Tip WON  ·  Marseille 3-1 Metz
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Ligue 1 📅 Friday, 10th April 2026
MAR
Marseille
L L W W L
3-1
VS
MET
Metz
D D L L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #002977
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Marseille to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.31
~50% implied
Confidence
44%
Value Play
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💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-26.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 76.3% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -26.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Marseille
L L W W D W L D L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Metz
D D L L L L L D L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Marseille4W
Draw6
Metz0W
Against Marseille won 4 of the last 10 meetings (6 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Marseille wins4/10
Metz wins0/10
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals3
Caution Marseille: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games.
4-2-4
Marseille form
0-3-7
Metz form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Marseille
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.3
Metz
Overall
0.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
3.3
📐 Key Analytics
Marseille
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Metz
0.6
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
04.10.25
Ligue 1: Metz
Marseille
0
3
09.02.24
Ligue 1: Marseille
Metz
1
1
18.08.23
Ligue 1: Metz
Marseille
2
2
13.02.22
Ligue 1: Metz
Marseille
1
2
07.11.21
Ligue 1: Marseille
Metz
0
0
23.05.21
Ligue 1: Metz
Marseille
1
1
26.09.20
Ligue 1: Marseille
Metz
1
1
14.12.19
Ligue 1: Metz
Marseille
1
1
02.02.18
Ligue 1: Marseille
Metz
6
3
29.11.17
Ligue 1: Metz
Marseille
0
3
Recent Results
Marseille
05.04.26
Ligue 1: AS Monaco
Marseille
2
1
L
22.03.26
Ligue 1: Marseille
LOSC Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Ligue 1: Marseille
AJ Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Ligue 1: Toulouse FC
Marseille
0
1
W
04.03.26
Coupe de France: Marseille
Toulouse FC - L (4-5 pens)
2
2
01.03.26
Ligue 1: Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Ligue 1: Brest
Marseille
2
0
L
14.02.26
Ligue 1: Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Ligue 1: PSG
Marseille
5
0
L
03.02.26
Coupe de France: Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
Metz
05.04.26
Ligue 1: Metz
FC Nantes
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ligue 1: Stade Rennais
Metz
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ligue 1: Metz
Toulouse FC
3
4
L
08.03.26
Ligue 1: RC Lens
Metz
3
0
L
01.03.26
Ligue 1: Metz
Stade Brestois
0
1
L
21.02.26
Ligue 1: PSG
Metz
3
0
L
15.02.26
Ligue 1: Metz
AJ Auxerre
1
3
L
06.02.26
Ligue 1: Metz
LOSC Lille
0
0
D
01.02.26
Ligue 1: Angers SCO
Metz
1
0
L
25.01.26
Ligue 1: Metz
Olympique Lyonnais
2
5
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Friday, 10th April 2026, Marseille host Metz in Ligue 1. Our analysis points to Marseille to win as the standout bet.

Marseille come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

Metz are struggling away from home — 0W 3D 7L in 10 games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2 per match.

Historically, Marseille have won 4 of the last 10 meetings against Metz, who have taken 0 victories, with 6 draws. Both teams scored in 70% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, marseille to win at 1.31 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Ligue 1 fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.31.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Marseille vs Metz?
Our top pick is 1 — Marseille to win at around 1.31. Confidence: 44%.
What is Marseille's recent form?
Marseille have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Metz been performing?
Metz: 0W 3D 7L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Marseille 4 wins vs Metz's 0, with 6 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.
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