Official Match Programme ยท SurePredictionToday
๐Ÿ“… Monday, 7th September 2026 โฐ 5:00 pm ๐Ÿ“ LNK Sporta Parks (Riga) โณ โ€”
RFS
RFS
L W D W L
VS
FK
FK Liepaja
W L W W L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004608
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing RFS to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.28
~53% implied
Confidence
โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…
59%
Solid Pick
โš  18+ ยท Gamble responsibly ยท Tips are not guarantees ยท GambleAware ยท GamCare
๐ŸŽŸ Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
โ˜… Main 1 โ€” RFS to win @1.28
Goals Over 1.5 80%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

๐Ÿ’ธ Bettor Intelligence PRO
๐Ÿ“Š Value Assessment
-25.1%
edge
No Value
Market implies 78.1% probability. Our estimate is 53%, a -25.1% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
๐Ÿ’ฐ Kelly Criterion
โš  Kelly returns a negative stake โ€” the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Form Streak Tracker
RFS
L W D W L W L D W W
ใ€ฐ Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
FK Liepaja
W L W W L L W L W L
ใ€ฐ Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
โš” Head to Head
RFS8W
Draw1
FK Liepaja1W
Supports Tip RFS won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
๐Ÿ“ˆ Recent Form
RFS wins5/10
FK Liepaja wins5/10
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals3.4
Mixed RFS: 5W 2D 3L from 10 games.
5-2-3
RFS form
5-0-5
FK Liepaja form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3.4
H2H avg goals
โญ Team Form Ratings
RFS
Overall
5.6 โ–ฒ
Scoring
7.3 โ€”
Defence
5.7 โ€”
FK Liepaja
Overall
5.0 โ–ผ
Scoring
4.7 โ€”
Defence
5.3 โ€”
๐Ÿ“ Key Analytics
RFS
2.2
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
FK Liepaja
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
๐ŸŽฏ Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
๐Ÿ“‹ Match History
Head to Head
26.06.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
RFS
0
2
08.05.26
VIR
RFS
FK Liepaja
5
0
13.03.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
RFS
0
1
28.09.25
VIR
FK Liepaja
RFS
2
2
04.07.25
VIR
RFS
FK Liepaja
2
1
14.05.25
VIR
FK Liepaja
RFS
2
1
29.03.25
VIR
RFS
FK Liepaja
4
1
20.09.24
VIR
RFS
FK Liepaja
2
0
01.07.24
VIR
FK Liepaja
RFS
1
3
10.05.24
VIR
RFS
FK Liepaja
4
1
Recent Results
RFS
03.09.26
LC
RFS
Riga FC
2
3
L
30.08.26
VIR
Ogre United
RFS
0
3
W
23.08.26
VIR
RFS
Riga FC
3
3
D
16.08.26
LC
Super Nova
RFS
0
1
W
13.08.26
UECL
RFS
Jablonec
1
2
L
10.08.26
VIR
RFS
Grobina
6
1
W
06.08.26
UECL
Jablonec
RFS
2
0
L
30.07.26
UECL
Vestri
RFS
1
1
D
27.07.26
VIR
Tukums 2000
RFS
0
1
W
23.07.26
UECL
RFS
Vestri
4
1
W
FK Liepaja
31.08.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Riga FC
3
2
W
25.08.26
VIR
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
0
L
21.08.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Grobina
3
1
W
09.08.26
VIR
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
W
02.08.26
VIR
Tukums 2000
FK Liepaja
2
1
L
30.07.26
UECL
Austria Vienna
FK Liepaja
3
1
L
26.07.26
VIR
Jelgava
FK Liepaja
0
2
W
23.07.26
UECL
FK Liepaja
Austria Vienna
0
2
L
15.07.26
UECL
Decic
FK Liepaja
1
2
W
11.07.26
LC
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
0
L
Venue Records
RFS at Home
03.09.26
LC
RFS
Riga FC
2
3
L
23.08.26
VIR
RFS
Riga FC
3
3
D
13.08.26
UECL
RFS
Jablonec
1
2
L
10.08.26
VIR
RFS
Grobina
6
1
W
23.07.26
UECL
RFS
Vestri
4
1
W
16.07.26
UECL
RFS
Glentoran
2
0
W
12.07.26
LC
RFS
Jelgava
2
0
W
04.07.26
VIR
RFS
Auda
1
1
D
30.06.26
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
22.06.26
VIR
RFS
Ogre United
6
0
W
FK Liepaja Away
25.08.26
VIR
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
0
L
09.08.26
VIR
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
W
02.08.26
VIR
Tukums 2000
FK Liepaja
2
1
L
30.07.26
UECL
Austria Vienna
FK Liepaja
3
1
L
26.07.26
VIR
Jelgava
FK Liepaja
0
2
W
15.07.26
UECL
Decic
FK Liepaja
1
2
W
11.07.26
LC
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
0
L
04.07.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
3
1
L
21.06.26
VIR
Riga FC
FK Liepaja
4
0
L
16.06.26
VIR
Grobina
FK Liepaja
1
0
L
๐ŸŽ™ Expert Analysis

On Monday, 7th September 2026, RFS host FK Liepaja at LNK Sporta Parks (Riga). Our analysis points to RFS to win as the standout bet.

RFS come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

FK Liepaja are inconsistent on the road โ€” 5W 0D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 per match.

Historically, RFS have won 8 of the last 10 meetings against FK Liepaja, who have taken 1 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3.4 goals.

With all factors considered, rfs to win at 1.28 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Unknown League preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us โ€” whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. LNK Sporta Parks (Riga) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.28, which the numbers put at around 53%. The match begins at 5:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment โ€” worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

โ“ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for RFS vs FK Liepaja?
Our top pick is 1 โ€” RFS to win at around 1.28. Confidence: 59%.
What is RFS's recent form?
RFS have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 โ€” decent form.
How has FK Liepaja been performing?
FK Liepaja: 5W 0D 5L from 10 games โ€” decent form.
What is the H2H record?
RFS 8 wins vs FK Liepaja's 1, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.