Tip WON  ·  Gabala 2-0 Mingachevir
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Azerbaijan Cup 📅 Thursday, 28th May 2026
GAB
Gabala
W W D L D
2-0
VS
MIN
Mingachevir
W W L W L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003483
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Gabala to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.28
~50% implied
Confidence
57%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Gabala to win @1.28
Goals Over 1.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-28.1%
edge
No Value
Market implies 78.1% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -28.1% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Gabala
W W D L D L L W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 20%
Mingachevir
W W L W L W W W D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Gabala4W
Draw0
Mingachevir0W
Supports Tip Gabala won 4 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Gabala wins3/10
Mingachevir wins6/10
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals3
Caution Gabala: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games.
3-2-5
Gabala form
6-1-3
Mingachevir form
25%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Gabala
Overall
3.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.7
Mingachevir
Overall
6.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.0
📐 Key Analytics
Gabala
1.2
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Mingachevir
2.6
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 10%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 31%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
29.10.25
CUP
Gabala
Mingachevir
5
1
28.03.25
1L
Gabala
Mingachevir
2
0
24.12.24
1L
Mingachevir
Gabala
0
2
26.09.24
1L
Gabala
Mingachevir
2
0
Recent Results
Gabala
21.05.26
PL
Gabala
Shamakhi
3
1
W
15.05.26
PL
Karvan
Gabala
1
2
W
09.05.26
PL
Gabala
Qarabag
1
1
D
03.05.26
PL
Zira
Gabala
1
0
L
25.04.26
PL
Gabala
Araz
1
1
D
19.04.26
PL
Sumqayit
Gabala
1
0
L
12.04.26
PL
Gabala
Imisli FK
0
1
L
05.04.26
PL
Kapaz
Gabala
0
2
W
21.03.26
PL
Turan Tovuz
Gabala
3
2
L
15.03.26
PL
Gabala
Neftci Baku
1
3
L
Mingachevir
22.05.26
1L
Mingachevir
Sabail
4
1
W
15.05.26
1L
Mingachevir
MOIK Baku
3
1
W
05.05.26
1L
Sahdag Qusar
Mingachevir
2
0
L
29.04.26
1L
Mingachevir
Zaqatala
7
1
W
22.04.26
1L
Cebrayil
Mingachevir
2
1
L
16.04.26
1L
Mingachevir
Difai Agsu
2
1
W
09.04.26
1L
Shimal
Mingachevir
0
3
W
03.04.26
1L
Mingachevir
Safa Baku
5
2
W
18.03.26
1L
Baku Sporting
Mingachevir
1
1
D
12.03.26
1L
Mingachevir
Sabail
0
1
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 28th May 2026, Gabala host Mingachevir in Azerbaijan Cup. Our analysis points to Gabala to win as the standout bet.

Gabala come into this going through a difficult run, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Mingachevir are inconsistent on the road — 6W 1D 3L in 10 games, scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.2 per match.

Historically, Gabala have won 4 of the last 4 meetings against Mingachevir, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 25% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, gabala to win at 1.28 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Azerbaijan Cup fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.28.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Gabala vs Mingachevir?
Our top pick is 1 — Gabala to win at around 1.28. Confidence: 57%.
What is Gabala's recent form?
Gabala have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Mingachevir been performing?
Mingachevir: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Gabala 4 wins vs Mingachevir's 0, with 0 draws in 4 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 25%.
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