Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
📅 Sunday, 6th September 2026 ⏰ 4:30 pm 📍 Ljudski vrt (Maribor) ⏳ —
MAR
Maribor
W W D W D
VS
MUR
Mura
L L W L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004604
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Maribor to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.40
~48% implied
Confidence
51%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Maribor to win @1.40
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-23.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 71.4% probability. Our estimate is 48%, a -23.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Maribor
W W D W D D W D D D
〰 Mixed 3 in a row
Momentum 20%
Mura
L L W L L W D L D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Maribor7W
Draw1
Mura2W
Supports Tip Maribor won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Maribor wins4/10
Mura wins2/10
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals2.6
Caution Maribor: 4W 6D 0L from 10 games.
4-6-0
Maribor form
2-2-6
Mura form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.6
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Maribor
Overall
5.8
Scoring
5.3
Defence
7.3
Mura
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
2.0
📐 Key Analytics
Maribor
1.6
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Mura
1
Goals
scored/game
2.4
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 26%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 22%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
17.05.26
PL
Mura
Maribor
2
1
14.03.26
PL
Maribor
Mura
3
0
29.11.25
PL
Mura
Maribor
0
1
13.09.25
PL
Maribor
Mura
1
0
21.04.25
PL
Mura
Maribor
1
2
22.02.25
PL
Maribor
Mura
2
0
26.10.24
PL
Mura
Maribor
1
1
11.08.24
PL
Maribor
Mura
2
1
09.04.24
PL
Maribor
Mura
5
0
18.02.24
PL
Mura
Maribor
3
0
Recent Results
Maribor
30.08.26
PL
Nafta
Maribor
2
3
W
23.08.26
PL
Maribor
Bravo
3
1
W
15.08.26
PL
O. Ljubljana
Maribor
1
1
D
09.08.26
PL
Maribor
Koper
2
0
W
04.08.26
CF
Varteks Varazdin
Maribor
1
1
D
01.08.26
PL
Celje
Maribor
1
1
D
25.07.26
PL
Maribor
Grosuplje
3
0
W
19.07.26
PL
Aluminij
Maribor
0
0
D
10.07.26
CF
Maribor
Charlton
1
1
D
04.07.26
CF
Maribor
Zeleznicar Pancevo
1
1
D
Mura
29.08.26
PL
Bravo
Mura
2
0
L
22.08.26
PL
Mura
Koper
0
1
L
16.08.26
PL
Grosuplje
Mura
1
2
W
10.08.26
PL
Mura
Radomlje
1
3
L
01.08.26
PL
Nafta
Mura
5
2
L
25.07.26
PL
Mura
O. Ljubljana
1
0
W
17.07.26
PL
Celje
Mura
2
2
D
05.07.26
CF
Beltinci
Mura
4
1
L
04.07.26
CF
Mura
Noah
1
1
D
26.06.26
CF
Sturm Graz
Mura
5
0
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 6th September 2026, Maribor host Mura at Ljudski vrt (Maribor). Our analysis points to Maribor to win as the standout bet.

Maribor come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Mura are struggling away from home — 2W 2D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1 and conceding 2.4 per match.

Historically, Maribor have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against Mura, who have taken 2 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 2.6 goals.

With all factors considered, maribor to win at 1.40 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Unknown League preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Ljudski vrt (Maribor) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.40, which the numbers put at around 48%. The match begins at 4:30 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Maribor vs Mura?
Our top pick is 1 — Maribor to win at around 1.40. Confidence: 51%.
What is Maribor's recent form?
Maribor have won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Mura been performing?
Mura: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Maribor 7 wins vs Mura's 2, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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