Tip WON  ·  Erbil 3-1 Baghdad
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Iraq Stars League 📅 Tuesday, 2nd June 2026
ERB
Erbil
W W L W D
3-1
VS
BAG
Baghdad
L W L L D
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003523
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1X
We're backing Erbil to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.08
~90% implied
Confidence
85%
Strong Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1X — Erbil to win or draw @1.08
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-2.6%
edge
Fair Price
Market implies 92.6%, we estimate 90%. The price is roughly in line — bet on conviction, not on edge alone.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Erbil
W W L W D W W D W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 80%
Baghdad
L W L L D D D L D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Erbil5W
Draw2
Baghdad3W
Supports Tip Erbil unbeaten in 7 of 10 H2H meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Erbil wins7/10
Baghdad wins2/10
Goals per game3
H2H avg goals3
Supports Tip Erbil unbeaten in 9 of 10 recent games.
7-2-1
Erbil form
2-4-4
Baghdad form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Erbil
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.3
Baghdad
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.0
📐 Key Analytics
Erbil
1.9
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Baghdad
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
31.01.26
SL
Baghdad
Erbil
3
0
26.05.24
SL
Baghdad
Erbil
1
3
29.02.24
SL
Erbil
Baghdad
4
1
15.02.22
SL
Baghdad
Erbil
1
1
26.09.21
SL
Erbil
Baghdad
1
2
24.02.21
SL
Erbil
Baghdad
2
2
26.10.20
SL
Baghdad
Erbil
0
2
17.06.19
SL
Baghdad
Erbil
2
0
18.12.18
SL
Erbil
Baghdad
2
0
06.12.16
SL
Baghdad
Erbil
1
2
Recent Results
Erbil
28.05.26
SL
Zakho
Erbil
1
2
W
20.05.26
SL
Al Shorta
Erbil
0
2
W
16.05.26
SL
Erbil
Newroz
0
1
L
11.05.26
SL
Al Najaf
Erbil
1
4
W
06.05.26
SL
Erbil
Al Kahraba
2
2
D
02.05.26
SL
Erbil
Al Karkh
1
0
W
27.04.26
SL
Al Talaba
Erbil
2
3
W
23.04.26
SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Erbil
1
1
D
18.04.26
SL
Erbil
Al-Qassim
2
0
W
14.04.26
SL
Al Naft
Erbil
0
2
W
Baghdad
27.05.26
SL
Baghdad
Al Gharraf
1
3
L
19.05.26
SL
Diyala
Baghdad
1
4
W
15.05.26
SL
Baghdad
Al Kahraba
0
1
L
11.05.26
SL
Al Karkh
Baghdad
2
1
L
07.05.26
SL
Al Najaf
Baghdad
1
1
D
02.05.26
SL
Baghdad
Al-Qassim
2
2
D
26.04.26
SL
Baghdad
Al Zawraa
2
2
D
21.04.26
SL
Al Minaa
Baghdad
4
0
L
17.04.26
SL
Al Mosul
Baghdad
1
1
D
12.04.26
SL
Baghdad
Duhok
2
1
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 2nd June 2026, Erbil host Baghdad in Iraq Stars League. Our analysis points to Erbil to win or draw as the standout bet.

Erbil come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Baghdad are struggling away from home — 2W 4D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 per match.

Historically, Erbil have won 5 of the last 10 meetings against Baghdad, who have taken 3 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, erbil to win or draw at 1.08 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Iraq Stars League fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1X, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.08.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Erbil vs Baghdad?
Our top pick is 1X — Erbil to win or draw at around 1.08. Confidence: 85%.
What is Erbil's recent form?
Erbil have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Baghdad been performing?
Baghdad: 2W 4D 4L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Erbil 5 wins vs Baghdad's 3, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.