Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Club Friendly 📅 Wednesday, 8th July 2026 ⏰ 6:00 pm 📍 N/A ⏳ —
HER
Heracles
L L L L L
VS
GRO
Groningen
L W W L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003940
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.40
~90% implied
Confidence
72%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.40
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+18.6%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 71.4% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +18.6% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 65% $650.00
Half Kelly 32.5% $325.00
Quarter Kelly 16.3% $163.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Heracles
L L L L L L D L D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
Groningen
L W W L L D W W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Heracles5W
Draw1
Groningen4W
Mixed Over 2.5 goals in 50% of H2H meetings (avg 3).
📈 Recent Form
Heracles wins0/10
Groningen wins5/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals3
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 60% of recent games.
0-2-8
Heracles form
5-2-3
Groningen form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Heracles
Overall
0.6
Scoring
1.3
Defence
2.3
Groningen
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.0
📐 Key Analytics
Heracles
0.4
Goals
scored/game
2.3
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Groningen
1.6
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Away Win & BTTS No 36%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 43%
Away Win & Under 2.5 28%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
17.05.26
ERE
Heracles
Groningen
1
2
29.08.25
ERE
Groningen
Heracles
4
0
23.04.25
ERE
Groningen
Heracles
4
1
28.01.25
ERE
Heracles
Groningen
1
1
02.08.24
CF
Groningen
Heracles
2
0
21.03.24
CF
Heracles
Groningen
4
1
24.04.22
ERE
Groningen
Heracles
0
1
18.12.21
ERE
Heracles
Groningen
4
2
30.01.21
ERE
Heracles
Groningen
1
0
23.12.20
ERE
Groningen
Heracles
0
1
Recent Results
Heracles
17.05.26
ERE
Heracles
Groningen
1
2
L
10.05.26
ERE
Telstar
Heracles
3
0
L
03.05.26
ERE
Zwolle
Heracles
1
0
L
26.04.26
ERE
Heracles
FC Volendam
0
2
L
11.04.26
ERE
Heracles
Ajax
0
3
L
05.04.26
ERE
Heerenveen
Heracles
4
1
L
20.03.26
ERE
Heracles
Excelsior
1
1
D
15.03.26
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
4
0
L
06.03.26
ERE
Heracles
Utrecht
0
0
D
28.02.26
ERE
Heracles
PSV
1
3
L
Groningen
21.05.26
ERE
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
L
17.05.26
ERE
Heracles
Groningen
1
2
W
10.05.26
ERE
Groningen
Nijmegen
2
1
W
02.05.26
ERE
Groningen
Excelsior
2
3
L
25.04.26
ERE
Feyenoord
Groningen
3
1
L
11.04.26
ERE
Groningen
G.A. Eagles
0
0
D
04.04.26
ERE
Telstar
Groningen
0
2
W
22.03.26
ERE
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
W
13.03.26
ERE
Zwolle
Groningen
1
1
D
07.03.26
ERE
Groningen
Ajax
3
1
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 8th July 2026, Heracles host Groningen at N/A in Club Friendly. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Heracles come into this going through a difficult run, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 0.4 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game.

Groningen are inconsistent on the road — 5W 2D 3L in 10 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 per match.

Historically, Heracles have won 5 of the last 10 meetings against Groningen, who have taken 4 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.40 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Club Friendly preview.

The hosts turn up on 5 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. N/A tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is Over 2.5 at @1.40, which the numbers put at around 90%. The match begins at 6:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Heracles vs Groningen?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.40. Confidence: 72%.
What is Heracles's recent form?
Heracles have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has Groningen been performing?
Groningen: 5W 2D 3L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Heracles 5 wins vs Groningen's 4, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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