Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Latvia Virsliga 📅 Tuesday, 30th June 2026 ⏰ 5:00 pm 📍 Daugavas stadions (Liepāja)
FK
FK Liepaja
L L L W W
VS
OGR
Ogre United
W L W L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003819
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing FK Liepaja to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.30
~50% implied
Confidence
57%
Solid Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — FK Liepaja to win @1.30
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 95%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-26.9%
edge
No Value
Market implies 76.9% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -26.9% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
FK Liepaja
L L L W W D L W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Ogre United
W L W L L D L L L L
🥶 Cold 4 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
FK Liepaja2W
Draw0
Ogre United0W
Supports Tip FK Liepaja won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
FK Liepaja wins4/10
Ogre United wins2/10
Goals per game3.7
H2H avg goals3
Caution FK Liepaja: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games.
4-1-5
FK Liepaja form
2-1-7
Ogre United form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
FK Liepaja
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
3.7
Ogre United
Overall
2.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
0.0
📐 Key Analytics
FK Liepaja
1.3
Goals
scored/game
1.9
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Ogre United
1.1
Goals
scored/game
3.1
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
12.05.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
4
1
20.03.26
VIR
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
1
Recent Results
FK Liepaja
26.06.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
RFS |
0
2
L
21.06.26
VIR
Riga FC
FK Liepaja |
4
0
L
16.06.26
VIR
Grobina
FK Liepaja |
1
0
L
12.06.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Super Nova |
2
1
W
30.05.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Tukums 2000 |
3
0
W
26.05.26
VIR
Jelgava
FK Liepaja |
1
1
D
22.05.26
VIR
Auda
FK Liepaja |
3
1
L
17.05.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils |
2
1
W
12.05.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Ogre United |
4
1
W
08.05.26
VIR
RFS
FK Liepaja |
5
0
L
Ogre United
26.06.26
VIR
Ogre United
Tukums 2000 |
3
2
W
22.06.26
VIR
RFS
Ogre United |
6
0
L
17.06.26
VIR
Jelgava
Ogre United |
0
2
W
13.06.26
VIR
Ogre United
Riga FC |
1
4
L
30.05.26
VIR
Auda
Ogre United |
2
0
L
25.05.26
VIR
Ogre United
Grobina |
1
1
D
21.05.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United |
3
1
L
16.05.26
VIR
Super Nova
Ogre United |
3
1
L
12.05.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Ogre United |
4
1
L
07.05.26
VIR
Tukums 2000
Ogre United |
6
1
L
Venue Records
FK Liepaja at Home
26.06.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
RFS |
0
2
L
12.06.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Super Nova |
2
1
W
30.05.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Tukums 2000 |
3
0
W
17.05.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils |
2
1
W
12.05.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Ogre United |
4
1
W
28.04.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Grobina |
1
1
D
12.04.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Jelgava |
1
1
D
08.04.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Auda |
1
2
L
13.03.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
RFS |
0
1
L
07.03.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Riga FC |
2
1
W
Ogre United Away
22.06.26
VIR
RFS
Ogre United |
6
0
L
17.06.26
VIR
Jelgava
Ogre United |
0
2
W
30.05.26
VIR
Auda
Ogre United |
2
0
L
21.05.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United |
3
1
L
16.05.26
VIR
Super Nova
Ogre United |
3
1
L
12.05.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
Ogre United |
4
1
L
07.05.26
VIR
Tukums 2000
Ogre United |
6
1
L
22.04.26
VIR
Riga FC
Ogre United |
4
0
L
07.04.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United |
2
1
L
06.03.26
VIR
RFS
Ogre United |
2
0
L
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 30th June 2026, FK Liepaja host Ogre United at Daugavas stadions (Liepāja) in Latvia Virsliga. Our analysis points to FK Liepaja to win as the standout bet.

FK Liepaja come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game.

Ogre United are struggling away from home — 2W 1D 7L in 10 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 3.1 per match.

Historically, FK Liepaja have won 2 of the last 2 meetings against Ogre United, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, fk liepaja to win at 1.30 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Latvia Virsliga preview.

The hosts turn up on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Daugavas stadions (Liepāja) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.30, which the numbers put at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 5:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
Our top pick is 1 — FK Liepaja to win at around 1.30. Confidence: 57%.
What is FK Liepaja's recent form?
FK Liepaja have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Ogre United been performing?
Ogre United: 2W 1D 7L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
FK Liepaja 2 wins vs Ogre United's 0, with 0 draws in 2 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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