Tip WON  ·  Latvia 1-0 Gibraltar
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 UEFA Nations League 📅 Tuesday, 31st March 2026
LAT
Latvia
W L D L D
1-0
VS
GIB
Gibraltar
L L L L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #002858
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Latvia to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.21
~50% implied
Confidence
46%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Latvia to win @1.21
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 75%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-32.6%
edge
No Value
Market implies 82.6% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -32.6% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Latvia
W L D L D L L D D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
Gibraltar
L L L L L L L L L L
🥶 Cold 10 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Latvia4W
Draw0
Gibraltar1W
Supports Tip Latvia won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Latvia wins1/10
Gibraltar wins0/10
Goals per game2.6
H2H avg goals3
Caution Latvia: 1W 4D 5L from 10 games.
1-4-5
Latvia form
0-0-10
Gibraltar form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Latvia
Overall
2.2
Scoring
1.7
Defence
5.0
Gibraltar
Overall
0.0
Scoring
0.7
Defence
0.3
📐 Key Analytics
Latvia
0.5
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Gibraltar
0.2
Goals
scored/game
2.9
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 50%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 34%
Draw & Under 2.5 34%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
26.03.26
UNL: Gibraltar
Latvia
0
1
16.11.21
WCQ: Gibraltar
Latvia
1
3
01.09.21
WCQ: Latvia
Gibraltar
3
1
25.03.18
FI: Gibraltar
Latvia
1
0
29.03.16
FI: Gibraltar
Latvia
0
5
Recent Results
Latvia
26.03.26
UNL: Gibraltar
Latvia
0
1
W
16.11.25
WCQ: Serbia
Latvia
2
1
L
13.11.25
FI: North Macedonia
Latvia
0
0
D
14.10.25
WCQ: Latvia
England
0
5
L
11.10.25
WCQ: Latvia
Andorra
2
2
D
09.09.25
WCQ: Albania
Latvia
1
0
L
06.09.25
WCQ: Latvia
Serbia
0
1
L
10.06.25
WCQ: Latvia
Albania
1
1
D
07.06.25
FI: Latvia
Azerbaijan
0
0
D
24.03.25
WCQ: England
Latvia
3
0
L
Gibraltar
26.03.26
UNL: Gibraltar
Latvia
0
1
L
17.11.25
WCQ: Czech Republic
Gibraltar
6
0
L
14.11.25
WCQ: Gibraltar
Montenegro
1
2
L
12.10.25
WCQ: Croatia
Gibraltar
3
0
L
08.10.25
FI: Gibraltar
New Caledonia
0
2
L
08.09.25
WCQ: Gibraltar
Faroe Islands
0
1
L
04.09.25
FI: Gibraltar
Albania
0
1
L
09.06.25
WCQ: Faroe Islands
Gibraltar
2
1
L
06.06.25
WCQ: Gibraltar
Croatia
0
7
L
25.03.25
WCQ: Gibraltar
Czech Republic
0
4
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 31st March 2026, Latvia host Gibraltar in UEFA Nations League. Our analysis points to Latvia to win as the standout bet.

Latvia come into this going through a difficult run, with 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Gibraltar are struggling away from home — 0W 0D 10L in 10 games, scoring 0.2 and conceding 2.9 per match.

Historically, Latvia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Gibraltar, who have taken 1 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, latvia to win at 1.21 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending UEFA Nations League fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.21.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Latvia vs Gibraltar?
Our top pick is 1 — Latvia to win at around 1.21. Confidence: 46%.
What is Latvia's recent form?
Latvia have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has Gibraltar been performing?
Gibraltar: 0W 0D 10L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Latvia 4 wins vs Gibraltar's 1, with 0 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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