Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Latvia Nakotnes liga 📅 Saturday, 18th July 2026 ⏰ 1:00 pm 📍 N/A ⏳ —
MAR
Marupe
L W L W L
VS
MET
Metta
W W W W W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004050
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
2
We're backing Metta to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.22
~50% implied
Confidence
68%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 2 — Metta to win @1.22
Goals Over 2.5 80%
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-32%
edge
No Value
Market implies 82% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -32% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Marupe
L W L W L W L W W W
🔥 Hot 3 in a row
Momentum 80%
Metta
W W W W W W D W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Marupe0W
Draw0
Metta2W
Supports Tip Metta won 2 of 2 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Marupe wins6/10
Metta wins8/10
Goals per game3.9
H2H avg goals5
Supports Tip Metta: 8W 1D 1L from 10 games.
6-0-4
Marupe form
8-1-1
Metta form
100%
H2H BTTS rate
5
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Marupe
Overall
6.0
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.3
Metta
Overall
8.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.3
📐 Key Analytics
Marupe
1.7
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Metta
3.5
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 33%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 45%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
13.07.25
LC
Marupe
Metta
1
4
08.02.24
CF
Metta
Marupe
4
1
Recent Results
Marupe
12.07.26
LC
Marupe
Grobina
0
1
L
04.07.26
NL
Marupe
FK Smiltene
2
1
W
27.06.26
NL
Riga Mariners
Marupe
2
0
L
19.06.26
LC
Marupe
Aliance (AET)
4
2
W
14.06.26
NL
Marupe
JFK Ventspils
1
2
L
30.05.26
LC
JFC Viola
Marupe
1
2
W
23.05.26
NL
Marupe
RFS 2
1
4
L
17.05.26
NL
Riga FC 2
Marupe
0
4
W
09.05.26
NL
Tukums 2000 2
Marupe
1
2
W
02.05.26
NL
Super Nova 2
Marupe
0
1
W
Metta
10.07.26
LC
Metta
Speks
3
1
W
04.07.26
NL
Metta
Skanste
3
1
W
28.06.26
NL
Leevon PPK
Metta
1
3
W
20.06.26
LC
Metta
Kekava-Auda
5
0
W
13.06.26
NL
Metta
Super Nova 2
7
3
W
31.05.26
LC
Lielupe
Metta
0
6
W
23.05.26
NL
Riga Mariners
Metta
2
2
D
16.05.26
NL
Metta
Alberts JDFS
4
1
W
09.05.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
Metta
0
1
W
02.05.26
NL
Metta
Valmiera
1
2
L
Venue Records
Marupe at Home
12.07.26
LC
Marupe
Grobina
0
1
L
04.07.26
NL
Marupe
FK Smiltene
2
1
W
19.06.26
LC
Marupe
Aliance (AET)
4
2
W
14.06.26
NL
Marupe
JFK Ventspils
1
2
L
23.05.26
NL
Marupe
RFS 2
1
4
L
18.04.26
NL
Marupe
Valmiera
2
3
L
04.04.26
NL
Marupe
Skanste
4
0
W
22.03.26
NL
Marupe
Rezekne
4
0
W
08.11.25
NL
Marupe
Ogre United
0
1
L
25.10.25
NL
Marupe
AFA Olaine
5
1
W
Metta Away
28.06.26
NL
Leevon PPK
Metta
1
3
W
31.05.26
LC
Lielupe
Metta
0
6
W
23.05.26
NL
Riga Mariners
Metta
2
2
D
09.05.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
Metta
0
1
W
11.04.26
NL
RFS 2
Metta
0
3
W
21.03.26
NL
Tukums 2000 2
Metta
1
3
W
21.02.26
CF
Tartu Welco
Metta
0
4
W
07.02.26
CF
FK Panevezys
Metta
2
1
L
04.02.26
CF
Parnu JK Vaprus
Metta
0
3
W
31.01.26
CF
Paide
Metta
2
1
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 18th July 2026, Marupe host Metta at N/A in Latvia Nakotnes liga. Our analysis points to Metta to win as the standout bet.

Marupe come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Metta are travelling well — 8W 1D 1L in 10 games, scoring 3.5 and conceding 1.1 per match.

Historically, Marupe have won 0 of the last 2 meetings against Metta, who have taken 2 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 100% of those games, averaging 5 goals.

With all factors considered, metta to win at 1.22 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Latvia Nakotnes liga preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. N/A tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 5 wins from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 2 at @1.22, which the numbers put at around 20,30,50%. The match begins at 1:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Marupe vs Metta?
Our top pick is 2 — Metta to win at around 1.22. Confidence: 68%.
What is Marupe's recent form?
Marupe have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Metta been performing?
Metta: 8W 1D 1L from 10 games — very good form.
What is the H2H record?
Marupe 0 wins vs Metta's 2, with 0 draws in 2 meetings. Avg 5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 100%.
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