Tip WON  ·  Chelsea W 4-3 Aston Villa W
Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 WSL 📅 Sunday, 29th March 2026
CHE
Chelsea W
L D W W W
4-3
VS
AST
Aston Villa W
W D L L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #002848
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Chelsea W to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.17
~60% implied
Confidence
70%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1 — Chelsea W to win @1.17
Goals Over 1.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-25.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 85.5% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -25.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Chelsea W
L D W W W W W L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Aston Villa W
W D L L L L L W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Chelsea W10W
Draw0
Aston Villa W0W
Supports Tip Chelsea W won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Chelsea W wins6/10
Aston Villa W wins3/10
Goals per game3.4
H2H avg goals2.8
Supports Tip Chelsea W: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games.
6-1-3
Chelsea W form
3-1-6
Aston Villa W form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2.8
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Chelsea W
Overall
6.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.7
Aston Villa W
Overall
3.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
1.0
📐 Key Analytics
Chelsea W
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Aston Villa W
1.4
Goals
scored/game
2.7
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
14.09.25
WSL: Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
3
02.02.25
WSL: Aston Villa
Chelsea
0
1
20.09.24
WSL: Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
0
17.04.24
WSL: Chelsea
Aston Villa
3
0
04.11.23
WSL: Aston Villa
Chelsea
0
6
16.04.23
FAC: Aston Villa
Chelsea
0
1
02.04.23
WSL: Aston Villa
Chelsea
0
3
30.10.22
WSL: Chelsea
Aston Villa
3
1
13.03.22
WSL: Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
0
29.01.22
FAC: Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
3
Recent Results
Chelsea W
24.03.26
UWCL: Arsenal
Chelsea
3
1
L
21.03.26
WSL: London City Lionesses
Chelsea
1
1
D
18.03.26
WSL: Chelsea
Brighton
2
1
W
15.03.26
WLC: Chelsea
Man United
2
0
W
22.02.26
FAC: Chelsea
Man United
2
1
W
15.02.26
WSL: Chelsea
Liverpool
2
0
W
08.02.26
WSL: Tottenham
Chelsea
0
2
W
01.02.26
WSL: Man City
Chelsea
5
1
L
24.01.26
WSL: Chelsea
Arsenal
0
2
L
21.01.26
WLC: Man City
Chelsea
0
1
W
Aston Villa W
22.03.26
WSL: Leicester City
Aston Villa
1
2
W
15.03.26
WSL: Aston Villa
Man City
0
0
D
15.02.26
WSL: Aston Villa
Tottenham
3
7
L
08.02.26
WSL: Liverpool
Aston Villa
4
1
L
01.02.26
WSL: Everton
Aston Villa
2
1
L
25.01.26
WSL: Aston Villa
Man United
1
4
L
18.01.26
FAC: Arsenal
Aston Villa
2
0
L
11.01.26
WSL: Aston Villa
Brighton
2
1
W
14.12.25
WSL: Man City
Aston Villa
6
1
L
11.12.25
WSL: Aston Villa
Liverpool
3
0
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 29th March 2026, Chelsea W host Aston Villa W in WSL. Our analysis points to Chelsea W to win as the standout bet.

Chelsea W come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Aston Villa W are struggling away from home — 3W 1D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.7 per match.

Historically, Chelsea W have won 10 of the last 10 meetings against Aston Villa W, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 30% of those games, averaging 2.8 goals.

With all factors considered, chelsea w to win at 1.17 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


To really find an advantage in sports betting, checking the daily data is an absolute must. This pending WSL fixture is a dream for anyone who loves digging into stats. Taking your personal bias out of the equation is the golden rule for making money.

We start by grading the home team. Their broad season record sets the starting odds, but the real clues are always hidden in the short term. Reviewing their latest games gives us a clear look at their current offensive output and their true defensive grit.

The visiting side brings a completely different profile that needs to be decoded. It is incredibly important to weigh their long-term form against the momentum of their most recent games to uncover any oddsmaker mistakes. Past encounters also cast a huge shadow over today’s lines.

Head-to-head history regularly uncovers mental hurdles and tactical edges that automated models just miss completely. Putting these historical truths together with current momentum points us straight to the likely winner. The smart money is backing 1, especially when you factor in the current odds of @1.17.

As the referee signals the start of the match, our analysis is officially wrapped up. The final score will prove if the numbers pointed the right way. Check out our other tips today to build a solid slip.

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W?
Our top pick is 1 — Chelsea W to win at around 1.17. Confidence: 70%.
What is Chelsea W's recent form?
Chelsea W have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Aston Villa W been performing?
Aston Villa W: 3W 1D 6L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Chelsea W 10 wins vs Aston Villa W's 0, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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