Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Finland Veikkausliiga 📅 Sunday, 23rd August 2026 ⏰ 1:00 pm 📍 Vare Areena (Kuopio) ⏳ —
KUP
KUPS
D W L D D
VS
MAR
Mariehamn
W L L D L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004460
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing KUPS to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.19
~60% implied
Confidence
51%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — KUPS to win @1.19
Goals Over 1.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-24%
edge
No Value
Market implies 84% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -24% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
KUPS
D W L D D W L W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Mariehamn
W L L D L L L L L L
🥶 Cold 6 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
KUPS5W
Draw3
Mariehamn2W
Mixed KUPS won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📈 Recent Form
KUPS wins4/10
Mariehamn wins1/10
Goals per game2.6
H2H avg goals2.6
Caution KUPS: 4W 3D 3L from 10 games.
4-3-3
KUPS form
1-1-8
Mariehamn form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.6
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
KUPS
Overall
4.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.7
Mariehamn
Overall
1.3
Scoring
2.0
Defence
2.0
📐 Key Analytics
KUPS
1.2
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Mariehamn
0.6
Goals
scored/game
2.4
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
16.05.26
VEI
Mariehamn
KuPS
1
1
14.03.26
CF
KuPS
Mariehamn
2
0
18.06.25
VEI
Mariehamn
KuPS
1
0
23.04.25
VEI
KuPS
Mariehamn
4
1
25.08.24
VEI
KuPS
Mariehamn
3
0
16.06.24
CUP
Mariehamn
KuPS
1
3
13.04.24
VEI
Mariehamn
KuPS
2
2
05.07.23
CUP
Mariehamn
KuPS (5-4)
1
1
27.06.23
VEI
KuPS
Mariehamn
0
1
30.04.23
VEI
Mariehamn
KuPS
0
2
Recent Results
KUPS
20.08.26
UECL
Shamrock Rovers
KuPS
1
1
D
16.08.26
VEI
Lahti
KuPS
1
2
W
13.08.26
EL
Univ. Craiova
KuPS
2
1
L
09.08.26
VEI
KuPS
TPS
1
1
D
06.08.26
EL
KuPS
Univ. Craiova
1
1
D
01.08.26
VEI
Gnistan
KuPS
0
1
W
28.07.26
CL
KuPS
Sabah Baku
0
2
L
25.07.26
VEI
KuPS
VPS
3
1
W
21.07.26
CL
Sabah Baku
KuPS
1
0
L
18.07.26
VEI
SJK
KuPS
0
2
W
Mariehamn
15.08.26
VEI
Mariehamn
SJK
2
0
W
09.08.26
VEI
Ilves
Mariehamn
2
0
L
01.08.26
VEI
TPS
Mariehamn
3
0
L
25.07.26
VEI
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
1
1
D
20.07.26
VEI
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
2
L
11.07.26
VEI
Gnistan
Mariehamn
4
2
L
04.07.26
VEI
VPS
Mariehamn
4
0
L
27.06.26
VEI
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
0
2
L
23.06.26
VEI
Mariehamn
HJK
0
4
L
18.06.26
VEI
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
2
1
L
Venue Records
KUPS at Home
09.08.26
VEI
KuPS
TPS
1
1
D
06.08.26
EL
KuPS
Univ. Craiova
1
1
D
28.07.26
CL
KuPS
Sabah Baku
0
2
L
25.07.26
VEI
KuPS
VPS
3
1
W
14.07.26
CL
KuPS
Vardar
2
3
L
23.06.26
VEI
KuPS
Ilves
4
3
W
10.06.26
CUP
KuPS
VPS (4-5)
0
0
30.05.26
VEI
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
23.05.26
VEI
KuPS
Lahti
2
1
W
20.05.26
VEI
KuPS
Jaro
3
0
W
Mariehamn Away
09.08.26
VEI
Ilves
Mariehamn
2
0
L
01.08.26
VEI
TPS
Mariehamn
3
0
L
11.07.26
VEI
Gnistan
Mariehamn
4
2
L
04.07.26
VEI
VPS
Mariehamn
4
0
L
18.06.26
VEI
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
2
1
L
30.05.26
VEI
HJK
Mariehamn
1
0
L
23.05.26
VEI
Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
L
10.05.26
VEI
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
28.04.26
CUP
HPS
Mariehamn
1
2
W
25.04.26
VEI
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
1
0
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 23rd August 2026, KUPS host Mariehamn at Vare Areena (Kuopio) in Finland Veikkausliiga. Our analysis points to KUPS to win as the standout bet.

KUPS come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.

Mariehamn are struggling away from home — 1W 1D 8L in 10 games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.4 per match.

Historically, KUPS have won 5 of the last 10 meetings against Mariehamn, who have taken 2 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2.6 goals.

With all factors considered, kups to win at 1.19 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Finland Veikkausliiga preview.

The hosts turn up on 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Vare Areena (Kuopio) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.19, which the numbers put at around 60%. The match begins at 1:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for KUPS vs Mariehamn?
Our top pick is 1 — KUPS to win at around 1.19. Confidence: 51%.
What is KUPS's recent form?
KUPS have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Mariehamn been performing?
Mariehamn: 1W 1D 8L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
KUPS 5 wins vs Mariehamn's 2, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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