Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Poland Ekstraklasa 📅 Monday, 3rd August 2026 ⏰ 6:00 pm 📍 Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków) ⏳ —
CRA
Cracovia
D W W W L
VS
POG
Pogon Szczecin
L L L W L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #004211
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 1.5
We're backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.31
~80% implied
Confidence
81%
Strong Pick
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💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
+3.7%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 76.3% but our model gives it 80%. That's a +3.7% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 15.5% $155.00
Half Kelly 7.8% $78.00
Quarter Kelly 3.9% $39.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Cracovia
D W W W L D D D D D
〰 Mixed 5 in a row
Momentum 0%
Pogon Szczecin
L L L W L W D W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Cracovia1W
Draw4
Pogon Szczecin5W
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 100% of H2H meetings (avg 3.6).
📈 Recent Form
Cracovia wins3/10
Pogon Szczecin wins4/10
Goals per game2.3
H2H avg goals3.6
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 65% of recent games.
3-6-1
Cracovia form
4-1-5
Pogon Szczecin form
100%
H2H BTTS rate
3.6
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Cracovia
Overall
4.8
Scoring
4.0
Defence
7.3
Pogon Szczecin
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.7
📐 Key Analytics
Cracovia
1.2
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Pogon Szczecin
1.2
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
25.04.26
EKS
Cracovia
Pogon Szczecin
1
1
25.10.25
EKS
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia
2
1
14.03.25
EKS
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia
5
2
14.09.24
EKS
Cracovia
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
30.03.24
EKS
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia
3
1
23.09.23
EKS
Cracovia
Pogon Szczecin
1
5
08.04.23
EKS
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia
3
2
17.09.22
EKS
Cracovia
Pogon Szczecin
1
1
12.03.22
EKS
Cracovia
Pogon Szczecin
1
1
18.09.21
EKS
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia
1
1
Recent Results
Cracovia
25.07.26
EKS
Lech Poznan
Cracovia
0
0
D
19.07.26
CF
Cracovia
Sevilla
1
0
W
09.07.26
CF
Cracovia
FK Pardubice
2
0
W
06.07.26
CF
Cracovia
Basaksehir
3
1
W
03.07.26
CF
Cracovia
Pafos
1
2
L
23.05.26
EKS
Cracovia
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
16.05.26
EKS
Motor Lublin
Cracovia
3
3
D
11.05.26
EKS
Cracovia
Radomiak Radom
0
0
D
03.05.26
EKS
Zaglebie
Cracovia
0
0
D
25.04.26
EKS
Cracovia
Pogon Szczecin
1
1
D
Pogon Szczecin
24.07.26
EKS
Pogon Szczecin
Legia
0
1
L
15.07.26
CF
Sturm Graz
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
L
11.07.26
CF
Fenerbahce
Pogon Szczecin
4
0
L
08.07.26
CF
Pogon Szczecin
Chrobry Glogow
2
1
W
04.07.26
CF
Zaglebie
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
L
27.06.26
CF
BFC Dynamo
Pogon Szczecin
0
3
W
23.05.26
EKS
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
15.05.26
EKS
Zaglebie
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
W
09.05.26
EKS
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
3
2
L
03.05.26
EKS
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
3
0
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Monday, 3rd August 2026, Cracovia host Pogon Szczecin at Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków) in Poland Ekstraklasa. Our analysis points to over 1.5 goals as the standout bet.

Cracovia come into this going through a difficult run, with 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Pogon Szczecin are inconsistent on the road — 4W 1D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per match.

Historically, Cracovia have won 1 of the last 10 meetings against Pogon Szczecin, who have taken 5 victories, with 4 draws. Both teams scored in 100% of those games, averaging 3.6 goals.

With all factors considered, over 1.5 goals at 1.31 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Poland Ekstraklasa preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is Over 1.5 at @1.31, which the numbers put at around 80%. The match begins at 6:00 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Cracovia vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our top pick is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals at around 1.31. Confidence: 81%.
What is Cracovia's recent form?
Cracovia have won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Pogon Szczecin been performing?
Pogon Szczecin: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Cracovia 1 wins vs Pogon Szczecin's 5, with 4 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 100%.
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