05.24
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Shanghai Port
0
6
Recent Results
Shanghai Port
17.07.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Port
2
2
D
04.07.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Shanghai Port
2
1
L
27.06.26
SL
Henan Songshan Longmen
Shanghai Port
1
2
W
19.06.26
FAC
Shanghai Second
Shanghai Port
1
2
W
29.05.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Shanghai Port
3
2
L
23.05.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1
1
D
19.05.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Shanghai Port
0
1
W
15.05.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Zhejiang Professional
2
2
D
10.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Port
2
2
D
06.05.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
1
D
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
18.07.26
SL
Wuhan Three Towns
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2
0
L
11.07.26
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Qingdao West Coast
3
0
W
04.07.26
SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3
0
L
27.06.26
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Chengdu Rongcheng
2
3
L
19.06.26
FAC
Shenzhen Juniors
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
3
W
30.05.26
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Qingdao Hainiu
3
2
W
24.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
2
W
19.05.26
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Dalian Yingbo
1
1
D
15.05.26
SL
Henan Songshan Longmen
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
0
L
10.05.26
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Shandong Taishan
1
2
L
Venue Records
Shanghai Port at Home
23.05.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1
1
D
15.05.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Zhejiang Professional
2
2
D
06.05.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
1
D
25.04.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Wuhan Three Towns
4
0
W
21.04.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1
2
L
04.04.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Yunnan Yukun
2
1
W
15.03.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Qingdao West Coast
4
1
W
07.03.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Henan Songshan Longmen
1
2
L
01.03.26
SC
Shanghai Port
Beijing Guoan
0
2
L
18.02.26
CL
Shanghai Port
Ulsan HD
0
0
D
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Away
18.07.26
SL
Wuhan Three Towns
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2
0
L
04.07.26
SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3
0
L
19.06.26
FAC
Shenzhen Juniors
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
3
W
24.05.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
2
W
15.05.26
SL
Henan Songshan Longmen
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
0
L
06.05.26
SL
Shanghai Port
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
1
D
02.05.26
SL
Zhejiang Professional
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2
1
L
17.04.26
SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2
0
L
21.03.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
0
L
06.03.26
SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
5
1
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 21st July 2026, Shanghai Port host Shenzhen Xinpengcheng at Pudong Football Stadium (Shanghai) in China FA Cup. Our analysis points to Shanghai Port to win or draw as the standout bet.

Shanghai Port come into this going through a difficult run, with 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng are inconsistent on the road — 4W 1D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.6 per match.

Historically, Shanghai Port have won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Shenzhen Xinpengcheng, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3.4 goals.

With all factors considered, shanghai port to win or draw at 1.14 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this China FA Cup preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Pudong Football Stadium (Shanghai) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1X at @1.14, which the numbers put at around 90%. The match begins at 12:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
Our top pick is 1X — Shanghai Port to win or draw at around 1.14. Confidence: 90%.
What is Shanghai Port's recent form?
Shanghai Port have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Shenzhen Xinpengcheng been performing?
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Shanghai Port 4 wins vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's 0, with 1 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 3.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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