Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Slovenia PRVA Liga 📅 Monday, 10th August 2026 ⏰ 5:00 pm 📍 Mestni stadion Fazanerija (Murska Sobota) ⏳ —
MUR
Mura
L W D L D
VS
RAD
Radomlje
L D L L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004277
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 1.5
We're backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.18
~90% implied
Confidence
85%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals @1.18
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+5.3%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 84.7% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +5.3% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 34.4% $344.00
Half Kelly 17.2% $172.00
Quarter Kelly 8.6% $86.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Mura
L W D L D L D L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
Radomlje
L D L L L L W L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Mura5W
Draw2
Radomlje3W
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 70% of H2H meetings (avg 2.5).
📈 Recent Form
Mura wins3/10
Radomlje wins2/10
Goals per game3.3
H2H avg goals2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 90% of recent games.
3-3-4
Mura form
2-1-7
Radomlje form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.5
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Mura
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
2.7
Radomlje
Overall
2.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.7
📐 Key Analytics
Mura
1.4
Goals
scored/game
2.2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Radomlje
1
Goals
scored/game
1.9
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 19%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
22.05.26
PL
Radomlje
Mura
3
2
21.03.26
PL
Mura
Radomlje
2
0
06.12.25
PL
Radomlje
Mura
3
1
21.09.25
PL
Mura
Radomlje
0
0
03.05.25
PL
Radomlje
Mura
2
0
08.03.25
PL
Mura
Radomlje
2
0
10.11.24
PL
Radomlje
Mura
2
4
24.08.24
PL
Mura
Radomlje
1
0
20.04.24
PL
Radomlje
Mura
1
2
25.02.24
PL
Mura
Radomlje
0
0
Recent Results
Mura
01.08.26
PL
Nafta
Mura
5
2
L
25.07.26
PL
Mura
O. Ljubljana
1
0
W
17.07.26
PL
Celje
Mura
2
2
D
05.07.26
CF
Beltinci
Mura
4
1
L
04.07.26
CF
Mura
Noah
1
1
D
26.06.26
CF
Sturm Graz
Mura
5
0
L
20.06.26
CF
Ararat-Armenia
Mura
1
1
D
22.05.26
PL
Radomlje
Mura
3
2
L
17.05.26
PL
Mura
Maribor
2
1
W
10.05.26
PL
Primorje
Mura
0
2
W
Radomlje
02.08.26
PL
Radomlje
Bravo
1
2
L
26.07.26
PL
Koper
Radomlje
2
2
D
18.07.26
PL
Radomlje
Grosuplje
0
2
L
10.07.26
CF
Radomlje
Varazdin
0
1
L
03.07.26
CF
Radomlje
Rijeka
0
2
L
26.06.26
CF
Radomlje
Din. Zagreb
0
3
L
22.05.26
PL
Radomlje
Mura
3
2
W
17.05.26
PL
O. Ljubljana
Radomlje
2
1
L
09.05.26
PL
Bravo
Radomlje
2
1
L
03.05.26
PL
Radomlje
Maribor
2
1
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Monday, 10th August 2026, Mura host Radomlje at Mestni stadion Fazanerija (Murska Sobota) in Slovenia PRVA Liga. Our analysis points to over 1.5 goals as the standout bet.

Mura come into this going through a difficult run, with 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game.

Radomlje are struggling away from home — 2W 1D 7L in 10 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1.9 per match.

Historically, Mura have won 5 of the last 10 meetings against Radomlje, who have taken 3 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 2.5 goals.

With all factors considered, over 1.5 goals at 1.18 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Slovenia PRVA Liga preview.

The hosts turn up on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Mestni stadion Fazanerija (Murska Sobota) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is Over 1.5 at @1.18, which the numbers put at around 90%. The match begins at 5:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Mura vs Radomlje?
Our top pick is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals at around 1.18. Confidence: 85%.
What is Mura's recent form?
Mura have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Radomlje been performing?
Radomlje: 2W 1D 7L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Mura 5 wins vs Radomlje's 3, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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