Tip WON  ·  Kauno Zalgiris 2-0 Hegelmann
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Lithuania TOPLYGA 📅 Saturday, 8th August 2026 ⏰ 5:00 pm 📍 Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas)
KAU
Kauno Zalgiris
L W D W W
2-0
VS
HEG
Hegelmann
L L W L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004263
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Kauno Zalgiris to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.26
~50% implied
Confidence
56%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win @1.26
Goals Over 1.5 85%
Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet Home CS 60%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-29.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 79.4% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -29.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Kauno Zalgiris
L W D W W W D D W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
Hegelmann
L L W L L D D L D D
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Kauno Zalgiris6W
Draw3
Hegelmann1W
Supports Tip Kauno Zalgiris won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Kauno Zalgiris wins6/10
Hegelmann wins1/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals3
Supports Tip Kauno Zalgiris: 6W 3D 1L from 10 games.
6-3-1
Kauno Zalgiris form
1-4-5
Hegelmann form
80%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Kauno Zalgiris
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.0
Hegelmann
Overall
2.2
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.7
📐 Key Analytics
Kauno Zalgiris
1.7
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
Hegelmann
1
Goals
scored/game
1.9
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
14.06.26
TL
Hegelmann
Kauno Zalgiris
1
1
11.04.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Hegelmann
5
0
01.10.25
TL
Hegelmann
Kauno Zalgiris
1
1
27.08.25
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Hegelmann
2
1
19.06.25
TL
Hegelmann
Kauno Zalgiris
1
2
16.04.25
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Hegelmann
3
1
24.08.24
TL
Hegelmann
Kauno Zalgiris
1
1
23.06.24
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Hegelmann
4
1
28.04.24
TL
Hegelmann
Kauno Zalgiris
0
1
09.03.24
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Hegelmann
1
2
Recent Results
Kauno Zalgiris
04.08.26
CL
Din. Zagreb
Kauno Zalgiris
5
0
L
29.07.26
CL
Kauno Zalgiris
Klaksvik
1
0
W
21.07.26
CL
Klaksvik
Kauno Zalgiris
0
0
D
18.07.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
FA Siauliai
4
0
W
14.07.26
CL
Drita
Kauno Zalgiris
2
3
W
11.07.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
FK Panevezys
3
0
W
07.07.26
CL
Kauno Zalgiris
Drita
1
1
D
03.07.26
TL
Dziugas Telsiai
Kauno Zalgiris
0
0
D
23.06.26
CUP
BFA Vilnius
Kauno Zalgiris
0
3
W
20.06.26
TL
Transinvest
Kauno Zalgiris
1
2
W
Hegelmann
02.08.26
TL
Hegelmann
Transinvest
1
2
L
27.07.26
TL
Hegelmann
Zalgiris
2
3
L
24.07.26
TL
FA Siauliai
Hegelmann
0
2
W
20.07.26
TL
Suduva
Hegelmann
5
1
L
16.07.26
UECL
Paide
Hegelmann
3
0
L
09.07.26
UECL
Hegelmann
Paide
1
1
D
04.07.26
TL
FK Panevezys
Hegelmann
1
1
D
28.06.26
TL
Banga
Hegelmann
2
0
L
17.06.26
TL
Hegelmann
Dziugas Telsiai
1
1
D
14.06.26
TL
Hegelmann
Kauno Zalgiris
1
1
D
Venue Records
Kauno Zalgiris at Home
29.07.26
CL
Kauno Zalgiris
Klaksvik
1
0
W
18.07.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
FA Siauliai
4
0
W
11.07.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
FK Panevezys
3
0
W
07.07.26
CL
Kauno Zalgiris
Drita
1
1
D
17.06.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Banga
0
1
L
31.05.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Zalgiris
0
1
L
16.05.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
FA Siauliai
0
0
D
05.05.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Dziugas Telsiai
2
2
D
25.04.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Riteriai
4
0
W
18.04.26
TL
Kauno Zalgiris
Transinvest
1
2
L
Hegelmann Away
24.07.26
TL
FA Siauliai
Hegelmann
0
2
W
20.07.26
TL
Suduva
Hegelmann
5
1
L
16.07.26
UECL
Paide
Hegelmann
3
0
L
04.07.26
TL
FK Panevezys
Hegelmann
1
1
D
28.06.26
TL
Banga
Hegelmann
2
0
L
29.05.26
TL
Transinvest
Hegelmann
2
1
L
24.05.26
TL
Zalgiris
Hegelmann
1
3
W
20.05.26
CUP
Transinvest
Hegelmann
2
0
L
01.05.26
TL
Dziugas Telsiai
Hegelmann
3
0
L
26.04.26
TL
Banga
Hegelmann
2
1
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 8th August 2026, Kauno Zalgiris host Hegelmann at Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas) in Lithuania TOPLYGA . Our analysis points to Kauno Zalgiris to win as the standout bet.

Kauno Zalgiris come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Hegelmann are struggling away from home — 1W 4D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1.9 per match.

Historically, Kauno Zalgiris have won 6 of the last 10 meetings against Hegelmann, who have taken 1 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 80% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, kauno zalgiris to win at 1.26 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Lithuania TOPLYGA preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.26, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 5:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

 

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann?
Our top pick is 1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win at around 1.26. Confidence: 56%.
What is Kauno Zalgiris's recent form?
Kauno Zalgiris have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Hegelmann been performing?
Hegelmann: 1W 4D 5L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Kauno Zalgiris 6 wins vs Hegelmann's 1, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.
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