Tip LOST  ·  Paide 0-1 Tammeka
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Estonia Meistriliiga 📅 Friday, 1st May 2026
PAI
Paide
L D W W W
0-1
VS
TAM
Tammeka
L L D L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003207
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Paide to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.46
~50% implied
Confidence
63%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Paide to win @1.46
Goals Over 2.5 65%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-18.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 68.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -18.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Paide
L D W W W W D W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Tammeka
L L D L L W W L L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Paide9W
Draw0
Tammeka1W
Supports Tip Paide won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Paide wins6/10
Tammeka wins2/10
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals2.7
Supports Tip Paide: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Paide form
2-2-6
Tammeka form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2.7
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Paide
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.3
Tammeka
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.0
📐 Key Analytics
Paide
2.3
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Tammeka
1.1
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
12.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
29.10.25
CUP
Paide
Tammeka
3
0
18.10.25
ML
Paide
Tammeka
5
0
23.08.25
ML
Tammeka
Paide
0
1
28.06.25
ML
Tammeka
Paide
0
2
05.04.25
ML
Paide
Tammeka
1
0
26.10.24
ML
Paide
Tammeka
2
0
24.08.24
ML
Tammeka
Paide
1
3
18.05.24
ML
Tammeka
Paide
1
2
20.04.24
ML
Paide
Tammeka
0
1
Recent Results
Paide
26.04.26
ML
Paide
Flora
1
2
L
22.04.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
19.04.26
ML
Paide
Kalju
1
0
W
12.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
W
08.04.26
ML
Paide
Nomme Utd
3
1
W
03.04.26
ML
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
W
22.03.26
ML
Levadia
Paide
2
2
D
15.03.26
ML
Paide
Narva
1
0
W
11.03.26
CUP
Paide
Tallinna Kalev
6
0
W
07.03.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Paide
3
2
L
Tammeka
25.04.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
L
22.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Levadia
1
2
L
18.04.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Tammeka
0
0
D
12.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
07.04.26
ML
Narva
Tammeka
3
0
L
03.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Flora
3
1
W
21.03.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Tammeka
2
3
W
14.03.26
ML
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
L
08.03.26
ML
Tammeka
Kalju
0
1
L
27.02.26
CF
Riga Mariners
Tammeka
1
1
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Friday, 1st May 2026, Paide host Tammeka in Estonia Meistriliiga. Our analysis points to Paide to win as the standout bet.

Paide come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Tammeka are struggling away from home — 2W 2D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.8 per match.

Historically, Paide have won 9 of the last 10 meetings against Tammeka, who have taken 1 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 30% of those games, averaging 2.7 goals.

With all factors considered, paide to win at 1.46 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Estonia Meistriliiga fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.46.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Paide vs Tammeka?
Our top pick is 1 — Paide to win at around 1.46. Confidence: 63%.
What is Paide's recent form?
Paide have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Tammeka been performing?
Tammeka: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Paide 9 wins vs Tammeka's 1, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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