Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Latvia Nakotnes Liga 📅 Saturday, 25th July 2026 ⏰ 3:00 pm 📍 N/A ⏳ —
RIG
Riga Mariners
L L W W W
VS
JFK
JFK Ventspils
L W D L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004120
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Riga Mariners to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.34
~50% implied
Confidence
60%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Riga Mariners to win @1.34
Goals Over 1.5 80%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet Home CS 60%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-24.6%
edge
No Value
Market implies 74.6% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -24.6% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Riga Mariners
L D W W W W W D W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 80%
JFK Ventspils
L W D L L W W L L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Riga Mariners2W
Draw0
JFK Ventspils1W
Supports Tip Riga Mariners won 2 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Riga Mariners wins7/10
JFK Ventspils wins3/10
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals2.3
Supports Tip Riga Mariners: 7W 2D 1L from 10 games.
7-2-1
Riga Mariners form
3-2-5
JFK Ventspils form
67%
H2H BTTS rate
2.3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Riga Mariners
Overall
7.6
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.3
JFK Ventspils
Overall
3.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.7
📐 Key Analytics
Riga Mariners
3
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
JFK Ventspils
1.2
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
21.03.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
Riga Mariners
0
1
13.09.25
NL
JFK Ventspils
Riga Mariners
1
2
03.05.25
NL
Riga Mariners
JFK Ventspils
1
2
Recent Results
Riga Mariners
18.07.26
NL
Leevon PPK
Riga Mariners
2
1
L
11.07.26
LC
Riga Mariners
BFC Daugavpils (PEN 5 - 6)
3
3
L
04.07.26
NL
Alberts JDFS
Riga Mariners
0
4
W
27.06.26
NL
Riga Mariners
Marupe
2
0
W
20.06.26
LC
Riga Mariners
Alberts JDFS
1
0
W
14.06.26
NL
Skanste
Riga Mariners
0
2
W
30.05.26
LC
RFK/RFS
Riga Mariners
0
11
W
23.05.26
NL
Riga Mariners
Metta
2
2
D
16.05.26
NL
Riga Mariners
Valmiera
3
1
W
09.05.26
NL
Riga Mariners
FK Smiltene
1
0
W
JFK Ventspils
18.07.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
Alberts JDFS
1
3
L
11.07.26
NL
Skanste
JFK Ventspils
0
3
W
04.07.26
NL
Rezekne
JFK Ventspils
1
1
D
28.06.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
Valmiera
0
2
L
20.06.26
LC
JFK Ventspils
Leevon PPK
1
3
L
14.06.26
NL
Marupe
JFK Ventspils
1
2
W
01.06.26
LC
Upesciema Warriors
JFK Ventspils
0
3
W
23.05.26
NL
Leevon PPK
JFK Ventspils
2
1
L
09.05.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
Metta
0
1
L
02.05.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
RFS 2
0
0
D
Venue Records
Riga Mariners at Home
11.07.26
LC
Riga Mariners
BFC Daugavpils (PEN 5 - 6)
3
3
L
27.06.26
NL
Riga Mariners
Marupe
2
0
W
20.06.26
LC
Riga Mariners
Alberts JDFS
1
0
W
23.05.26
NL
Riga Mariners
Metta
2
2
D
16.05.26
NL
Riga Mariners
Valmiera
3
1
W
09.05.26
NL
Riga Mariners
FK Smiltene
1
0
W
19.04.26
NL
Riga Mariners
Riga FC 2
2
2
D
04.04.26
NL
Riga Mariners
Super Nova 2
1
1
D
27.02.26
CF
Riga Mariners
Tammeka
1
1
D
01.11.25
NL
Riga Mariners
RFS 2
4
3
W
JFK Ventspils Away
11.07.26
NL
Skanste
JFK Ventspils
0
3
W
04.07.26
NL
Rezekne
JFK Ventspils
1
1
D
14.06.26
NL
Marupe
JFK Ventspils
1
2
W
01.06.26
LC
Upesciema Warriors
JFK Ventspils
0
3
W
23.05.26
NL
Leevon PPK
JFK Ventspils
2
1
L
26.04.26
NL
Riga FC 2
JFK Ventspils
4
2
L
11.04.26
NL
Super Nova 2
JFK Ventspils
3
1
L
28.03.26
NL
FK Smiltene
JFK Ventspils
3
3
D
08.11.25
NL
Leevon PPK
JFK Ventspils
3
2
L
25.10.25
NL
Skanste
JFK Ventspils
0
0
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 25th July 2026, Riga Mariners host JFK Ventspils at N/A in Latvia Nakotnes Liga. Our analysis points to Riga Mariners to win as the standout bet.

Riga Mariners come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

JFK Ventspils are struggling away from home — 3W 2D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per match.

Historically, Riga Mariners have won 2 of the last 3 meetings against JFK Ventspils, who have taken 1 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 67% of those games, averaging 2.3 goals.

With all factors considered, riga mariners to win at 1.34 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Latvia Nakotnes Liga preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. N/A tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.34, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 3:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils?
Our top pick is 1 — Riga Mariners to win at around 1.34. Confidence: 60%.
What is Riga Mariners's recent form?
Riga Mariners have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has JFK Ventspils been performing?
JFK Ventspils: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Riga Mariners 2 wins vs JFK Ventspils's 1, with 0 draws in 3 meetings. Avg 2.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 67%.
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