Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Bulgaria Vtora League 📅 Tuesday, 4th August 2026 ⏰ 4:30 pm 📍 Ogosta Stadium (Montana) ⏳ —
MON
Montana
D W L D L
VS
NES
Nesebar
L D D W W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004228
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Montana to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.33
~50% implied
Confidence
42%
Value Play
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Montana to win @1.33
Goals Under 2.5 75%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 65%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-25.2%
edge
No Value
Market implies 75.2% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -25.2% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Montana
D W L D L L L D D D
〰 Mixed 3 in a row
Momentum 0%
Nesebar
D W L D L L L D D D
〰 Mixed 3 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Montana4W
Draw1
Nesebar1W
Supports Tip Montana won 4 of the last 6 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Montana wins1/10
Nesebar wins1/10
Goals per game1.7
H2H avg goals3.2
Caution Montana: 1W 5D 4L from 10 games.
1-5-4
Montana form
1-5-4
Nesebar form
83%
H2H BTTS rate
3.2
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Montana
Overall
2.5
Scoring
4.3
Defence
3.0
Nesebar
Overall
2.5
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
📐 Key Analytics
Montana
1.3
Goals
scored/game
2.1
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Nesebar
0
Goals
scored/game
0
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 25%
Draw & BTTS No 46%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 4%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 53%
Away Win & Over 2.5 4%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
06.04.25
2L
Nesebar
Montana
1
3
28.09.24
2L
Montana
Nesebar
2
0
23.05.19
2L
Nesebar
Montana
1
2
26.11.18
2L
Montana
Nesebar
3
1
31.03.18
2L
Nesebar
Montana
1
1
09.09.17
2L
Montana
Nesebar
1
3
Recent Results
Montana
25.07.26
2L
Svoge
Montana
2
2
D
18.07.26
CF
Montana
Spartak Pleven
3
1
W
11.07.26
CF
Slavia Sofia
Montana
7
2
L
01.07.26
CF
CSKA Sofia II
Montana
1
1
D
22.05.26
1L
Slavia Sofia
Montana
2
0
L
18.05.26
1L
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
2
L
14.05.26
1L
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
0
L
09.05.26
1L
Montana
Lok. Sofia
2
2
D
05.05.26
1L
Beroe
Montana
2
2
D
01.05.26
1L
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
Nesebar
25.07.26
2L
Svoge
Montana
2
2
D
18.07.26
CF
Montana
Spartak Pleven
3
1
W
11.07.26
CF
Slavia Sofia
Montana
7
2
L
01.07.26
CF
CSKA Sofia II
Montana
1
1
D
22.05.26
1L
Slavia Sofia
Montana
2
0
L
18.05.26
1L
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
2
L
14.05.26
1L
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
0
L
09.05.26
1L
Montana
Lok. Sofia
2
2
D
05.05.26
1L
Beroe
Montana
2
2
D
01.05.26
1L
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 4th August 2026, Montana host Nesebar at Ogosta Stadium (Montana) in Bulgaria Vtora League. Our analysis points to Montana to win as the standout bet.

Montana come into this going through a difficult run, with 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game.

Nesebar are struggling away from home — 1W 5D 4L in 10 games, scoring 0 and conceding 0 per match.

Historically, Montana have won 4 of the last 6 meetings against Nesebar, who have taken 1 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 83% of those games, averaging 3.2 goals.

With all factors considered, montana to win at 1.33 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Bulgaria Vtora League preview.

The hosts turn up on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Ogosta Stadium (Montana) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.33, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 4:30 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Montana vs Nesebar?
Our top pick is 1 — Montana to win at around 1.33. Confidence: 42%.
What is Montana's recent form?
Montana have won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has Nesebar been performing?
Nesebar: 1W 5D 4L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Montana 4 wins vs Nesebar's 1, with 1 draws in 6 meetings. Avg 3.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 83%.
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