Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Champions League Qualifier 📅 Tuesday, 11th August 2026 ⏰ 8:00 pm 📍 Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) ⏳ —
LYO
Lyon
L L W L W
VS
SPA
Sparta Prague
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004284
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Lyon to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.43
~50% implied
Confidence
55%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Lyon to win @1.43
Goals Over 2.5 75%
Goals Over 1.5 95%
H2H Over 2.5 86%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-19.9%
edge
No Value
Market implies 69.9% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -19.9% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Lyon
L L W L W W W L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Sparta Prague
L W W L L L W W W W
🔥 Hot 4 in a row
Momentum 80%
⚔ Head to Head
Lyon5W
Draw1
Sparta Prague1W
Supports Tip Lyon won 5 of the last 7 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Lyon wins5/10
Sparta Prague wins6/10
Goals per game3.8
H2H avg goals3.7
Mixed Lyon: 5W 0D 5L from 10 games.
5-0-5
Lyon form
6-0-4
Sparta Prague form
71%
H2H BTTS rate
3.7
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Lyon
Overall
5.0
Scoring
7.0
Defence
2.7
Sparta Prague
Overall
6.0
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.0
📐 Key Analytics
Lyon
2.1
Goals
scored/game
2.2
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Sparta Prague
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 41%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
04.08.26
CL
Sparta Prague
Lyon
2
1
04.11.21
EL
Lyon
Sparta Prague
3
0
21.10.21
EL
Sparta Prague
Lyon
3
4
22.11.12
EL
Sparta Prague
Lyon
1
1
20.09.12
EL
Lyon
Sparta Prague
2
1
08.12.04
CL
Lyon
Sparta Prague
5
0
28.09.04
CL
Sparta Prague
Lyon
1
2
Recent Results
Lyon
04.08.26
CL
Sparta Prague
Lyon
2
1
L
29.07.26
CF
Betis
Lyon
4
0
L
24.07.26
CF
Wolfsburg
Lyon
0
2
W
18.07.26
CF
Slavia Prague
Lyon
2
0
L
15.07.26
CF
Lyon
Servette
2
1
W
11.07.26
CF
Lyon
St. Gallen
6
3
W
08.07.26
CF
Lyon
Macon
5
2
W
17.05.26
L1
Lyon
Lens
0
4
L
10.05.26
L1
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
L
03.05.26
L1
Lyon
Rennes
4
2
W
Sparta Prague
08.08.26
1L
Mlada Boleslav
Sparta Prague
2
0
L
04.08.26
CL
Sparta Prague
Lyon
2
1
W
31.07.26
1L
Sparta Prague
Zlin
3
1
W
25.07.26
1L
Brno
Sparta Prague
3
1
L
17.07.26
CF
Nordsjaelland
Sparta Prague
5
1
L
16.07.26
CF
Jagiellonia
Sparta Prague
1
0
L
11.07.26
CF
Sparta Prague
Gamba Osaka
3
0
W
04.07.26
CF
Sparta Prague
Opava
4
1
W
24.05.26
1L
Sparta Prague
Hradec Kralove
2
1
W
17.05.26
1L
Liberec
Sparta Prague
0
2
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 11th August 2026, Lyon host Sparta Prague at Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) in Champions League Qualifier. Our analysis points to Lyon to win as the standout bet.

Lyon come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game.

Sparta Prague are inconsistent on the road — 6W 0D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 per match.

Historically, Lyon have won 5 of the last 7 meetings against Sparta Prague, who have taken 1 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 71% of those games, averaging 3.7 goals.

With all factors considered, lyon to win at 1.43 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Champions League Qualifier preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on N/A. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.43, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 8:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Lyon vs Sparta Prague?
Our top pick is 1 — Lyon to win at around 1.43. Confidence: 55%.
What is Lyon's recent form?
Lyon have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Sparta Prague been performing?
Sparta Prague: 6W 0D 4L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Lyon 5 wins vs Sparta Prague's 1, with 1 draws in 7 meetings. Avg 3.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 71%.
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