Tip WON  ·  Heracles 5-0 De Graafschap
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
📅 Friday, 4th September 2026 ⏰ 7:00 pm 📍 Asito Stadium (Almelo)
HER
Heracles
W W W W L
5-0
VS
DE
De Graafschap
L L L D L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004583
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Heracles to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.42
~58% implied
Confidence
62%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Heracles to win @1.42
Goals Over 2.5 85%
Goals Over 1.5 95%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-12.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 70.4% probability. Our estimate is 58%, a -12.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Heracles
W W W W L W W L L L
🥶 Cold 3 in a row
Momentum 40%
De Graafschap
L L L D L W L L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Heracles7W
Draw1
De Graafschap2W
Supports Tip Heracles won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Heracles wins6/10
De Graafschap wins2/10
Goals per game4.8
H2H avg goals3.3
Supports Tip Heracles: 6W 0D 4L from 10 games.
6-0-4
Heracles form
2-1-7
De Graafschap form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3.3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Heracles
Overall
6.0
Scoring
8.0
Defence
3.7
De Graafschap
Overall
2.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
0.0
📐 Key Analytics
Heracles
2.4
Goals
scored/game
1.9
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
De Graafschap
1.8
Goals
scored/game
3.5
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 60%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 3%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 60%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
16.01.25
KNV
De Graafschap
Heracles
0
2
07.04.23
EER
De Graafschap
Heracles
5
3
07.10.22
EER
Heracles
De Graafschap
3
2
31.07.21
CF
Heracles
De Graafschap
2
2
22.08.20
CF
De Graafschap
Heracles
1
0
30.03.19
ERE
De Graafschap
Heracles
1
2
21.09.18
ERE
Heracles
De Graafschap
4
0
06.01.17
CF
Heracles
De Graafschap
2
0
23.01.16
ERE
Heracles
De Graafschap
2
1
24.10.15
ERE
De Graafschap
Heracles
0
1
Recent Results
Heracles
30.08.26
EER
Eindhoven FC
Heracles
1
3
W
24.08.26
EER
Jong Utrecht
Heracles
1
6
W
14.08.26
EER
Heracles
Den Bosch
3
2
W
07.08.26
EER
Venlo
Heracles
3
4
W
24.07.26
CF
Heracles
Excelsior
3
5
L
17.07.26
CF
Heracles
FC Emmen
2
0
W
08.07.26
CF
Heracles
Groningen
2
1
W
17.05.26
ERE
Heracles
Groningen
1
2
L
10.05.26
ERE
Telstar
Heracles
3
0
L
03.05.26
ERE
Zwolle
Heracles
1
0
L
De Graafschap
29.08.26
EER
De Graafschap
Almere City
1
4
L
23.08.26
EER
Venlo
De Graafschap
2
1
L
17.08.26
EER
De Graafschap
Jong AZ
2
5
L
09.08.26
EER
Helmond
De Graafschap
1
1
D
01.08.26
CF
De Graafschap
Excelsior
1
5
L
25.07.26
CF
De Graafschap
Kifisia
4
2
W
17.07.26
CF
De Graafschap
Telstar
3
6
L
12.07.26
CF
De Graafschap
AEK Athens
1
2
L
03.07.26
CF
Heerenveen
De Graafschap
7
2
L
27.06.26
CF
Utrecht
De Graafschap
1
2
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Friday, 4th September 2026, Heracles host De Graafschap at Asito Stadium (Almelo). Our analysis points to Heracles to win as the standout bet.

Heracles come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game.

De Graafschap are struggling away from home — 2W 1D 7L in 10 games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 3.5 per match.

Historically, Heracles have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against De Graafschap, who have taken 2 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 3.3 goals.

With all factors considered, heracles to win at 1.42 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Unknown League preview.

The hosts turn up on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Asito Stadium (Almelo) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.42, which the numbers put at around 58%. The match begins at 7:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

 

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Heracles vs De Graafschap?
Our top pick is 1 — Heracles to win at around 1.42. Confidence: 62%.
What is Heracles's recent form?
Heracles have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has De Graafschap been performing?
De Graafschap: 2W 1D 7L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Heracles 7 wins vs De Graafschap's 2, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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