Tip WON  ·  PSG 3-1 Toulouse
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Ligue 1 📅 Friday, 3rd April 2026
PSG
PSG
W W W L W
3-1
VS
TOU
Toulouse
W W L W L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #002896
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing PSG to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.31
~60% implied
Confidence
68%
Strong Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-16.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 76.3% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -16.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
PSG
W W W L W D W W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Toulouse
W W L D L D L L W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
PSG8W
Draw1
Toulouse1W
Supports Tip PSG won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
PSG wins7/10
Toulouse wins3/10
Goals per game3.1
H2H avg goals3.2
Supports Tip PSG: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games.
7-1-2
PSG form
3-3-4
Toulouse form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
3.2
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
PSG
Overall
7.3
Scoring
9.3
Defence
6.0
Toulouse
Overall
3.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.3
📐 Key Analytics
PSG
2.8
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Toulouse
1
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
30.08.25
Ligue 1: Toulouse
PSG
3
6
15.02.25
Ligue 1: Toulouse
PSG
0
1
22.11.24
Ligue 1: PSG
Toulouse
3
0
12.05.24
Ligue 1: PSG
Toulouse
1
3
03.01.24
Trophee des Champions: PSG
Toulouse
2
0
19.08.23
Ligue 1: Toulouse
PSG
1
1
04.02.23
Ligue 1: PSG
Toulouse
2
1
31.08.22
Ligue 1: Toulouse
PSG
0
3
25.08.19
Ligue 1: PSG
Toulouse
4
0
31.03.19
Ligue 1: Toulouse
PSG
0
1
Recent Results
PSG
21.03.26
Ligue 1: Nice
PSG
0
4
W
17.03.26
UCL: Chelsea
PSG
0
3
W
11.03.26
UCL: PSG
Chelsea
5
2
W
06.03.26
Ligue 1: PSG
Monaco
1
3
L
28.02.26
Ligue 1: Le Havre
PSG
0
1
W
25.02.26
UCL: PSG
Monaco
2
2
D
21.02.26
Ligue 1: PSG
Metz
3
0
W
17.02.26
UCL: Monaco
PSG
2
3
W
13.02.26
Ligue 1: Rennes
PSG
3
1
L
08.02.26
Ligue 1: PSG
Marseille
5
0
W
Toulouse
21.03.26
L1: Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
15.03.26
L1: Metz
Toulouse
3
4
W
07.03.26
L1: Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
04.03.26
CDF: Marseille
Toulouse (2-3 Pens)
2
2
W
28.02.26
L1: Rennes
Toulouse
1
0
L
21.02.26
L1: Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
15.02.26
L1: Le Havre
Toulouse
2
1
L
08.02.26
L1: Angers
Toulouse
1
0
L
04.02.26
CDF: Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
01.02.26
L1: Toulouse
Auxerre
0
0
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Friday, 3rd April 2026, PSG host Toulouse in Ligue 1. Our analysis points to PSG to win as the standout bet.

PSG come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Toulouse are struggling away from home — 3W 3D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1.1 per match.

Historically, PSG have won 8 of the last 10 meetings against Toulouse, who have taken 1 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 3.2 goals.

With all factors considered, psg to win at 1.31 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Ligue 1 fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.31.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for PSG vs Toulouse?
Our top pick is 1 — PSG to win at around 1.31. Confidence: 68%.
What is PSG's recent form?
PSG have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Toulouse been performing?
Toulouse: 3W 3D 4L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
PSG 8 wins vs Toulouse's 1, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.