Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Lithuania I Lyga 📅 Saturday, 19th September 2026 ⏰ 12:00 pm 📍 N/A ⏳ —
FK
FK Minija
W W W W W
VS
NEP
Neptunas
W L W L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004732
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing FK Minija to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.30
~53% implied
Confidence
61%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — FK Minija to win @1.30
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 70%
FK Minija Clean Sheet Home CS 60%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-23.9%
edge
No Value
Market implies 76.9% probability. Our estimate is 53%, a -23.9% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
FK Minija
W W W W W W W L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 80%
Neptunas
W L W L L W W W D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
FK Minija4W
Draw3
Neptunas3W
Against FK Minija won 4 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📈 Recent Form
FK Minija wins9/10
Neptunas wins5/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals2.8
Supports Tip FK Minija: 9W 0D 1L from 10 games.
9-0-1
FK Minija form
5-1-4
Neptunas form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.8
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
FK Minija
Overall
9.0
Scoring
8.7
Defence
8.3
Neptunas
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.0
📐 Key Analytics
FK Minija
2.6
Goals
scored/game
0.5
Goals
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
Neptunas
1.2
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 43%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
16.05.26
IL
Neptunas
FK Minija
1
3
27.07.25
IL
Neptunas
FK Minija
0
1
15.03.25
IL
FK Minija
Neptunas
0
4
20.09.24
IL
Neptunas
FK Minija
1
1
03.05.24
IL
FK Minija
Neptunas
2
2
12.08.23
IL
FK Minija
Neptunas
2
0
24.03.23
IL
Neptunas
FK Minija
0
0
15.10.22
IL
FK Minija
Neptunas
1
0
10.06.22
IL
Neptunas
FK Minija
2
0
16.10.21
IL
Neptunas
FK Minija
7
1
Recent Results
FK Minija
12.09.26
IL
Dainava Alytus
FK Minija
0
3
W
05.09.26
IL
FK Minija
Transinvest 2
3
0
W
01.09.26
CUP
FK Minija
Dainava Alytus
3
2
W
28.08.26
IL
Siauliai 2
FK Minija
1
2
W
14.08.26
IL
Ekranas
FK Minija
0
5
W
08.08.26
IL
FK Minija
BE1 NFA
3
0
W
31.07.26
IL
Hegelmann Litauen 2
FK Minija
0
4
W
28.07.26
IL
Zalgiris 2
FK Minija
1
0
L
18.07.26
IL
FK Minija
Jonava
2
1
W
26.06.26
IL
Garliava
FK Minija
0
1
W
Neptunas
11.09.26
IL
Neptunas
Jonava
2
0
W
07.09.26
IL
Zalgiris 2
Neptunas
1
0
L
29.08.26
IL
Neptunas
Atmosfera
3
1
W
22.08.26
IL
BFA Vilnius
Neptunas
2
0
L
15.08.26
IL
Neptunas
Babrungas
0
4
L
08.08.26
IL
Tauras Taurage
Neptunas
0
2
W
01.08.26
IL
Garliava
Neptunas
0
1
W
25.07.26
IL
Neptunas
Siauliai 2
2
1
W
20.07.26
IL
Transinvest 2
Neptunas
2
2
D
27.06.26
IL
Dainava Alytus
Neptunas
1
0
L
Venue Records
FK Minija at Home
05.09.26
IL
FK Minija
Transinvest 2
3
0
W
01.09.26
CUP
FK Minija
Dainava Alytus
3
2
W
08.08.26
IL
FK Minija
BE1 NFA
3
0
W
18.07.26
IL
FK Minija
Jonava
2
1
W
23.06.26
CUP
FK Minija
FK Panevezys
2
1
W
13.06.26
IL
FK Minija
BFA Vilnius
3
0
W
23.05.26
IL
FK Minija
Tauras Taurage
2
1
W
09.05.26
IL
FK Minija
Dainava Alytus
3
1
W
28.04.26
CUP
FK Minija
Suduva (5-4)
2
2
25.04.26
IL
FK Minija
Siauliai 2
3
1
W
Neptunas Away
07.09.26
IL
Zalgiris 2
Neptunas
1
0
L
22.08.26
IL
BFA Vilnius
Neptunas
2
0
L
08.08.26
IL
Tauras Taurage
Neptunas
0
2
W
01.08.26
IL
Garliava
Neptunas
0
1
W
20.07.26
IL
Transinvest 2
Neptunas
2
2
D
27.06.26
IL
Dainava Alytus
Neptunas
1
0
L
05.06.26
IL
Ekranas
Neptunas
1
2
W
22.05.26
IL
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Neptunas
2
3
W
08.05.26
IL
Jonava
Neptunas
0
1
W
25.04.26
IL
Atmosfera
Neptunas
1
3
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 19th September 2026, FK Minija host Neptunas at N/A in Lithuania I Lyga. Our analysis points to FK Minija to win as the standout bet.

FK Minija come into this in strong form, with 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.6 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game.

Neptunas are inconsistent on the road — 5W 1D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per match.

Historically, FK Minija have won 4 of the last 10 meetings against Neptunas, who have taken 3 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 2.8 goals.

With all factors considered, fk minija to win at 1.30 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Lithuania I Lyga preview.

The hosts turn up on 5 wins from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. N/A tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.30, which the numbers put at around 53%. The match begins at 12:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for FK Minija vs Neptunas?
Our top pick is 1 — FK Minija to win at around 1.30. Confidence: 61%.
What is FK Minija's recent form?
FK Minija have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Neptunas been performing?
Neptunas: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
FK Minija 4 wins vs Neptunas's 3, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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