Official Match Programme · SurePredictionToday
🏆 Iceland Besta deild karla 📅 Monday, 13th July 2026 ⏰ 8:15 pm 📍 Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur) ⏳ —
BRE
Breidablik
W W L W D
VS
KEF
Keflavik
D W D L L
GATE: PREDICTION ZONE ADMIT: 1 BETTOR REF #003990
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1X
We're backing Breidablik to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.16
~80% implied
Confidence
74%
Strong Pick
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🎟 Today's Betslip SUPPORTING
★ Main 1X — Breidablik to win or draw @1.16
Goals Over 2.5 80%
Goals Over 1.5 95%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

💸 Bettor Intelligence PRO
📊 Value Assessment
-6.2%
edge
No Value
Market implies 86.2% probability. Our estimate is 80%, a -6.2% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
🔥 Form Streak Tracker
Breidablik
W W L W D W L W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Keflavik
D W D L L W D W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Breidablik5W
Draw2
Keflavik3W
Supports Tip Breidablik unbeaten in 7 of 10 H2H meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Breidablik wins6/10
Keflavik wins4/10
Goals per game4.2
H2H avg goals3.1
Supports Tip Breidablik unbeaten in 7 of 10 recent games.
6-1-3
Breidablik form
4-3-3
Keflavik form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3.1
H2H avg goals
⭐ Team Form Ratings
Breidablik
Overall
6.3
Scoring
9.7
Defence
3.0
Keflavik
Overall
4.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.0
📐 Key Analytics
Breidablik
2.9
Goals
scored/game
2.1
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Keflavik
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
🎯 Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 43%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
📋 Match History
Head to Head
22.04.26
BK
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
25.04.24
CUP
Keflavik
Breidablik
2
1
07.03.24
CUP
Breidablik
Keflavik
4
0
20.08.23
BK
Breidablik
Keflavik
2
1
29.05.23
BK
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
17.07.22
BK
Keflavik
Breidablik
2
3
19.04.22
BK
Breidablik
Keflavik
4
1
08.01.22
FC
Breidablik
Keflavik
5
2
25.07.21
BK
Keflavik
Breidablik
2
0
23.06.21
CUP
Keflavik
Breidablik
2
0
Recent Results
Breidablik
04.07.26
BK
Akranes
Breidablik
1
2
W
28.06.26
CUP
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
0
W
25.06.26
BK
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
4
L
21.06.26
BK
Breidablik
KA Akureyri
3
1
W
16.06.26
BK
Stjarnan
Breidablik
4
4
D
12.06.26
CUP
Aegir
Breidablik
0
3
W
29.05.26
BK
Fram
Breidablik
4
3
L
22.05.26
BK
Breidablik
KR Reykjavik
6
3
W
17.05.26
BK
Valur
Breidablik
3
2
L
13.05.26
CUP
Throttur
Breidablik
1
2
W
Keflavik
06.07.26
BK
Keflavik
Fram
1
1
D
28.06.26
BK
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
W
21.06.26
BK
Valur
Keflavik
1
1
D
14.06.26
BK
Keflavik
Hafnarfjordur
1
2
L
31.05.26
BK
Vestmannaeyjar
Keflavik
6
1
L
22.05.26
BK
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
BK
Keflavik
Stjarnan
1
1
D
08.05.26
BK
Akranes
Keflavik
1
3
W
03.05.26
BK
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
26.04.26
BK
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
1
2
W
Venue Records
Breidablik at Home
28.06.26
CUP
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
0
W
25.06.26
BK
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
4
L
21.06.26
BK
Breidablik
KA Akureyri
3
1
W
22.05.26
BK
Breidablik
KR Reykjavik
6
3
W
08.05.26
BK
Breidablik
Hafnarfjordur
3
3
D
27.04.26
BK
Breidablik
Thor Akureyri
4
0
W
17.04.26
BK
Breidablik
Akranes
1
0
W
25.02.26
CUP
Breidablik
Leiknir
2
3
L
19.02.26
CUP
Breidablik
Hafnarfjordur
1
0
W
11.12.25
UECL
Breidablik
Shamrock Rovers
3
1
W
Keflavik Away
21.06.26
BK
Valur
Keflavik
1
1
D
31.05.26
BK
Vestmannaeyjar
Keflavik
6
1
L
08.05.26
BK
Akranes
Keflavik
1
3
W
26.04.26
BK
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
1
2
W
17.04.26
BK
Fram
Keflavik
3
1
L
12.04.26
BK
KR Reykjavik
Keflavik
3
2
L
14.02.26
CUP
Vestri
Keflavik
2
3
W
30.01.26
CUP
Stjarnan
Keflavik
2
1
L
21.09.25
D1
Njardvik
Keflavik
0
3
W
🎙 Expert Analysis

On Monday, 13th July 2026, Breidablik host Keflavik at Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur) in Iceland Besta deild karla. Our analysis points to Breidablik to win or draw as the standout bet.

Breidablik come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game.

Keflavik are inconsistent on the road — 4W 3D 3L in 10 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 per match.

Historically, Breidablik have won 5 of the last 10 meetings against Keflavik, who have taken 3 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 3.1 goals.

With all factors considered, breidablik to win or draw at 1.16 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Everyone says do your research. Almost nobody does it properly. Proper research means setting aside what you already think you know about both teams, reading only the verified recent evidence, and then checking that evidence against the price on offer. Applied honestly, that process produced this Iceland Besta deild karla preview.

The hosts turn up on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. That run is plain for the market to see, which means it is largely priced in already. The more revealing question is what those recent home games actually tell us — whether the manager’s setup is genuinely clicking, whether the strongest eleven has been fit and available, and whether the results have reflected real quality or a bit of fortune in one direction or the other. Sustainable form holds across a handful of matches. Flukes fade. Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur) tends to sort the two quickly.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We went straight to the recent road record, because that is where the current truth lives for a travelling team. Are they pressing early and taking their chances with confidence, or do they need the comfort of home to find their best? Recent away results answer that without much ambiguity.

With both teams read carefully, the position we trust is 1 at @1.16, which the numbers put at around 80%. The match begins at 8:15 pm.

There is a full slate of predictions on the site today, each given the same honest treatment — worth a proper look before you decide where your stake belongs. It is worth repeating: the side that looks the part on paper and the side that turns up on the day are not always the same team, and recent form is the surest bridge between the two.

 

❓ Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Breidablik vs Keflavik?
Our top pick is 1X — Breidablik to win or draw at around 1.16. Confidence: 74%.
What is Breidablik's recent form?
Breidablik have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Keflavik been performing?
Keflavik: 4W 3D 3L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Breidablik 5 wins vs Keflavik's 3, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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