Tip LOST  ·  Elva 0-2 Tartu Welco
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Estonia Esiliiga 📅 Monday, 1st June 2026
ELV
Elva
W W L W L
0-2
VS
TAR
Tartu Welco
W W D L W
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003513
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.31
~90% implied
Confidence
75%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.31
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+13.7%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 76.3% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +13.7% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 57.7% $577.00
Half Kelly 28.9% $289.00
Quarter Kelly 14.4% $144.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Elva
W W L W L D L L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
Tartu Welco
W W D L W D L W W W
🔥 Hot 3 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Elva4W
Draw3
Tartu Welco3W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 60% of H2H meetings (avg 3.3).
📈 Recent Form
Elva wins4/10
Tartu Welco wins6/10
Goals per game3.8
H2H avg goals3.3
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 65% of recent games.
4-1-5
Elva form
6-2-2
Tartu Welco form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3.3
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Elva
Overall
4.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
4.0
Tartu Welco
Overall
6.6
Scoring
8.0
Defence
4.7
📐 Key Analytics
Elva
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Tartu Welco
2.4
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 34%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
27.04.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Elva
3
3
27.10.25
ESI
Tartu Welco
Elva
3
2
04.08.25
ESI
Elva
Tartu Welco
1
2
14.06.25
ESI
Tartu Welco
Elva
2
5
15.03.25
ESI
Elva
Tartu Welco
3
1
28.09.24
ESI
Elva
Tartu Welco
0
1
24.08.24
ESI
Tartu Welco
Elva
0
0
02.06.24
ESI
Tartu Welco
Elva
0
0
02.03.24
ESI
Elva
Tartu Welco
1
0
11.09.21
ESI
Elva
Tartu Welco
4
2
Recent Results
Elva
28.05.26
ESI
Levadia U21
Elva
1
3
W
24.05.26
ESI
Elva
Tallinna Kalev
3
1
W
16.05.26
ESI
Nomme Utd U21
Elva
1
0
L
07.05.26
ESI
Elva
FC Tallinn
2
0
W
02.05.26
ESI
Elva
Nomme Kalju U21
2
4
L
27.04.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Elva
3
3
D
23.04.26
ESI
Flora U21
Elva
3
2
L
19.04.26
ESI
Elva
Nomme Utd U21
1
3
L
09.04.26
ESI
Tallinna Kalev
Elva
2
1
L
03.04.26
ESI
Elva
Viimsi JK
1
0
W
Tartu Welco
28.05.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
4
2
W
24.05.26
ESI
Maardu
Tartu Welco
0
1
W
17.05.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Flora U21
3
3
D
09.05.26
ESI
Tallinna Kalev
Tartu Welco
2
0
L
01.05.26
ESI
FC Tallinn
Tartu Welco
0
2
W
27.04.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Elva
3
3
D
23.04.26
ESI
Viimsi JK
Tartu Welco
2
0
L
17.04.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
3
2
W
11.04.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
1
5
W
03.04.26
ESI
Nomme Utd U21
Tartu Welco
1
3
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Monday, 1st June 2026, Elva host Tartu Welco in Estonia Esiliiga. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Elva come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.

Tartu Welco are inconsistent on the road — 6W 2D 2L in 10 games, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.6 per match.

Historically, Elva have won 4 of the last 10 meetings against Tartu Welco, who have taken 3 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3.3 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.31 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending Estonia Esiliiga fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing Over 2.5, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.31.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.31. Confidence: 75%.
What is Elva's recent form?
Elva have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Tartu Welco been performing?
Tartu Welco: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Elva 4 wins vs Tartu Welco's 3, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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