Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Copa Paraguay 📅 Thursday, 1st October 2026 ⏰ 11:00 pm 📍 Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb (Asunción) ⏳ —
OLI
Olimpia Asuncion
W W W W D
VS
SP.
Sp. Luqueno
L W L L D
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004825
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Olimpia Asuncion to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.43
~49% implied
Confidence
★★★★★
67%
Strong Pick
⚠ 18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Olimpia Asuncion to win @1.43
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-20.9%
edge
No Value
Market implies 69.9% probability. Our estimate is 49%, a -20.9% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Olimpia Asuncion
W W W W D W W W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
Sp. Luqueno
L W L L D W L W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Olimpia Asuncion10W
Draw0
Sp. Luqueno0W
Supports Tip Olimpia Asuncion won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Olimpia Asuncion wins8/10
Sp. Luqueno wins4/10
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals3
Supports Tip Olimpia Asuncion: 8W 1D 1L from 10 games.
8-1-1
Olimpia Asuncion form
4-1-5
Sp. Luqueno form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Olimpia Asuncion
Overall
8.3 —
Scoring
7.3 —
Defence
6.0 —
Sp. Luqueno
Overall
4.3 ▲
Scoring
3.7 —
Defence
5.7 —
📐 Key Analytics
Olimpia Asuncion
2.2
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Sp. Luqueno
1.1
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
13.09.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Sp. Luqueno
3
0
23.05.26
PD
Sp. Luqueno
Olimpia Asuncion
1
2
18.03.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Sp. Luqueno
1
0
21.11.25
PD
Sp. Luqueno
Olimpia Asuncion
2
4
30.08.25
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Sp. Luqueno
2
0
20.04.25
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Sp. Luqueno
3
1
09.02.25
PD
Sp. Luqueno
Olimpia Asuncion
0
1
28.11.24
PD
Sp. Luqueno
Olimpia Asuncion
0
1
15.09.24
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Sp. Luqueno
4
3
22.05.24
PD
Sp. Luqueno
Olimpia Asuncion
0
2
Recent Results
Olimpia Asuncion
28.09.26
PD
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpia Asuncion
0
1
W
20.09.26
PD
San Lorenzo
Olimpia Asuncion
0
3
W
13.09.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Sp. Luqueno
3
0
W
06.09.26
PD
Sportivo Trinidense
Olimpia Asuncion
1
2
W
02.09.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Guarani
1
1
D
29.08.26
PD
Recoleta
Olimpia Asuncion
1
2
W
26.08.26
COP
Cristobal Colon FC
Olimpia Asuncion
3
5
W
23.08.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
20.08.26
COP
Olimpia Asuncion
Vasco
1
4
L
16.08.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Ameliano
2
1
W
Sp. Luqueno
25.09.26
PD
Sp. Luqueno
Guarani
0
1
L
20.09.26
PD
Sp. Luqueno
Recoleta
1
0
W
13.09.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Sp. Luqueno
3
0
L
06.09.26
PD
Sp. Luqueno
Ameliano
1
2
L
01.09.26
PD
2 de Mayo
Sp. Luqueno
2
2
D
28.08.26
PD
Sp. Luqueno
Rubio Nu
2
1
W
24.08.26
PD
Nacional Asuncion
Sp. Luqueno
2
0
L
19.08.26
COP
Paraguari AC
Sp. Luqueno
0
2
W
16.08.26
PD
Sp. Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
L
09.08.26
PD
San Lorenzo
Sp. Luqueno
0
2
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 1st October 2026, Olimpia Asuncion host Sp. Luqueno at Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb (Asunción) in Copa Paraguay. Our analysis points to Olimpia Asuncion to win as the standout bet.

Olimpia Asuncion come into this in strong form, with 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Sp. Luqueno are inconsistent on the road — 4W 1D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 per match.

Historically, Olimpia Asuncion have won 10 of the last 10 meetings against Sp. Luqueno, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, olimpia asuncion to win at 1.43 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Copa Paraguay preview.

The hosts turn up on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb (Asunción) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.43, which the numbers put at around 49%. The match begins at 11:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno?
Our top pick is 1 — Olimpia Asuncion to win at around 1.43. Confidence: 67%.
What is Olimpia Asuncion's recent form?
Olimpia Asuncion have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Sp. Luqueno been performing?
Sp. Luqueno: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Olimpia Asuncion 10 wins vs Sp. Luqueno's 0, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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