Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Brazil Catarinense 2 📅 Wednesday, 15th July 2026 ⏰ 11:30 pm 📍 N/A ⏳ —
HER
Hercilio Luz
W W W W W
VS
GRE
Gremio Juventus
W D W L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004014
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Hercilio Luz to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.24
~50% implied
Confidence
55%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Hercilio Luz to win @1.24
Goals Under 2.5 65%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-30.6%
edge
No Value
Market implies 80.6% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -30.6% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Hercilio Luz
W W W W W W D W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Gremio Juventus
W D W L L L L W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Hercilio Luz2W
Draw1
Gremio Juventus3W
Against Hercilio Luz won 2 of the last 6 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Hercilio Luz wins8/10
Gremio Juventus wins3/10
Goals per game2.5
H2H avg goals2.2
Supports Tip Hercilio Luz: 8W 1D 1L from 10 games.
8-1-1
Hercilio Luz form
3-1-6
Gremio Juventus form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.2
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Hercilio Luz
Overall
8.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.7
Gremio Juventus
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.0
📐 Key Analytics
Hercilio Luz
2
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Gremio Juventus
1.1
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 47%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 44%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
24.05.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Hercilio Luz
0
1
23.01.22
CAT
Hercilio Luz
Gremio Juventus
1
0
07.11.21
CSC
Hercilio Luz
Gremio Juventus
1
2
04.11.21
CSC
Gremio Juventus
Hercilio Luz
1
1
28.10.21
CSC
Gremio Juventus
Hercilio Luz
3
1
03.03.21
CAT
Gremio Juventus
Hercilio Luz
2
0
Recent Results
Hercilio Luz
12.07.26
CAT2
Blumenau
Hercilio Luz
0
2
W
04.07.26
CAT2
Guarani de Palhoca
Hercilio Luz
1
2
W
28.06.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Fluminense-SC
4
2
W
21.06.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Metropolitano
3
0
W
14.06.26
CAT2
Jaragua-SC
Hercilio Luz
0
2
W
07.06.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Nacao
2
1
W
31.05.26
CAT2
Caravaggio
Hercilio Luz
2
2
D
27.05.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Tubarao
2
0
W
24.05.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Hercilio Luz
0
1
W
13.05.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Blumenau
0
1
L
Gremio Juventus
12.07.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Guarani de Palhoca
1
0
W
08.07.26
CAT2
Blumenau
Gremio Juventus
1
1
D
04.07.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Jaragua-SC
8
1
W
21.06.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Tubarao
0
2
L
17.06.26
CAT2
Nacao
Gremio Juventus
1
0
L
07.06.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Caravaggio
0
3
L
30.05.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Gremio Juventus
2
0
L
28.05.26
CAT2
Fluminense-SC
Gremio Juventus
0
1
W
24.05.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Hercilio Luz
0
1
L
16.05.26
CAT2
Guarani de Palhoca
Gremio Juventus
1
0
L
Venue Records
Hercilio Luz at Home
28.06.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Fluminense-SC
4
2
W
21.06.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Metropolitano
3
0
W
07.06.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Nacao
2
1
W
27.05.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Tubarao
2
0
W
13.05.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Blumenau
0
1
L
10.05.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Guarani de Palhoca
6
0
W
28.04.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Jaragua-SC
4
1
W
20.02.25
CAT
Hercilio Luz
Criciuma
0
1
L
16.02.25
CAT
Hercilio Luz
Chapecoense-SC
2
2
D
14.02.25
CAT
Hercilio Luz
Joinville
2
1
W
Gremio Juventus Away
08.07.26
CAT2
Blumenau
Gremio Juventus
1
1
D
17.06.26
CAT2
Nacao
Gremio Juventus
1
0
L
30.05.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Gremio Juventus
2
0
L
28.05.26
CAT2
Fluminense-SC
Gremio Juventus
0
1
W
16.05.26
CAT2
Guarani de Palhoca
Gremio Juventus
1
0
L
10.05.26
CAT2
Jaragua-SC
Gremio Juventus
0
1
W
01.05.26
CAT2
Tubarao
Gremio Juventus
4
0
L
30.07.25
CAT2
Camboriu
Gremio Juventus
1
1
D
05.07.25
CAT2
Blumenau
Gremio Juventus
1
0
L
29.06.25
CAT2
Nacao
Gremio Juventus
0
0
D
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 15th July 2026, Hercilio Luz host Gremio Juventus at N/A in Brazil Catarinense 2. Our analysis points to Hercilio Luz to win as the standout bet.

Hercilio Luz come into this in strong form, with 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

Gremio Juventus are struggling away from home — 3W 1D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.2 per match.

Historically, Hercilio Luz have won 2 of the last 6 meetings against Gremio Juventus, who have taken 3 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2.2 goals.

With all factors considered, hercilio luz to win at 1.24 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Brazil Catarinense 2 preview.

The hosts turn up on 5 wins from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. N/A tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.24, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 11:30 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus?
Our top pick is 1 — Hercilio Luz to win at around 1.24. Confidence: 55%.
What is Hercilio Luz's recent form?
Hercilio Luz have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Gremio Juventus been performing?
Gremio Juventus: 3W 1D 6L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Hercilio Luz 2 wins vs Gremio Juventus's 3, with 1 draws in 6 meetings. Avg 2.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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