Tip WON  ·  Parnu 2-1 Tartu Welco
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Estonian Cup 📅 Tuesday, 10th March 2026
PAR
Parnu
W L W L W
2-1
VS
TAR
Tartu Welco
W D L L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #002615
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Parnu to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.25
~50% implied
Confidence
66%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Parnu to win @1.25
Goals Over 2.5 90%
Goals Over 1.5 100%
H2H Over 2.5 75%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-30%
edge
No Value
Market implies 80% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -30% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Parnu
W L W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Tartu Welco
W D L L L
🥶 Cold 3 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Parnu4W
Draw0
Tartu Welco0W
Supports Tip Parnu won 4 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Parnu wins3/5
Tartu Welco wins1/5
Goals per game4.7
H2H avg goals3.5
Supports Tip Parnu: 3W 0D 2L from 5 games.
3-0-2
Parnu form
1-1-3
Tartu Welco form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3.5
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Parnu
Overall
6.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
4.0
Tartu Welco
Overall
2.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
0.7
📐 Key Analytics
Parnu
3.6
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Tartu Welco
1.2
Goals
scored/game
2.8
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 60%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 2%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
⚽ ESI (19.10.19): Parnu JK Vaprus
Tartu Welco
3
0
⚽ ESI (04.07.19): Tartu Welco
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
2
⚽ ESI (09.05.19): Parnu JK Vaprus
Tartu Welco
5
1
⚽ ESI (04.04.19): Tartu Welco
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
2
Recent Results
Parnu
⚽ ML (07.03.26): Parnu JK Vaprus
Paide
3
2
⚽ CF (15.02.26): Parnu JK Vaprus
Narva
0
2
⚽ CF (08.02.26): Tallinna Kalev
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
6
⚽ CF (04.02.26): Parnu JK Vaprus
Metta
0
3
⚽ CF (31.01.26): Parnu JK Vaprus
Kuressaare
9
2
Tartu Welco
⚽ ESI (05.03.26): Tartu Welco
Tallinna Kalev
3
0
⚽ CF (25.02.26): Narva
Tartu Welco
2
2
⚽ CF (21.02.26): Tartu Welco
Metta
0
4
⚽ CF (24.01.26): Harju JK Laagri
Tartu Welco
3
0
⚽ CF (14.01.26): Paide
Tartu Welco
5
1
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 10th March 2026, Parnu host Tartu Welco in Estonian Cup. Our analysis points to Parnu to win as the standout bet.

Parnu come into this showing mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 5 matches. They average 3.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.

Tartu Welco are struggling away from home — 1W 1D 3L in 5 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.8 per match.

Historically, Parnu have won 4 of the last 4 meetings against Tartu Welco, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 3.5 goals.

With all factors considered, parnu to win at 1.25 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Parnu vs Tartu Welco?
Our top pick is 1 — Parnu to win at around 1.25. Confidence: 66%.
What is Parnu's recent form?
Parnu have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 — decent form.
How has Tartu Welco been performing?
Tartu Welco: 1W 1D 3L from 5 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Parnu 4 wins vs Tartu Welco's 0, with 0 draws in 4 meetings. Avg 3.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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